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Nate

@NateAnalysis765 followersfirst pick 25 Sept

Analysis | Predictions | News Boxing • Tennis • No hype. Just analysis.👇🏾

TennisFootball
Tipster index50.1needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history
Hit rate
50.0%
expected 49.1%
Edge
+0.9 pp
over expectation
Graded
2
1-1
ROI
-
posts no odds
Average odds
-
singles with odds
Form
streak L1 · best W1, worst L1

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

00.20.40.625 Sept12 Oct28 Oct

By sport

Tennis0-1 · 1 graded
−74.9
0%
Football1-0 · 1 graded
+76.6
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result1-1 · 2 graded
+0.9
50%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite0-1 · 1 graded
−74.9
0%
Underdog1-0 · 1 graded
+76.6
100%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By month

  • September 2026
    +76.6 pp
    1-0 · 100%
  • October 2026
    −74.9 pp
    0-1 · 0%

By league

  • ATP 5000-10%−74.9
  • J3 League · Japan1-0100%+76.6

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Picks

Singleposted 28 Oct, 14:45 · 6 h before start
Lost
ATP 500 · Swiss Indoors Basel·
Hubert Hurkacz
1:2
Holger Rune
Hubert Hurkacz to win
Open on Xexpected 75% by model
Singleposted 25 Sept, 12:05 · 20 h before start
Won
Japan · J3 League·
Tochigi SC
1:2
Matsumoto Yamaga
Matsumoto Yamaga to win
Open on Xexpected 23% by model