Parlay Queen

@queenofparlay2.5K followersfirst pick 3 Augusually posts 9 h before start

ᴇxᴘᴇʀɪᴇɴᴄᴇ ᴀ ᴅᴀᴛᴀ-ᴅʀɪᴠᴇɴ ᴀᴘᴘʀᴏᴀᴄʜ ᴛᴏ ꜱᴘᴏʀᴛꜱ ʙᴇᴛᴛɪɴɢ ᴡʜᴇʀᴇ ᴘʀᴇᴄɪꜱɪᴏɴ ᴍᴇᴇᴛꜱ ᴘᴇʀꜰᴏʀᴍᴀɴᴄᴇ.ᴡᴇ ᴅᴇʟɪᴠᴇʀ ᴛʜᴇ ʜɪɢʜᴇꜱᴛ-ᴠᴀʟᴜᴇ ɪɴꜱɪɢʜᴛꜱ ᴀɴᴅ ᴘʀᴇᴍɪᴇʀ ᴍᴀᴛᴄʜᴜᴘꜱ ᴇᴠᴇʀ

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Tipster index56.5#97 on the leaderboardestablished sample

Open picks 6

Games not played yet

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·12 Oct, 06:20

Jiri Lehecka

live

Rafael Jodar

Jiri Lehecka to win@1.67

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·12 Oct, 06:20

Jiri Lehecka

live

Rafael Jodar

Rafael Jodar to win

WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·12 Oct, 06:25

Mananchaya Sawangkaew

live

Magdalena Frech

Magdalena Frech to win@1.71

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·12 Oct, 06:30

Stefanos Tsitsipas

live

Taylor Fritz

Stefanos Tsitsipas +4.5@1.19

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·12 Oct, 06:30

Stefanos Tsitsipas

live

Taylor Fritz

Stefanos Tsitsipas to win@2.30

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·12 Oct, 06:30

Stefanos Tsitsipas

live

Taylor Fritz

Taylor Fritz to win@1.58

Hit rate

62.5%

expected 59.1%

Edge

+3.4 pp

hit rate at least 59.4% with 95% confidence: the edge is not luck

Graded

658

410-246-2 · 11 pending

ROI

−11.8%

on 100 picks with odds · max drawdown −14.58 u

Average odds

1.87

singles with odds

Form

streak L1 · best W17, worst L7

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

Baseball110-88 · 198 graded

−2.3

56%

NFL & NCAAF76-71-2 · 149 graded

−2.5

52%

Tennis94-54 · 148 graded

+6.2

64%

Football86-22 · 108 graded

+11.3

80%

Hockey41-7 · 48 graded

+19.5

85%

Basketball3-4 · 7 graded

−4.2

43%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result255-154-1 · 410 graded

+3.0

62%

Handicap100-52-1 · 153 graded

+3.0

66%

Totals20-15 · 35 graded

+1.2

57%

Parlays7-24 · 31 graded

+4.2

23%

Team totals24-0 · 24 graded

+13.5

100%

Double chance3-0 · 3 graded

+37.3

100%

Both teams to score1-1 · 2 graded

−25.0

50%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite259-91-2 · 352 graded

+4.7

74%

Even133-110 · 243 graded

+1.9

55%

Underdog11-21 · 32 graded

−0.5

34%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.5014-4 · 18 graded

+3.9%

78%

1.50…1.8922-23 · 45 graded

−14.5%

49%

1.90…2.2910-13 · 23 graded

−8.7%

43%

2.30…3.492-6 · 8 graded

−31.4%

25%

3.50+0-1 · 1 graded

Singles with the odds stated in the post. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 2 of 3 months with 5+ picks

August 2026
−3.8 pp
62-56-1 · 53%
ROI −54.7%
September 2026
+4.4 pp
195-104-1 · 65%
ROI +8.0%
October 2026
+5.7 pp
153-86 · 64%
ROI −11.5%

By league

MLB · USA110-8656%−2.1
NFL43-36-254%−4.9
US Open50-1379%+15.8
NCAAF33-2557%+1.4
NHL39-785%+19.2
ATP 100020-1459%+4.9
UEFA Nations League23-1364%−3.1
WTA 100011-761%+3.1
Champions League12-0100%+12.2
Europa League8-373%+8.0

