Tom

@SicEmTom50 followersfirst pick 8 Septusually posts 4 days before start

Go Dawgs - 2021 & 2022 NATIONAL CHAMPIONS!!! Back-to-Back See the world not as it is, but as it SHOULD be!

NFL & NCAAF

CompareRSS

Tipster index41.1needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history

Open picks 1

Games not played yet

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·24 Oct, 19:30

UCF Knights

-:-

BYU Cougars

BYU Cougars −6.5

Hit rate

33.3%

expected 60.1%

Edge

−26.8 pp

over expectation

Graded

2-4 · 1 pending

ROI

on 1 picks with odds

Average odds

1.89

singles with odds

Form

streak L1 · best W1, worst L2

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

NFL & NCAAF2-4 · 6 graded

−26.8

33%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Handicap2-4 · 6 graded

−26.8

33%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite1-3 · 4 graded

−42.2

25%

Even1-1 · 2 graded

+4.1

50%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.891-0 · 1 graded

100%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).