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CROWN CAPPER 👑

@crowncapper1705 followersfirst pick 2 Octusually posts 8 h before start

👑 CROWNED CAPPER | 🏀 NBA • ⚾ MLB • 🏈 NFL | 🎯 Premium Picks & Expert Analysis | 📊 Smart Plays, Big Dreams | 💰 Bet Smart, Stay Disciplined.

NFL & NCAAFTennisHockeyFootballBaseballBasketball
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Tipster index50.3#404 on the leaderboarddown 76 this weekestablished sample
Hit rate
58.5%
expected 58.3%
Edge
+0.1 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 54.3%, the edge is within noise
Graded
384
224-159-1
ROI
−5.5%
on 234 picks with odds · max drawdown −26.20 u
Average odds
1.74
singles with odds
Form
streak L2 · best W10, worst L6

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-2.502.557.51 Oct8 Oct15 Oct22 Oct30 Oct

By sport

NFL & NCAAF110-78-1 · 189 graded
+1.0
59%
Tennis35-36 · 71 graded
−7.7
49%
Hockey43-18 · 61 graded
+9.3
70%
Football25-11 · 36 graded
+3.4
69%
Baseball8-8 · 16 graded
−0.5
50%
Basketball3-8 · 11 graded
−24.1
27%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result127-89-1 · 217 graded
−0.6
59%
Handicap83-54 · 137 graded
+0.6
61%
Parlays2-11 · 13 graded
−10.4
15%
Totals8-4 · 12 graded
+11.0
67%
Double chance3-1 · 4 graded
+10.3
75%
Both teams to score1-0 · 1 graded
+59.1
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite128-54 · 182 graded
+0.5
70%
Even88-85 · 173 graded
−0.3
51%
Underdog6-9-1 · 16 graded
+10.2
40%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.5061-20 · 81 graded
+0.6%
75%
1.50…1.8952-37 · 89 graded
−2.5%
58%
1.90…2.2919-28 · 47 graded
−18.4%
40%
2.30…3.494-4-1 · 9 graded
+19.7%
50%
3.50+1-5 · 6 graded
−37.5%
17%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 1 of 1 months with 5+ picks
  • October 2026
    +0.1 pp
    224-159-1 · 58%
    ROI −5.5%

By league

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Same main sport, closest index