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Picks

Singleposted 12 Oct, 05:23 · 1 h before start

odds 1.19Pending

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·12 Oct, 06:30

Stefanos Tsitsipas

live

Taylor Fritz

Stefanos Tsitsipas +4.5@1.19

Singleposted 12 Oct, 05:22 · 57 min before start

odds 1.67Pending

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·12 Oct, 06:20

Jiri Lehecka

live

Rafael Jodar

Jiri Lehecka to win@1.67

Singleposted 12 Oct, 05:22 · 1 h before start

odds 2.30Pending

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·12 Oct, 06:30

Stefanos Tsitsipas

live

Taylor Fritz

Stefanos Tsitsipas to win@2.30

Singleposted 12 Oct, 05:22 · 5 h before start

odds 1.83Pending

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·12 Oct, 10:00

Zizou Bergs

-:-

Carlos Alcaraz

Zizou Bergs +5.5@1.83

Singleposted 12 Oct, 05:18 · 1 h before start

Pending

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·12 Oct, 06:20

Jiri Lehecka

live

Rafael Jodar

Rafael Jodar to win

Singleposted 12 Oct, 05:18 · 3 h before start

Pending

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·12 Oct, 08:30

Daniil Medvedev

-:-

Dalibor Svrcina

Daniil Medvedev to win

Singleposted 12 Oct, 05:18 · 5 h before start

Pending

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·12 Oct, 10:00

Arthur Fils

-:-

Botic van de Zandschulp

Arthur Fils to win

Singleposted 12 Oct, 05:18 · 5 h before start

Pending

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·12 Oct, 10:00

Zizou Bergs

-:-

Carlos Alcaraz

Carlos Alcaraz to win

Singleposted 12 Oct, 05:18 · 1 h before start

odds 1.58Pending

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·12 Oct, 06:30

Stefanos Tsitsipas

live

Taylor Fritz

Taylor Fritz to win@1.58

Singleposted 12 Oct, 05:18 · 6 h before start

odds 1.66Pending

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·12 Oct, 11:30

Tommy Paul

-:-

Valentin Vacherot

Tommy Paul to win@1.66

Singleposted 12 Oct, 05:18 · 1 h before start

odds 1.71Pending

WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·12 Oct, 06:25

Mananchaya Sawangkaew

live

Magdalena Frech

Magdalena Frech to win@1.71

Singleposted 12 Oct, 05:18 · 57 min before start

Won

WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·12 Oct, 06:15

Jasmine Paolini

2:0

Sara Bejlek

Jasmine Paolini to win

Singleposted 11 Oct, 22:35 · 2 h before start

Lost

NFL · Regular Season·12 Oct, 00:20

Atlanta Falcons

23:30

Baltimore Ravens

Atlanta Falcons to win

Same-game combo · 3posted 11 Oct, 21:58 · 2 h before start

Lost

NFL · Regular Season·12 Oct, 00:20

Atlanta Falcons

23:30

Baltimore Ravens

Over 40.5✓

NFL · Regular Season·12 Oct, 00:20

Atlanta Falcons

23:30

Baltimore Ravens

Over 52.5✓

NFL · Regular Season·12 Oct, 00:20

Atlanta Falcons

23:30

Baltimore Ravens

Over 61.5✕

Parlay · 14posted 11 Oct, 13:14 · 16 min before start

Lost

NFL · Regular Season·11 Oct, 13:30

Jacksonville Jaguars

19:17

Philadelphia Eagles

Jacksonville Jaguars to win✓

NFL · Regular Season·11 Oct, 17:00

Miami Dolphins

24:31

Cincinnati Bengals

Cincinnati Bengals to win✓

NFL · Regular Season·11 Oct, 17:00

New Orleans Saints

13:23

Minnesota Vikings

New Orleans Saints +4.5✕

NFL · Regular Season·11 Oct, 17:00

New England Patriots

45:17

Las Vegas Raiders

New England Patriots to win✓

NFL · Regular Season·11 Oct, 17:00

Washington Commanders

27:27

New York Giants

Washington Commanders to win↺

