PhillyFadezz

@PhillyFadezz288 followersfirst pick 1 Octusually posts 7 h before start

#FlyEaglesFly, #RingtheBell Sharpest bettor in the game

NFL & NCAAF

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Tipster index51.7needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history

Hit rate

60.0%

expected 54.2%

Edge

+5.8 pp

over expectation

Graded

3-2

ROI

on 4 picks with odds

Average odds

1.81

singles with odds

Form

streak L2 · best W3, worst L2

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

NFL & NCAAF3-2 · 5 graded

+5.8

60%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result1-2 · 3 graded

−20.7

33%

Handicap2-0 · 2 graded

+45.5

100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite1-0 · 1 graded

+39.9

100%

Even2-2 · 4 graded

−2.7

50%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.891-2 · 3 graded

33%

1.90…2.291-0 · 1 graded

100%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).