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Picks

Singleposted 29 Oct, 15:51 · 7 h before start
odds 1.44DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Tampa Bay Lightning
6:4
Winnipeg Jets
Tampa Bay Lightning to win
Open on Xexpected 66% from the closing line+0.44 u
Singleposted 29 Oct, 15:51 · 7 h before start
odds 1.76DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Pittsburgh Penguins
3:4
Utah Mammoth
Utah Mammoth to win
Open on Xexpected 54% from the closing line+0.76 u
Singleposted 29 Oct, 15:51 · 7 h before start
odds 1.38DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Carolina Hurricanes
3:2
Columbus Blue Jackets
Carolina Hurricanes to win
Open on Xexpected 69% from the closing line+0.38 u
Singleposted 29 Oct, 15:51 · 8 h before start
odds 1.61DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Detroit Red Wings
4:1
Chicago Blackhawks
Detroit Red Wings to win
Open on Xexpected 59% from the closing line+0.61 u
Singleposted 29 Oct, 15:51 · 8 h before start
odds 1.95DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
St. Louis Blues
4:1
Boston Bruins
Boston Bruins to win
Open on Xexpected 49% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 29 Oct, 15:51 · 8 h before start
odds 1.86DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Nashville Predators
3:4
Washington Capitals
Washington Capitals to win
Open on Xexpected 51% from the closing line+0.86 u
Singleposted 29 Oct, 15:51 · 8 h before start
odds 1.57DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Dallas Stars
2:5
Montreal Canadiens
Montreal Canadiens +1.5
Open on Xexpected 61% from the closing line+0.57 u
Singleposted 29 Oct, 15:51 · 8 h before start
odds 1.45DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Minnesota Wild
3:4
New York Islanders
Minnesota Wild to win
Open on Xexpected 66% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 29 Oct, 15:51 · 10 h before start
odds 2.36DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Anaheim Ducks
6:7
Buffalo Sabres
Anaheim Ducks to win
Open on Xexpected 41% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 29 Oct, 15:51 · 10 h before start
odds 1.80DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Los Angeles Kings
6:5
Ottawa Senators
Ottawa Senators to win
Open on Xexpected 53% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 29 Oct, 15:51 · 10 h before start
odds 1.60DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
San Jose Sharks
3:2
Vancouver Canucks
San Jose Sharks to win
Open on Xexpected 60% from the closing line+0.60 u
Singleposted 29 Oct, 15:51 · 8 h before start
odds 1.84DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NBA · Regular season·
Atlanta Hawks
114:111
Cleveland Cavaliers
Atlanta Hawks to win
Open on Xexpected 52% from the closing line+0.84 u
Singleposted 29 Oct, 15:51 · 8 h before start
odds 1.42DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NBA · Regular season·
New Orleans Pelicans
132:120
Sacramento Kings
New Orleans Pelicans to win
Open on Xexpected 68% from the closing line+0.42 u
Singleposted 29 Oct, 15:51 · 10 h before start
odds 1.35DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NBA · Regular season·
Portland Trail Blazers
103:124
Memphis Grizzlies
Portland Trail Blazers to win
Open on Xexpected 71% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 29 Oct, 15:48 · 8 h before start
odds 1.91Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
James Madison Dukes
21:24
Troy State Trojans
James Madison Dukes −18.5@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 26 Oct, 16:00 · 8 h before start
odds 1.91Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Philadelphia Eagles
21:38
Dallas Cowboys
Over 44.5@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds+0.91 u
Parlay · 3posted 24 Oct, 22:10 · 50 min before start
odds 1.85Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Oklahoma State Cowboys
57:24
Colorado Buffaloes
Oklahoma State Cowboys to win✓
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Kentucky Wildcats
34:17
Vanderbilt Commodores
Kentucky Wildcats −1.5✓
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
North Carolina Tar Heels
30:31
Syracuse Orange
North Carolina Tar Heels to win✕
Open on Xexpected 47% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 24 Oct, 21:54 · 22 h before start
odds 1.42DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
Arizona Cardinals
16:30
Denver Broncos
Denver Broncos to win
Open on Xexpected 68% from the closing line+0.42 u
Singleposted 24 Oct, 21:54 · 23 h before start
odds 1.52DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
Detroit Lions
20:17
Green Bay Packers
Detroit Lions to win
Open on Xexpected 63% from the closing line+0.52 u
Singleposted 24 Oct, 21:54 · 26 h before start
odds 1.61DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
Seattle Seahawks
20:3
Kansas City Chiefs
Seattle Seahawks to win
Open on Xexpected 59% from the closing line+0.61 u
Singleposted 24 Oct, 21:54 · 19 h before start
odds 1.61DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
Baltimore Ravens
13:35
Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati Bengals to win
Open on Xexpected 59% from the closing line+0.61 u
Singleposted 24 Oct, 21:54 · 19 h before start
odds 1.29DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
Minnesota Vikings
16:10
Indianapolis Colts
Minnesota Vikings to win
Open on Xexpected 74% from the closing line+0.29 u
Singleposted 24 Oct, 21:54 · 19 h before start
odds 1.19DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NFL · Regular Season·
Houston Texans
21:27
New York Giants
Houston Texans to win
Open on Xexpected 81% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 24 Oct, 14:53 · 1 h before start
odds 1.33DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Michigan Wolverines
6:13
Indiana Hoosiers
Indiana Hoosiers to win
Open on Xexpected 72% from the closing line+0.33 u
Singleposted 24 Oct, 14:53 · 1 h before start
odds 1.23DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Cincinnati Bearcats
37:24
Texas Tech Red Raiders
Texas Tech Red Raiders to win
Open on Xexpected 78% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 24 Oct, 14:53 · 1 h before start
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Auburn Tigers
17:38
LSU Tigers
Auburn Tigers +10.5
Open on Xexpected 68% by model
Singleposted 24 Oct, 14:53 · 1 h before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
SMU Mustangs
59:20
California Golden Bears
SMU Mustangs −14.5
Open on Xexpected 54% by model
Singleposted 24 Oct, 14:53 · 4 h before start
odds 1.24DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Illinois Fighting Illini
21:10
Oregon Ducks
Oregon Ducks to win
Open on Xexpected 77% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 24 Oct, 14:53 · 5 h before start
odds 1.32DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
UCF Knights
39:31
BYU Cougars
BYU Cougars to win
Open on Xexpected 72% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 24 Oct, 14:53 · 5 h before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
UCLA Bruins
28:10
Michigan State Spartans
UCLA Bruins −10.5
Open on Xexpected 39% by model