Emberly☯️💎

@burncoinronin1.2K followersfirst pick 29 Septusually posts 8 h before start

Sweet, but never simple 🌟 QUEEN IN MY WORLD 👑 GET ALL MY PLAYS IN THE DISCORD ⬇️

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Tipster index65.7#19 on the leaderboardnewdeveloping sample

Open picks 6

Games not played yet

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·12 Oct, 06:20

Jiri Lehecka

live

Rafael Jodar

Rafael Jodar to win@2.36

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·12 Oct, 06:30

Stefanos Tsitsipas

live

Taylor Fritz

Stefanos Tsitsipas to win@2.34

WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·12 Oct, 07:30

Maria Sakkari

-:-

Donna Vekic

Maria Sakkari to win@1.61

ATP Challenger · Jinan, China·12 Oct, 08:00

Martin Landaluce

-:-

Ilia Simakin

Ilia Simakin to win@2.10

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·12 Oct, 11:30

Tommy Paul

-:-

Valentin Vacherot

Tommy Paul to win@1.65

NFL · Regular Season·13 Oct, 00:15

Los Angeles Rams

-:-

Buffalo Bills

Buffalo Bills to win

Hit rate

70.5%

expected 57.3%

Edge

+13.2 pp

hit rate at least 58.3% with 95% confidence: the edge is not luck

Graded

31-13-1 · 6 pending

ROI

−100.0%

on 5 picks with odds · max drawdown −5.00 u

Average odds

1.82

singles with odds

Form

streak L1 · best W9, worst L4

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

NFL & NCAAF17-6-1 · 24 graded

+18.9

74%

Hockey9-4 · 13 graded

+8.3

69%

Tennis3-1 · 4 graded

+7.1

75%

Baseball2-2 · 4 graded

+2.3

50%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result24-9-1 · 34 graded

+13.4

73%

Handicap5-0 · 5 graded

+34.1

100%

Totals2-2 · 4 graded

−2.6

50%

Parlays0-2 · 2 graded

−10.9

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite15-4 · 19 graded

+11.9

79%

Even16-6-1 · 23 graded

+18.6

73%

Underdog0-1 · 1 graded

−33.4

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.890-2 · 2 graded

1.90…2.290-1 · 1 graded

2.30…3.490-0 · 0 graded

Singles with the odds stated in the post. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 1 of 1 months with 5+ picks

September 2026
−9.7 pp
1-2 · 33%
October 2026
+14.9 pp
30-11-1 · 73%
ROI −100.0%

By league

NFL12-3-180%+20.9
NHL9-469%+8.3
NCAAF5-183%+24.1
MLB · USA2-250%+2.3
WTA 10002-167%−3.3
ATP 10000-0--
ATP Challenger0-0--
ATP 5001-0100%+38.2

