Nick

@Nickisachamp9613.2K followersfirst pick 12 Oct

I post about music, sports, gaming and life! I also stream and go live on Tik Tok and Twitch! I am looking to build a strong community! Follow my other socials.

Baseball

CompareRSS

Tipster index52.4needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history

Hit rate

66.7%

expected 53.5%

Edge

+13.2 pp

over expectation

Graded

2-1

ROI

on 3 picks with odds

Average odds

1.84

singles with odds

Form

streak W1 · best W1, worst L1

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

Baseball2-1 · 3 graded

+13.2

67%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result2-1 · 3 graded

+13.2

67%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite0-1 · 1 graded

−60.3

Even2-0 · 2 graded

+49.9

100%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.891-1 · 2 graded

50%

1.90…2.291-0 · 1 graded

100%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).