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@RodgersBoardman72 followersfirst pick 21 Septusually posts 3 h before start

Rodgers X Boardman | VIP Sports Picks 700+ in DubClub 🔥 Try VIP for 1 week 👇 | 21+ | Paid Affiliate

BasketballNFL & NCAAFBaseballHockey
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Tipster index46.9#564 on the leaderboardup 2 this weekdeveloping sample
Hit rate
47.8%
expected 51.3%
Edge
−3.5 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 31.9%, the edge is within noise
Graded
24
11-12-1
ROI
−11.6%
on 22 picks with odds · max drawdown −4.88 u
Average odds
2.05
singles with odds
Form
streak W1 · best W3, worst L5

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-2-1021 Sept1 Oct12 Oct22 Oct2 Nov

By sport

Basketball5-6-1 · 12 graded
−2.8
45%
NFL & NCAAF3-5 · 8 graded
−14.5
38%
Baseball2-1 · 3 graded
+6.5
67%
Hockey1-0 · 1 graded
+46.2
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result5-7 · 12 graded
−8.6
42%
Handicap5-3-1 · 9 graded
+12.4
63%
Parlays0-2 · 2 graded
−45.1
0%
Totals1-0 · 1 graded
+14.0
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite1-0 · 1 graded
+14.0
100%
Even10-9-1 · 20 graded
+0.6
53%
Underdog0-1 · 1 graded
−15.3
0%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.895-6 · 11 graded
−20.1%
45%
1.90…2.295-3-1 · 9 graded
+18.4%
63%
3.50+0-1 · 1 graded
-
0%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 0 of 2 months with 5+ picks
  • September 2026
    −7.9 pp
    2-3 · 40%
  • October 2026
    −5.0 pp
    8-9-1 · 47%
    ROI −17.0%
  • November 2026
    +42.9 pp
    1-0 · 100%

By league

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Picks

Singleposted 1 Nov, 23:24 · 3 h before start
odds 1.67Won
NBA · Regular season·
LA Lakers
131:125
Toronto Raptors
LA Lakers to win@1.67
Open on Xexpected 57% from odds+0.67 u
Singleposted 29 Oct, 20:22 · 4 h before start
odds 1.91Lost
NBA · Regular season·
Atlanta Hawks
114:111
Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland Cavaliers +1@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 29 Oct, 20:22 · 4 h before start
odds 1.83Lost
NBA · Regular season·
New Orleans Pelicans
132:120
Sacramento Kings
Sacramento Kings +6.5@1.83
Open on Xexpected 52% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 29 Oct, 20:22 · 6 h before start
odds 1.91Lost
NBA · Regular season·
Portland Trail Blazers
103:124
Memphis Grizzlies
Portland Trail Blazers −7@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 28 Oct, 23:00 · 1 h before start
odds 1.65Lost
NBA · Regular season·
Minnesota Timberwolves
114:119
Golden State Warriors
Minnesota Timberwolves to win@1.65
Open on Xexpected 58% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 28 Oct, 21:54 · 1 h before start
odds 1.91Push
NBA · Regular season·
Cleveland Cavaliers
121:111
Washington Wizards
Cleveland Cavaliers −10@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds+0.00 u
Singleposted 28 Oct, 21:54 · 1 h before start
odds 1.91Won
NBA · Regular season·
Atlanta Hawks
117:129
Miami Heat
Miami Heat +3.5@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds+0.91 u
Singleposted 27 Oct, 19:28 · 8 h before start
odds 1.98DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NBA · Regular season·
LA Lakers
129:136
Portland Trail Blazers
Portland Trail Blazers to win
Open on Xexpected 48% from the closing line+0.98 u
Singleposted 27 Oct, 19:28 · 4 h before start
odds 1.91Won
NBA · Regular season·
Boston Celtics
125:124
Brooklyn Nets
Brooklyn Nets +12.5@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds+0.91 u
Singleposted 27 Oct, 19:28 · 4 h before start
odds 6.25DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NBA · Regular season·
Boston Celtics
125:124
Brooklyn Nets
Brooklyn Nets to win
Open on Xexpected 15% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 27 Oct, 19:27 · 5 h before start
odds 1.95Won
NBA · Regular season·
New York Knicks
111:97
Detroit Pistons
New York Knicks −4.5@1.95
Open on Xexpected 49% from odds+0.95 u
Singleposted 20 Oct, 18:31 · 28 min before start
odds 1.83Lost
NBA · Regular season·
Detroit Pistons
121:113
Boston Celtics
Boston Celtics to win@1.83
Open on Xexpected 52% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 18 Oct, 16:03 · 57 min before start
odds 1.69Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
19:26
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh Steelers to win@1.69
Open on Xexpected 56% from odds+0.69 u
Singleposted 14 Oct, 20:47 · 3 h before start
Won
MLB · post-season·
Los Angeles Dodgers
2:6
Milwaukee Brewers
Over 4.5
Open on Xexpected 86% by model
Singleposted 14 Oct, 14:59 · 9 h before start
odds 1.77Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Washington Capitals
5:4
Montreal Canadiens
Washington Capitals to win@1.77
Open on Xexpected 54% from odds+0.77 u
Singleposted 5 Oct, 15:31 · 9 h before start
odds 1.77Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
New Orleans Saints
24:45
Atlanta Falcons
New Orleans Saints to win@1.77
Open on Xexpected 54% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 4 Oct, 16:38 · 21 min before start
odds 1.91Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Buffalo Bills
26:29
New England Patriots
New England Patriots +7@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds+0.91 u
Singleposted 2 Oct, 17:31 · 5 h before start
odds 1.77Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Virginia Tech Hokies
33:35
Pittsburgh Panthers
Virginia Tech Hokies to win@1.77
Open on Xexpected 54% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 1 Oct, 16:56 · 7 h before start
odds 1.68Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Cleveland Browns
27:24
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh Steelers to win@1.68
Open on Xexpected 57% from odds−1.00 u
Parlay · 2posted 27 Sept, 19:36 · 28 min before start
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
New Orleans Saints
27:35
Las Vegas Raiders
New Orleans Saints to win✕
NFL · Regular Season·
San Francisco 49ers
36:30
Arizona Cardinals
San Francisco 49ers to win✓
Open on Xexpected 49% by model
Singleposted 27 Sept, 15:38 · 1 h before start
odds 2.10Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
New York Giants
12:7
Tennessee Titans
Tennessee Titans to win@2.10
Open on Xexpected 45% from odds−1.00 u
Parlay · 2posted 22 Sept, 22:26 · 48 min before start
odds 2.19Lost
MLB·
Atlanta Braves
0:4
Cincinnati Reds
Atlanta Braves to win✕
MLB·
Colorado Rockies
2:7
Arizona Diamondbacks
Arizona Diamondbacks to win✓
Open on Xexpected 41% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 22 Sept, 14:21 · 3 h before start
odds 1.79Won
MLB·
New York Yankees
2:0
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees to win@1.79
Open on Xexpected 53% from odds+0.79 u
Singleposted 21 Sept, 22:38 · 2 h before start
odds 1.87Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Los Angeles Rams
28:6
New York Giants
Los Angeles Rams −6.5@1.87
Open on Xexpected 51% from odds+0.87 u