Sports TrendLab

@SportsTrendLab17 followersfirst pick 23 Oct

NFL & NCAAFFootball

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Tipster index51.8needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history

Open picks 1

Games not played yet

NFL · Regular Season·1 Nov, 18:00

Cincinnati Bengals

-:-

Tennessee Titans

Over 49.5

Hit rate

50.0%

expected 35.3%

Edge

+14.7 pp

over expectation

Graded

1-1 · 1 pending

ROI

on 2 picks with odds

Average odds

3.42

singles with odds

Form

streak L1 · best W1, worst L1

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

Football0-1 · 1 graded

−18.4

NFL & NCAAF1-0 · 1 graded

+47.8

100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result0-1 · 1 graded

−18.4

Handicap1-0 · 1 graded

+47.8

100%

Totals0-0 · 0 graded

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite0-0 · 0 graded

Even1-0 · 1 graded

+47.8

100%

Underdog0-1 · 1 graded

−18.4

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.891-0 · 1 graded

100%

3.50+0-1 · 1 graded

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).