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Picks

Singleposted 12 Oct, 05:04 · 1 h before start

odds 2.34Pending

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·12 Oct, 06:30

Stefanos Tsitsipas

live

Taylor Fritz

Stefanos Tsitsipas to win@2.34

Singleposted 12 Oct, 05:04 · 1 h before start

odds 2.36Pending

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·12 Oct, 06:20

Jiri Lehecka

live

Rafael Jodar

Rafael Jodar to win@2.36

Singleposted 12 Oct, 05:04 · 2 h before start

odds 1.61Pending

WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·12 Oct, 07:30

Maria Sakkari

-:-

Donna Vekic

Maria Sakkari to win@1.61

Singleposted 12 Oct, 05:04 · 3 h before start

odds 2.10Pending

ATP Challenger · Jinan, China·12 Oct, 08:00

Martin Landaluce

-:-

Ilia Simakin

Ilia Simakin to win@2.10

Singleposted 12 Oct, 05:04 · 6 h before start

odds 1.65Pending

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·12 Oct, 11:30

Tommy Paul

-:-

Valentin Vacherot

Tommy Paul to win@1.65

Singleposted 11 Oct, 06:08 · 7 h before start

Won

NFL · Regular Season·11 Oct, 13:30

Jacksonville Jaguars

19:17

Philadelphia Eagles

Jacksonville Jaguars to win

Singleposted 11 Oct, 06:08 · 11 h before start

Won

NFL · Regular Season·11 Oct, 17:00

Miami Dolphins

24:31

Cincinnati Bengals

Cincinnati Bengals to win

Singleposted 11 Oct, 06:08 · 11 h before start

Won

NFL · Regular Season·11 Oct, 17:00

New Orleans Saints

13:23

Minnesota Vikings

Minnesota Vikings to win

Singleposted 11 Oct, 06:08 · 11 h before start

Won

NFL · Regular Season·11 Oct, 17:00

New England Patriots

45:17

Las Vegas Raiders

New England Patriots to win

Singleposted 11 Oct, 06:08 · 11 h before start

Lost

NFL · Regular Season·11 Oct, 17:00

New York Jets

17:12

Cleveland Browns

Cleveland Browns to win

Singleposted 11 Oct, 06:08 · 11 h before start

Won

NFL · Regular Season·11 Oct, 17:00

Pittsburgh Steelers

34:22

Indianapolis Colts

Pittsburgh Steelers to win

Singleposted 11 Oct, 06:08 · 11 h before start

Won

NFL · Regular Season·11 Oct, 17:00

Tennessee Titans

3:26

Houston Texans

Houston Texans to win

Singleposted 11 Oct, 06:08 · 11 h before start

Push

NFL · Regular Season·11 Oct, 17:00

Washington Commanders

27:27

New York Giants

Washington Commanders to win

Singleposted 11 Oct, 06:08 · 11 h before start

Won

NFL · Regular Season·11 Oct, 17:00

Green Bay Packers

31:7

Chicago Bears

Green Bay Packers to win

Singleposted 11 Oct, 06:08 · 14 h before start

Won

NFL · Regular Season·11 Oct, 20:05

Los Angeles Chargers

17:23

Denver Broncos

Denver Broncos to win

Singleposted 11 Oct, 06:08 · 14 h before start

Won

NFL · Regular Season·11 Oct, 20:25

Seattle Seahawks

29:32

San Francisco 49ers

San Francisco 49ers to win

Singleposted 11 Oct, 06:08 · 14 h before start

Won

NFL · Regular Season·11 Oct, 20:25

Arizona Cardinals

21:45

Detroit Lions

Detroit Lions to win

Singleposted 11 Oct, 06:08 · 18 h before start

Lost

NFL · Regular Season·12 Oct, 00:20

Atlanta Falcons

23:30

Baltimore Ravens

Atlanta Falcons to win

Singleposted 11 Oct, 06:08 · 42 h before start

Pending

NFL · Regular Season·13 Oct, 00:15

Los Angeles Rams

-:-

Buffalo Bills

Buffalo Bills to win

Singleposted 10 Oct, 04:41 · 15 h before start

Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·10 Oct, 19:30

Oklahoma Sooners

27:24

Texas Longhorns

Texas Longhorns to win

Singleposted 10 Oct, 04:41 · 15 h before start

Won

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·10 Oct, 19:30

Vanderbilt Commodores

17:52

Ole Miss Rebels

Ole Miss Rebels to win

Singleposted 10 Oct, 04:41 · 18 h before start

Won

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·10 Oct, 23:00

Kentucky Wildcats

35:34

LSU Tigers

Kentucky Wildcats +17.5

Singleposted 10 Oct, 04:41 · 19 h before start

Won

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·10 Oct, 23:30

Alabama Crimson Tide

17:20

Georgia Bulldogs

Georgia Bulldogs to win

Singleposted 10 Oct, 04:41 · 19 h before start

Won

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·10 Oct, 23:30

Georgia Southern Eagles

24:27

James Madison Dukes

James Madison Dukes to win

Singleposted 10 Oct, 04:41 · 19 h before start

Won

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·10 Oct, 23:30

Penn State Nittany Lions

23:31

USC Trojans

USC Trojans +6.5

Singleposted 9 Oct, 18:04 · 5 h before start

odds 1.91Lost

NHL · NHL: Regular season·9 Oct, 23:00

Columbus Blue Jackets

3:2

Pittsburgh Penguins

penalties

Over 6.5@1.91

Singleposted 9 Oct, 18:04 · 5 h before start

odds 1.71Lost

NHL · NHL: Regular season·9 Oct, 23:00

Detroit Red Wings

3:6

Seattle Kraken

Detroit Red Wings to win@1.71

Singleposted 9 Oct, 18:04 · 6 h before start

odds 1.83Lost

NHL · NHL: Regular season·10 Oct, 00:00

Winnipeg Jets

1:5

Anaheim Ducks

Winnipeg Jets to win@1.83

Singleposted 8 Oct, 17:54 · 7 h before start

Won

NHL · NHL: Regular season·9 Oct, 01:00

Calgary Flames

3:7

Colorado Avalanche

Colorado Avalanche to win

Singleposted 8 Oct, 17:54 · 5 h before start

Won

NHL · NHL: Regular season·8 Oct, 23:00

Tampa Bay Lightning

3:2

Minnesota Wild

Tampa Bay Lightning to win