Playnance Mobile

@PMobile2566751 followersfirst pick 27 Septusually posts 2 h before start

FootballBasketball

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Tipster index46.5needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history

Hit rate

33.3%

expected 43.8%

Edge

−10.5 pp

over expectation

Graded

2-4

ROI

−73.0%

on 5 picks with odds · max drawdown −3.65 u

Average odds

2.63

singles with odds

Form

streak W1 · best W1, worst L3

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

Football1-3 · 4 graded

−15.0

25%

Basketball1-1 · 2 graded

−1.4

50%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Handicap1-3 · 4 graded

−19.5

25%

Match result0-1 · 1 graded

−25.3

Double chance1-0 · 1 graded

+40.6

100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite1-0 · 1 graded

+29.4

100%

Even1-1 · 2 graded

−0.1

50%

Underdog0-3 · 3 graded

−30.7

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.501-0 · 1 graded

100%

2.30…3.490-3 · 3 graded

3.50+0-1 · 1 graded

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

September 2026
−15.0 pp
1-3 · 25%
October 2026
−1.4 pp
1-1 · 50%

By league

UEFA Nations League1-325%−15.0
Liga ACB · Spain1-150%−1.4

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Same main sport, closest index

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Picks

Singleposted 18 Oct, 07:58 · 2 h before start

odds 1.35Won

Spain · Liga ACB·18 Oct, 10:00

Basket Zaragoza

109:98

Hiopos Lleida

Basket Zaragoza −1.35@1.35

Singleposted 18 Oct, 07:58 · 2 h before start

odds 2.95Lost

Spain · Liga ACB·18 Oct, 10:00

Basket Zaragoza

109:98

Hiopos Lleida

Hiopos Lleida −2.95@2.95

Singleposted 27 Sept, 16:55 · 2 h before start

Won

UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 4·27 Sept, 18:45

Norway

1:2

Portugal

Portugal or draw

Singleposted 27 Sept, 16:55 · 2 h before start

odds 2.34Lost

UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 4·27 Sept, 18:45

Norway

1:2

Portugal

Norway −2.34@2.34

Singleposted 27 Sept, 16:55 · 2 h before start

odds 3.76Lost

UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 4·27 Sept, 18:45

Norway

1:2

Portugal

Draw@3.76

Singleposted 27 Sept, 16:55 · 2 h before start

odds 2.76Lost

UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 4·27 Sept, 18:45

Norway

1:2

Portugal

Portugal −2.76@2.76