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Rinser

@TheRinser_13 followersfirst pick 14 Octusually posts 5 h before start

Most Devious Sports Guru Rinser Business Inquiries: frozenierr@gmail.com

TennisBasketballBaseball
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Tipster index48.8#432 on the leaderboardnewdeveloping sample
Hit rate
59.1%
expected 60.1%
Edge
−1.0 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 46.8%, the edge is within noise
Graded
44
26-18
ROI
+11.1%
on 13 picks with odds · max drawdown −2.00 u
Average odds
1.56
singles with odds
Form
streak L1 · best W6, worst L3

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-2-10114 Oct16 Oct19 Oct22 Oct25 Oct

By sport

Tennis11-13 · 24 graded
−14.5
46%
Basketball15-4 · 19 graded
+19.3
79%
Baseball0-1 · 1 graded
−62.0
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result18-17 · 35 graded
−10.7
51%
Handicap6-1 · 7 graded
+32.4
86%
Totals2-0 · 2 graded
+52.8
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite10-12 · 22 graded
−24.0
45%
Even16-6 · 22 graded
+22.0
73%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.504-2 · 6 graded
−13.2%
67%
1.50…1.893-2 · 5 graded
+4.0%
60%
1.90…2.292-0 · 2 graded
-
100%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 0 of 1 months with 5+ picks
  • October 2026
    −1.0 pp
    26-18 · 59%
    ROI +11.1%

By league

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Rinser (@TheRinser_) on BetBuddyRank
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Picks

