odds 2.65Lost
ATP 250 · Lyon Open·
Kyrian Jacquet
0:2
Brandon Nakashima
Kyrian Jacquet to win@2.65
young munna
ATP/WTA 🎾 NBA 🏀 NFL 🏈 Handicapper / Weed Connoisseur , Started tracking my plays in October up +2.35 units
TennisNFL & NCAAF
Hit rate
54.5%
expected 46.4%
Edge
+8.1 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 31.6%, the edge is within noise
Graded
11
6-5
ROI
-
on 4 picks with odds
Average odds
2.16
singles with odds
Form
streak L3 · best W5, worst L3
Wins above expectation
Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.
By sport
Tennis5-5 · 10 graded
+3.850%
NFL & NCAAF1-0 · 1 graded
+51.2100%
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By market
Match result3-4 · 7 graded
−9.343%
Totals2-0 · 2 graded
+55.0100%
Parlays0-1 · 1 graded
−7.20%
Handicap1-0 · 1 graded
+51.2100%
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
Favourites and underdogs
Favourite2-1 · 3 graded
−0.567%
Even4-1 · 5 graded
+33.680%
Underdog0-2 · 2 graded
−35.00%
Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By odds
1.50…1.891-0 · 1 graded
-100%
1.90…2.291-0 · 1 graded
-100%
2.30…3.490-1 · 1 graded
-0%
Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).
By month
Hit rate above expectation in 0 of 1 months with 5+ picks- August 2026+49.5 pp1-0 · 100%
- September 2026+51.2 pp1-0 · 100%
- October 2026−1.3 pp4-5 · 44%
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Picks
odds 11.48Lost
WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·
Karolina Muchova
0:2
Diana Shnaider
Diana Shnaider to win@1.95✓
WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·
Jasmine Paolini
0:2
Sonay Kartal
Sonay Kartal to win@2.12✓
WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·
Leylah Fernandez
1:2
Jelena Ostapenko
Leylah Fernandez to win@1.83✕
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Arthur Gea
void
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Arthur Gea to win@2.00∅
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Alexander Zverev
2:0
Alex de Minaur
Alexander Zverev to win@1.51✓
Won
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Arthur Gea
2:1
Ugo Humbert
Arthur Gea to win
Lost
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Francisco Cerundolo
2:0
Roman Safiullin
Roman Safiullin to win
Lost
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Novak Djokovic
0:2
Hubert Hurkacz
Novak Djokovic to win
Won
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Quentin Halys
2:1
Alexander Blockx
Over 22.5 games
Lost
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Yannick Hanfmann
0:2
Frances Tiafoe
Yannick Hanfmann to win
Won
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Miomir Kecmanovic
0:2
Jakub Mensik
Jakub Mensik to win
Won
ATP 500 · China Open·
Hubert Hurkacz
2:1
Arthur Gea
Over 22.5 games
odds 1.95DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
Buffalo Bills
41:31
Detroit LionsBuffalo Bills −5.5
odds 1.89Won
WTA 250 · Monterrey Open·
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1:2
Clara Tauson
Clara Tauson to win@1.89