NFL · Regular Season·11 Oct, 17:00

Pittsburgh Steelers

34:22

Indianapolis Colts

Pittsburgh Steelers to win✓

NFL · Regular Season·11 Oct, 17:00

Tennessee Titans

3:26

Houston Texans

Houston Texans to win✓

NFL · Regular Season·11 Oct, 17:00

New York Jets

17:12

Cleveland Browns

Cleveland Browns +4.5✕

NFL · Regular Season·11 Oct, 17:00

Green Bay Packers

31:7

Chicago Bears

Green Bay Packers to win✓

NFL · Regular Season·11 Oct, 20:05

Los Angeles Chargers

17:23

Denver Broncos

Los Angeles Chargers +7.5✓

NFL · Regular Season·11 Oct, 20:25

Arizona Cardinals

21:45

Detroit Lions

Detroit Lions to win✓

NFL · Regular Season·11 Oct, 20:25

Seattle Seahawks

29:32

San Francisco 49ers

Seattle Seahawks to win✕

NFL · Regular Season·12 Oct, 00:20

Atlanta Falcons

23:30

Baltimore Ravens

Baltimore Ravens +10.5✓

NFL · Regular Season·13 Oct, 00:15

Los Angeles Rams

-:-

Buffalo Bills

Buffalo Bills to win◷

Singleposted 11 Oct, 05:20 · 8 h before start

Won

NFL · Regular Season·11 Oct, 13:30

Jacksonville Jaguars

19:17

Philadelphia Eagles

Jacksonville Jaguars to win

Singleposted 11 Oct, 05:20 · 12 h before start

Won

NFL · Regular Season·11 Oct, 17:00

New Orleans Saints

13:23

Minnesota Vikings

New Orleans Saints +10.5

Singleposted 11 Oct, 05:20 · 12 h before start

Won

NFL · Regular Season·11 Oct, 17:00

Miami Dolphins

24:31

Cincinnati Bengals

Cincinnati Bengals to win

Singleposted 11 Oct, 05:20 · 12 h before start

Won

NFL · Regular Season·11 Oct, 17:00

New England Patriots

45:17

Las Vegas Raiders

New England Patriots to win

Singleposted 11 Oct, 05:20 · 12 h before start

Won

NFL · Regular Season·11 Oct, 17:00

Washington Commanders

27:27

New York Giants

Washington Commanders +4.5

Singleposted 11 Oct, 05:20 · 12 h before start

Won

NFL · Regular Season·11 Oct, 17:00

Pittsburgh Steelers

34:22

Indianapolis Colts

Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5

Singleposted 11 Oct, 05:20 · 12 h before start

Won

NFL · Regular Season·11 Oct, 17:00

Tennessee Titans

3:26

Houston Texans

Houston Texans to win

Singleposted 11 Oct, 05:20 · 12 h before start

Won

NFL · Regular Season·11 Oct, 17:00

New York Jets

17:12

Cleveland Browns

Cleveland Browns +10.5

Singleposted 11 Oct, 05:20 · 12 h before start

Won

NFL · Regular Season·11 Oct, 17:00

Green Bay Packers

31:7

Chicago Bears

Green Bay Packers +7.5

Singleposted 11 Oct, 05:20 · 15 h before start

Won

NFL · Regular Season·11 Oct, 20:05

Los Angeles Chargers

17:23

Denver Broncos

Los Angeles Chargers +10.5

Singleposted 11 Oct, 05:20 · 15 h before start

Won

NFL · Regular Season·11 Oct, 20:25

Arizona Cardinals

21:45

Detroit Lions

Over 40.5

Singleposted 11 Oct, 05:20 · 15 h before start

Won

NFL · Regular Season·11 Oct, 20:25

Seattle Seahawks

29:32

San Francisco 49ers

Seattle Seahawks +4.5

Singleposted 11 Oct, 05:20 · 19 h before start

Won

NFL · Regular Season·12 Oct, 00:20

Atlanta Falcons

23:30

Baltimore Ravens

Baltimore Ravens +10.5

Singleposted 10 Oct, 22:12 · 1 h before start

Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·10 Oct, 23:30

Penn State Nittany Lions

23:31

USC Trojans

Penn State Nittany Lions +1.5

Singleposted 10 Oct, 18:29 · 5 h before start

odds 1.83Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·10 Oct, 23:30

Penn State Nittany Lions

23:31

USC Trojans

Penn State Nittany Lions to win@1.83

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