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Seb Greenway

@SebGreenway506 followersfirst pick 2 Octusually posts 44 min before start
Basketball
Tipster index42.1needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history
Hit rate
28.6%
expected 49.4%
Edge
−20.8 pp
over expectation
Graded
7
2-5
ROI
-
posts no odds
Average odds
-
singles with odds
Form
streak L4 · best W1, worst L4

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-2-101 Oct3 Oct6 Oct8 Oct11 Oct

By sport

Basketball2-5 · 7 graded
−20.8
29%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Handicap2-5 · 7 graded
−20.8
29%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite0-1 · 1 graded
−63.8
0%
Even1-3 · 4 graded
−26.9
25%
Underdog1-1 · 2 graded
+12.7
50%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 0 of 1 months with 5+ picks
  • October 2026
    −20.8 pp
    2-5 · 29%

By league

  • NBL · Australia2-529%−20.8

Similar tipsters

Same main sport, closest index

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Picks

Singleposted 11 Oct, 03:43 · 2 h before start
Lost
Australia · NBL·
Illawarra Hawks
100:110
Cairns Taipans
Illawarra Hawks −1.5
Open on Xexpected 55% by model
Singleposted 11 Oct, 03:42 · 17 min before start
Lost
Australia · NBL·
Sydney Kings
78:84
Adelaide 36ers
Sydney Kings −9.5
Open on Xexpected 64% by model
Singleposted 10 Oct, 07:20 · 3 h before start
Lost
Australia · NBL·
Perth Wildcats
100:84
New Zealand Breakers
New Zealand Breakers +8.5
Open on Xexpected 37% by model
Singleposted 9 Oct, 08:28 · 1 min before start
Lost
Australia · NBL·
Illawarra Hawks
112:122
Tasmania JackJumpers
Illawarra Hawks −1.5
Open on Xexpected 55% by model
Singleposted 8 Oct, 08:26 · 3 min before start
Won
Australia · NBL·
Cairns Taipans
97:91
Brisbane Bullets
Cairns Taipans −2.5
Open on Xexpected 55% by model
Singleposted 7 Oct, 06:50 · 2 h before start
Lost
Australia · NBL·
Adelaide 36ers
91:96
Melbourne United
Adelaide 36ers +3.5
Open on Xexpected 43% by model
Singleposted 2 Oct, 08:45 · 44 min before start
Won
Australia · NBL·
Illawarra Hawks
114:92
Adelaide 36ers
Illawarra Hawks +5.5
Open on Xexpected 37% by model