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NBAENG | NBA & EuroLeague Props

@NbaEngProps587 followersfirst pick 25 Septusually posts 2 h before start

Player Props • Oyuncu bahisleri 🏀 Oranı herkes görür. Değeri biz buluruz. @Stake iş ortağı • Promo code: NbaEng • 18+

Basketball
Tipster index56.1needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history
Hit rate
66.7%
expected 53.4%
Edge
+13.3 pp
over expectation
Graded
9
6-3
ROI
-
on 4 picks with odds
Average odds
1.94
singles with odds
Form
streak L1 · best W4, worst L2

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

00.511.524 Sept3 Oct12 Oct21 Oct30 Oct

By sport

Basketball6-3 · 9 graded
+13.3
67%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Handicap2-2 · 4 graded
−4.8
50%
Match result3-0 · 3 graded
+47.7
100%
Totals1-1 · 2 graded
−2.2
50%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite0-1 · 1 graded
−68.4
0%
Even5-2 · 7 graded
+17.7
71%
Underdog1-0 · 1 graded
+64.1
100%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.892-1 · 3 graded
-
67%
2.30…3.491-0 · 1 graded
-
100%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 1 of 1 months with 5+ picks
  • September 2026
    +48.7 pp
    2-0 · 100%
  • October 2026
    +3.1 pp
    4-3 · 57%

By league

  • EuroLeague4-0100%+51.8
  • EuroCup1-150%−10.5
  • NBA0-10%−58.8
  • WNBA1-0100%+44.8
  • BSL · Turkiye0-10%−52.7

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Picks

Singleposted 29 Oct, 18:03 · 2 h before start
odds 2.65Won
EuroLeague · EuroLeague: Regular season·
Real Madrid
95:76
Fenerbahçe
Under 172.5@2.65
Open on Xexpected 36% from odds+1.65 u
Singleposted 29 Oct, 18:03 · 6 h before start
odds 1.62Lost
NBA · Regular season·
New Orleans Pelicans
132:120
Sacramento Kings
Sacramento Kings +8.5@1.62
Open on Xexpected 59% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 23 Oct, 15:37 · 3 h before start
odds 1.89Won
EuroLeague · EuroLeague: Regular season·
Olympiacos B.C.
61:64
Fenerbahçe
Fenerbahçe to win@1.89
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds+0.89 u
Singleposted 23 Oct, 15:37 · 3 h before start
odds 1.61Won
EuroLeague · EuroLeague: Regular season·
Paris Basketball
93:104
Valencia
Valencia to win@1.61
Open on Xexpected 59% from odds+0.61 u
Singleposted 6 Oct, 15:30 · 1 h before start
Lost
EuroCup · Group B·
Turk Telekom
92:77
Pallacanestro Brescia
Under 167.5
Open on Xexpected 68% by model
Singleposted 6 Oct, 15:30 · 3 h before start
Won
EuroCup · Group A·
Rostock Seawolves
87:86
Rigas Zelli
Rigas Zelli +8.5
Open on Xexpected 53% by model
Singleposted 5 Oct, 14:07 · 2 h before start
Lost
Turkiye · BSL·
Beşiktaş
90:81
Trabzonspor
Trabzonspor +7.5
Open on Xexpected 53% by model
Singleposted 27 Sept, 17:41 · 18 min before start
Won
WNBA · WNBA: Play-off·
Minnesota Lynx
75:91
New York Liberty
New York Liberty +10.5
Open on Xexpected 55% by model
Singleposted 25 Sept, 16:07 · 53 min before start
Won
EuroLeague · EuroLeague: Regular season·
Beşiktaş
94:96
Valencia
Valencia to win
Open on Xexpected 47% by model