Skip to content
BetBuddyRank

PropSims

@PropSims331 followersfirst pick 5 Octusually posts 3 h before start

Every NFL & NBA game simulated 10,000 times 🏈🏀 Free projections, props, DFS + a public graded bet record. Sim Game videos every game day. 21+

NFL & NCAAFBasketballTennisHockeyFootball
CompareRSS
Tipster index35.0#653 on the leaderboarddown 27 this weekdeveloping sample

Open picks 1

Games not played yet
ATP Challenger · Seoul, South Korea·
August Holmgren
-:-
Jay Dylan Friend
Under 1.5 sets
Hit rate
29.0%
expected 43.8%
Edge
−14.7 pp
hit rate at most 43.6% with 95% confidence: below expectation beyond noise
Graded
31
9-22 · 1 pending
ROI
−57.4%
on 11 picks with odds · max drawdown −7.60 u
Average odds
1.75
singles with odds
Form
streak W1 · best W3, worst L13

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-8-6-4-205 Oct10 Oct14 Oct19 Oct24 Oct

By sport

NFL & NCAAF2-13 · 15 graded
−38.1
13%
Basketball6-6 · 12 graded
+16.8
50%
Hockey0-2 · 2 graded
−36.6
0%
Football1-0 · 1 graded
+55.6
100%
Tennis0-1 · 1 graded
−68.5
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Parlays4-8 · 12 graded
+4.0
33%
Match result3-6 · 9 graded
−24.1
33%
Totals1-3 · 4 graded
−24.5
25%
Handicap1-3 · 4 graded
−28.9
25%
Team totals0-2 · 2 graded
−36.6
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite2-3 · 5 graded
−30.5
40%
Even3-10 · 13 graded
−26.5
23%
Underdog0-1 · 1 graded
−6.6
0%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.502-1 · 3 graded
-
67%
1.50…1.890-5 · 5 graded
−100.0%
0%
1.90…2.291-2 · 3 graded
-
33%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 0 of 1 months with 5+ picks
  • October 2026
    −14.7 pp
    9-22 · 29%
    ROI −57.4%

By league

Similar tipsters

Same main sport, closest index

Badge for your site

Show your BetBuddyRank index on your site, Linktree or Telegram channel. The badge updates with the leaderboard and links to this page.

