MR RODRIGO🐐🏦

@mr_rodriggoo2.9K followersfirst pick 22 Octusually posts 8 h before start

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Tennis

CompareRSS

Tipster index50.2#340 on the leaderboardnewdeveloping sample

Hit rate

58.3%

expected 57.9%

Edge

+0.4 pp

95% lower bound of the hit rate: 35.7%, the edge is within noise

Graded

7-5

ROI

on 4 picks with odds

Average odds

1.45

singles with odds

Form

streak L1 · best W3, worst L2

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

Tennis7-5 · 12 graded

+0.4

58%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result6-5 · 11 graded

−3.8

55%

Parlays1-0 · 1 graded

+46.9

100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite5-1 · 6 graded

+14.6

83%

Even1-3 · 4 graded

−22.4

25%

Underdog0-1 · 1 graded

−39.8

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.503-0 · 3 graded

100%

1.50…1.891-0 · 1 graded

100%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 1 of 1 months with 5+ picks

October 2026
+0.4 pp
7-5 · 58%

By league

ATP 2503-350%−11.2
WTA 5002-167%+11.4
WTA 2501-150%−4.4

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Picks

Singleposted 23 Oct, 02:46 · 2 h before start

Lost

WTA 250 · Japan Open·23 Oct, 05:10

Talia Gibson

0:2

Ashlyn Krueger

Talia Gibson to win

Singleposted 22 Oct, 04:15 · 9 min before start

Won

WTA 250 · Japan Open·22 Oct, 04:25

Mary Stoiana

2:1

Moyuka Uchijima

Mary Stoiana to win

Singleposted 22 Oct, 04:15 · 54 min before start

Won

WTA 500 · Ningbo Open·22 Oct, 05:10

Iva Jovic

2:0

Jasmine Paolini

Iva Jovic to win

Singleposted 22 Oct, 04:15 · 8 h before start

Lost

ATP 250 · Lyon Open·22 Oct, 11:55

Borna Gojo

0:2

Daniel Altmaier

Borna Gojo to win

Singleposted 22 Oct, 04:15 · 8 h before start

Lost

ATP 250 · Lyon Open·22 Oct, 12:05

Valentin Vacherot

1:2

Luca Van Assche

Valentin Vacherot to win

Singleposted 22 Oct, 03:52 · 5 h before start

odds 1.69Won

WTA 500 · Ningbo Open·22 Oct, 08:55

Alexandra Eala

0:2

Diana Shnaider

Diana Shnaider to win@1.69

Singleposted 22 Oct, 03:52 · 8 h before start

odds 1.32Won

ATP 250 · European Open (Antwerp)·22 Oct, 11:40

Raphael Collignon

0:2

Jiri Lehecka

Jiri Lehecka to win@1.32

Singleposted 22 Oct, 03:52 · 11 h before start

odds 1.30Void

ATP 250 · Almaty Open·22 Oct, 14:55

Alexander Bublik

void

Fabian Marozsan

Alexander Bublik to win@1.30

Singleposted 22 Oct, 03:52 · 13 h before start

odds 1.36Won

ATP 250 · Lyon Open·22 Oct, 17:10

Flavio Cobolli

2:0

Stan Wawrinka

Flavio Cobolli to win@1.36

Singleposted 22 Oct, 03:52 · 15 h before start

odds 1.44Won

ATP 250 · Lyon Open·22 Oct, 18:50

Kyrian Jacquet

0:2

Brandon Nakashima

Brandon Nakashima to win@1.44

Singleposted 22 Oct, 03:52 · 1 h before start

Lost

WTA 500 · Ningbo Open·22 Oct, 05:10

Iva Jovic

2:0

Jasmine Paolini

Jasmine Paolini to win

Singleposted 22 Oct, 03:52 · 6 h before start

Lost

ATP 250 · Almaty Open·22 Oct, 09:50

Tomas Machac

1:2

Karen Khachanov

Tomas Machac to win

Parlay · 3posted 22 Oct, 03:43 · 8 h before start

Won

ATP 250 · European Open (Antwerp)·22 Oct, 11:40

Raphael Collignon

0:2

Jiri Lehecka

Jiri Lehecka to win✓

ATP 250 · Almaty Open·22 Oct, 14:55

Alexander Bublik

void

Fabian Marozsan

Alexander Bublik to win∅

ATP 250 · Lyon Open·22 Oct, 17:10

Flavio Cobolli

2:0

Stan Wawrinka

Flavio Cobolli to win✓