Singleposted 25 Oct, 18:00 · 3 h before start
odds 1.40DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NBA · Regular season·
Utah Jazz
123:132
LA Lakers
LA Lakers to win
Open on Xexpected 69% from the closing line+0.40 u
Singleposted 25 Oct, 18:00 · 4 h before start
odds 1.45DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NBA · Regular season·
Brooklyn Nets
109:136
Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers to win
Open on Xexpected 66% from the closing line+0.45 u
Singleposted 25 Oct, 18:00 · 5 h before start
odds 1.37DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NBA · Regular season·
New York Knicks
102:111
Orlando Magic
New York Knicks to win
Open on Xexpected 70% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 25 Oct, 18:00 · 5 h before start
odds 1.07DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NBA · Regular season·
Oklahoma City Thunder
108:101
LA Clippers
Oklahoma City Thunder to win
Open on Xexpected 89% from the closing line+0.07 u
Singleposted 25 Oct, 05:05 · 11 h before start
Won
ATP 250 · European Open (Antwerp)·
Jan-Lennard Struff
1:2
Tallon Griekspoor
Over 22.5 games
Open on Xexpected 49% by model
Singleposted 25 Oct, 05:05 · 9 h before start
Lost
ATP 250 · Lyon Open·
Lorenzo Musetti
2:0
Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz to win
Open on Xexpected 65% by model
Singleposted 25 Oct, 05:05 · 6 h before start
Won
ATP 500 · Swiss Indoors Basel: Qualification·
Rinky Hijikata
1:2
Yannick Hanfmann
Yannick Hanfmann to win
Open on Xexpected 59% by model
Singleposted 24 Oct, 20:17 · 2 h before start
odds 1.55DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NBA · Regular season·
Charlotte Hornets
115:110
Miami Heat
Miami Heat to win
Open on Xexpected 62% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 24 Oct, 20:17 · 3 h before start
Lost
NBA · Regular season·
Cleveland Cavaliers
125:121
Brooklyn Nets
Cleveland Cavaliers −6.5
Open on Xexpected 53% by model
Singleposted 24 Oct, 20:17 · 3 h before start
Won
NBA · Regular season·
Philadelphia 76ers
127:116
Milwaukee Bucks
Philadelphia 76ers −6.5
Open on Xexpected 53% by model
Singleposted 24 Oct, 20:17 · 5 h before start
odds 2.05DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NBA · Regular season·
Chicago Bulls
120:124
Washington Wizards
Washington Wizards to win
Open on Xexpected 47% from the closing line+1.05 u
Singleposted 24 Oct, 20:17 · 5 h before start
odds 1.89DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NBA · Regular season·
Atlanta Hawks
114:121
Houston Rockets
Houston Rockets to win
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing line+0.89 u
Singleposted 24 Oct, 06:45 · 3 h before start
Lost
ATP 250 · Almaty Open·
Nikoloz Basilashvili
2:1
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Stefanos Tsitsipas to win
Open on Xexpected 63% by model
Singleposted 24 Oct, 06:45 · 7 h before start
Void
ATP 250 · Almaty Open·
Daniil Medvedev
void
Alexander Bublik
Daniil Medvedev to win
Open on Xexpected 72% by model
Singleposted 24 Oct, 06:45 · 7 h before start
Won
ATP 250 · European Open (Antwerp)·
Francisco Cerundolo
1:2
Tallon Griekspoor
Over 22.5 games
Open on Xexpected 45% by model
Singleposted 24 Oct, 06:45 · 10 h before start
Lost
ATP 250 · European Open (Antwerp)·
Arthur Fils
1:2
Jan-Lennard Struff
Arthur Fils to win
Open on Xexpected 78% by model
Singleposted 24 Oct, 06:45 · 7 h before start
Lost
ATP 250 · Lyon Open·
Flavio Cobolli
1:2
Lorenzo Musetti
Flavio Cobolli to win
Open on Xexpected 61% by model
Singleposted 24 Oct, 06:45 · 5 h before start
Lost
ATP 500 · Swiss Indoors Basel: Qualification·
Jaime Faria
0:2
Mika Brunold
Jaime Faria to win
Open on Xexpected 49% by model
Singleposted 24 Oct, 06:45 · 6 h before start
Lost
ATP 500 · Swiss Indoors Basel: Qualification·
Sebastian Baez
1:2
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Sebastian Baez to win
Open on Xexpected 71% by model
Singleposted 24 Oct, 06:45 · 2 h before start
Lost
ATP 500 · Erste Bank Open (Vienna): Qualification·
Jacob Fearnley
2:1
Pablo Carreno Busta
Pablo Carreno Busta to win
Open on Xexpected 50% by model
Singleposted 24 Oct, 06:45 · 2 h before start
Won
ATP 500 · Swiss Indoors Basel: Qualification·
Miomir Kecmanovic
0:2
Rinky Hijikata
Rinky Hijikata to win
Open on Xexpected 63% by model
Singleposted 24 Oct, 06:45 · 9 h before start
Lost
ATP 500 · Erste Bank Open (Vienna): Qualification·
Corentin Moutet
0:2
Tomas Machac
Corentin Moutet to win
Open on Xexpected 45% by model
Singleposted 24 Oct, 06:45 · 10 h before start
Won
ATP 500 · Erste Bank Open (Vienna): Qualification·
Thiago Agustin Tirante
0:2
Adrian Mannarino
Adrian Mannarino to win
Open on Xexpected 41% by model
Singleposted 23 Oct, 18:57 · 4 h before start
odds 1.37DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NBA · Regular season·
Indiana Pacers
105:121
Dallas Mavericks
Indiana Pacers to win
Open on Xexpected 70% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 23 Oct, 18:57 · 4 h before start
Won
NBA · Regular season·
Washington Wizards
102:112
Toronto Raptors
Toronto Raptors −4.5
Open on Xexpected 54% by model
Singleposted 23 Oct, 18:57 · 4 h before start
Won
NBA · Regular season·
Boston Celtics
107:103
New York Knicks
Boston Celtics +5.5
Open on Xexpected 53% by model
Singleposted 23 Oct, 18:57 · 7 h before start
Won
NBA · Regular season·
Sacramento Kings
120:128
Portland Trail Blazers
Portland Trail Blazers −6.5
Open on Xexpected 53% by model
Singleposted 23 Oct, 09:39 · 1 min before start
Won
ATP 250 · Almaty Open·
Daniil Medvedev
2:0
Terence Atmane
Daniil Medvedev to win
Open on Xexpected 80% by model
Singleposted 23 Oct, 09:39 · 5 h before start
Lost
ATP 250 · Almaty Open·
Alexander Bublik
2:1
Karen Khachanov
Karen Khachanov to win
Open on Xexpected 60% by model
Singleposted 23 Oct, 09:39 · 3 h before start
Won
ATP 250 · Lyon Open·
Corentin Moutet
1:2
Tommy Paul
Tommy Paul to win
Open on Xexpected 83% by model