PropSims (@PropSims) on BetBuddyRank
Social card (PNG)
HTML
Markdown
BBCode

Picks

Singleposted 25 Oct, 21:55 · 28 h before start
Pending
ATP Challenger · Seoul, South Korea·
August Holmgren
-:-
Jay Dylan Friend
Under 1.5 sets
Open on Xexpected 5% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 23 Oct, 22:30 · 3 h before start
Lost
NBA · Regular season·
San Antonio Spurs
110:114
Houston Rockets
San Antonio Spurs to win✕
NBA · Regular season·
San Antonio Spurs
110:114
Houston Rockets
San Antonio Spurs −3.5✕
Open on Xexpected 34% by model
Singleposted 22 Oct, 21:35 · 42 h before start
Won
Serie A·
Napoli
3:3
AS Roma
Over 3.5
Open on Xexpected 44% by model
Singleposted 22 Oct, 20:05 · 30 h before start
Lost
USA · AHL·
Henderson Silver Knights
2:1
Tucson Roadrunners
Henderson Silver Knights under 0.5
Open on Xexpected 7% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 22 Oct, 00:40 · 1 h before start
Won
NBA · Regular season·
Portland Trail Blazers
124:83
Phoenix Suns
Portland Trail Blazers to win✓
NBA · Regular season·
Portland Trail Blazers
124:83
Phoenix Suns
Portland Trail Blazers −3.5✓
Open on Xexpected 29% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 21 Oct, 21:40 · 3 h before start
Won
NBA · Regular season·
Houston Rockets
128:110
Dallas Mavericks
Houston Rockets to win✓
NBA · Regular season·
Houston Rockets
128:110
Dallas Mavericks
Houston Rockets −2.5✓
Open on Xexpected 42% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 21 Oct, 21:20 · 3 h before start
Lost
NBA · Regular season·
New Orleans Pelicans
120:123
Indiana Pacers
New Orleans Pelicans to win✕
NBA · Regular season·
New Orleans Pelicans
120:123
Indiana Pacers
New Orleans Pelicans −4.5✕
Open on Xexpected 24% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 21 Oct, 21:00 · 3 h before start
Lost
NBA · Regular season·
Memphis Grizzlies
123:103
Utah Jazz
Utah Jazz to win✕
NBA · Regular season·
Memphis Grizzlies
123:103
Utah Jazz
Utah Jazz −0.5✕
Open on Xexpected 25% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 21 Oct, 20:10 · 3 h before start
Won
NBA · Regular season·
Toronto Raptors
135:92
Chicago Bulls
Toronto Raptors to win✓
NBA · Regular season·
Toronto Raptors
135:92
Chicago Bulls
Toronto Raptors −2.5✓
Open on Xexpected 43% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 21 Oct, 19:50 · 4 h before start
Lost
NBA · Regular season·
Miami Heat
106:131
Minnesota Timberwolves
Miami Heat to win✕
NBA · Regular season·
Miami Heat
106:131
Minnesota Timberwolves
Miami Heat −2.5✕
Open on Xexpected 28% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 21 Oct, 19:30 · 4 h before start
Won
NBA · Regular season·
Orlando Magic
125:132
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta Hawks to win✓
NBA · Regular season·
Orlando Magic
125:132
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta Hawks −0.5✓
Open on Xexpected 24% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 20 Oct, 21:30 · 4 h before start
Lost
NBA · Regular season·
San Antonio Spurs
104:116
Oklahoma City Thunder
San Antonio Spurs to win✕
NBA · Regular season·
San Antonio Spurs
104:116
Oklahoma City Thunder
San Antonio Spurs −1.5✕
Open on Xexpected 26% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 20 Oct, 19:00 · 4 h before start
Lost
NBA · Regular season·
New York Knicks
100:106
Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia 76ers to win✓
NBA · Regular season·
New York Knicks
100:106
Philadelphia 76ers
New York Knicks −0.5✕
Open on Xexpected 21% by model
Singleposted 20 Oct, 18:10 · 50 min before start
odds 2.05DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NBA · Regular season·
Detroit Pistons
121:113
Boston Celtics
Detroit Pistons to win
Open on Xexpected 47% from the closing line+1.05 u
Singleposted 20 Oct, 18:10 · 50 min before start
Won
NBA · Regular season·
Detroit Pistons
121:113
Boston Celtics
Detroit Pistons −1.5
Open on Xexpected 54% by model
Singleposted 19 Oct, 18:16 · 6 h before start
odds 1.24DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
San Francisco 49ers
23:17
Washington Commanders
San Francisco 49ers to win
Open on Xexpected 77% from the closing line+0.24 u
Same-game combo · 3posted 18 Oct, 23:20 · 59 min before start
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Green Bay Packers
23:13
Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys to win✕
NFL · Regular Season·
Green Bay Packers
23:13
Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys +1✕
NFL · Regular Season·
Green Bay Packers
23:13
Dallas Cowboys
Under 53.5✓
Open on Xexpected 16% by model
Singleposted 18 Oct, 18:36 · 6 h before start
odds 1.81DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NFL · Regular Season·
Green Bay Packers
23:13
Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys to win
Open on Xexpected 53% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 18 Oct, 17:31 · 3 h before start
odds 1.40DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
Las Vegas Raiders
30:33
Buffalo Bills
Buffalo Bills to win
Open on Xexpected 68% from the closing line+0.40 u
Singleposted 18 Oct, 15:47 · 1 h before start
odds 1.33DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NFL · Regular Season·
Indianapolis Colts
20:26
Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis Colts to win
Open on Xexpected 72% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 18 Oct, 15:01 · 2 h before start
odds 1.89DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NFL · Regular Season·
New York Giants
27:34
New Orleans Saints
New York Giants to win
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 18 Oct, 13:41 · 3 h before start
odds 1.95DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NFL · Regular Season·
Atlanta Falcons
23:31
Chicago Bears
Atlanta Falcons to win
Open on Xexpected 49% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 18 Oct, 12:31 · 58 min before start
odds 1.70DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NFL · Regular Season·
Jacksonville Jaguars
31:34
Houston Texans
Jacksonville Jaguars to win
Open on Xexpected 56% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 17 Oct, 01:00 · 1 h before start
Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Anaheim Ducks
2:4
Boston Bruins
Boston Bruins under 3.5
Open on Xexpected 67% by model
Singleposted 16 Oct, 20:30 · 45 h before start
odds 2.14DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NFL · Regular Season·
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
19:26
Pittsburgh Steelers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win
Open on Xexpected 45% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 12 Oct, 22:20 · 2 h before start
odds 1.89DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NFL · Regular Season·
Los Angeles Rams
34:37
Buffalo Bills
Under 55.5
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 11 Oct, 22:20 · 2 h before start
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Atlanta Falcons
23:30
Baltimore Ravens
Atlanta Falcons −1
Open on Xexpected 46% by model
Singleposted 11 Oct, 18:30 · 2 h before start
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Arizona Cardinals
21:45
Detroit Lions
Under 54.5
Open on Xexpected 52% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 11 Oct, 15:50 · 1 h before start
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
New Orleans Saints
13:23
Minnesota Vikings
New Orleans Saints +6.8✕
NFL · Regular Season·
New Orleans Saints
13:23
Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota Vikings to win✓
Open on Xexpected 39% by model
Singleposted 11 Oct, 11:30 · 2 h before start
odds 1.86DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NFL · Regular Season·
Jacksonville Jaguars
19:17
Philadelphia Eagles
Over 41.5
Open on Xexpected 51% from the closing line−1.00 u