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NHL Betting Pro

@NHLBettingPro762 followersfirst pick 2 Octusually posts 8 h before start

🏒 🥅 | Your go-to for sharp NHL picks, insights, and strategies | Professional Beer Leaguer

Hockey
CompareRSS
Tipster index42.8#681 on the leaderboarddown 45 this weekestablished sample
Hit rate
46.5%
expected 51.6%
Edge
−5.1 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 37.1%, the edge is within noise
Graded
71
33-38
ROI
−13.7%
on 71 picks with odds · max drawdown −12.93 u
Average odds
1.87
singles with odds
Form
streak L1 · best W4, worst L5

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-4-201 Oct10 Oct19 Oct27 Oct5 Nov

By sport

Hockey33-38 · 71 graded
−5.1
46%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result13-22 · 35 graded
−17.5
37%
Totals11-10 · 21 graded
+1.2
52%
Handicap9-5 · 14 graded
+19.0
64%
Parlays0-1 · 1 graded
−43.5
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite4-4 · 8 graded
−12.7
50%
Even29-33 · 62 graded
−3.5
47%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.501-1 · 2 graded
-
50%
1.50…1.8919-23 · 42 graded
−21.7%
45%
1.90…2.2912-9 · 21 graded
+17.2%
57%
2.30…3.491-4 · 5 graded
−54.0%
20%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 0 of 2 months with 5+ picks
  • October 2026
    −3.4 pp
    31-33 · 48%
    ROI −9.9%
  • November 2026
    −21.1 pp
    2-5 · 29%
    ROI −48.3%

By league

  • NHL33-3747%−4.6

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Picks

Singleposted 4 Nov, 17:50 · 7 h before start
odds 2.05Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Florida Panthers
5:3
Chicago Blackhawks
Florida Panthers −1.5@2.05
Open on Xexpected 47% from odds+1.05 u
Singleposted 4 Nov, 17:50 · 9 h before start
odds 2.10Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Seattle Kraken
2:1
Calgary Flames
Over 6.5@2.10
Open on Xexpected 45% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 4 Nov, 17:50 · 7 h before start
odds 1.87Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Buffalo Sabres
1:2
Ottawa Senators
Over 6.5@1.87
Open on Xexpected 51% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 3 Nov, 16:49 · 7 h before start
odds 2.36Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Montreal Canadiens
4:5
Winnipeg Jets
Montreal Canadiens −1.5@2.36
Open on Xexpected 40% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 3 Nov, 16:49 · 8 h before start
odds 2.30Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
New Jersey Devils
4:3
Edmonton Oilers
penalties
Edmonton Oilers to win@2.30
Open on Xexpected 41% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 3 Nov, 16:49 · 8 h before start
odds 1.52Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Nashville Predators
4:1
Carolina Hurricanes
Carolina Hurricanes to win@1.52
Open on Xexpected 63% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 3 Nov, 16:49 · 7 h before start
odds 1.57Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Philadelphia Flyers
2:4
Minnesota Wild
Minnesota Wild to win@1.57
Open on Xexpected 61% from odds+0.57 u
Singleposted 30 Oct, 18:25 · 5 h before start
odds 2.14Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Florida Panthers
5:2
Winnipeg Jets
Florida Panthers −1.5@2.14
Open on Xexpected 45% from odds+1.14 u
Singleposted 30 Oct, 18:25 · 6 h before start
odds 1.98Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Calgary Flames
6:2
Seattle Kraken
Over 6.5@1.98
Open on Xexpected 48% from odds+0.98 u
Singleposted 30 Oct, 18:25 · 4 h before start
odds 1.75Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Vegas Golden Knights
2:5
New Jersey Devils
Under 6.5@1.75
Open on Xexpected 55% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 29 Oct, 18:11 · 6 h before start
odds 1.74Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Dallas Stars
2:5
Montreal Canadiens
Under 6.5@1.74
Open on Xexpected 55% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 29 Oct, 18:11 · 8 h before start
odds 1.76Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Anaheim Ducks
6:7
Buffalo Sabres
Over 6.5@1.76
Open on Xexpected 54% from odds+0.76 u
Singleposted 29 Oct, 18:11 · 5 h before start
odds 1.96Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Tampa Bay Lightning
6:4
Winnipeg Jets
Tampa Bay Lightning −1.5@1.96
Open on Xexpected 49% from odds+0.96 u
Singleposted 28 Oct, 14:19 · 10 h before start
odds 1.89Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Edmonton Oilers
4:0
Calgary Flames
Over 6.5@1.89
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 28 Oct, 14:19 · 9 h before start
odds 2.10Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Washington Capitals
5:2
Philadelphia Flyers
Washington Capitals −1.5@2.10
Open on Xexpected 45% from odds+1.10 u
Singleposted 28 Oct, 14:19 · 12 h before start
odds 1.83Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Seattle Kraken
5:4
Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto Maple Leafs to win@1.83
Open on Xexpected 52% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 27 Oct, 16:35 · 9 h before start
odds 2.14Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Anaheim Ducks
5:6
Vancouver Canucks
Anaheim Ducks −1.5@2.14
Open on Xexpected 45% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 27 Oct, 16:35 · 9 h before start
odds 1.65Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Vegas Golden Knights
4:1
Ottawa Senators
Vegas Golden Knights to win@1.65
Open on Xexpected 58% from odds+0.65 u
Singleposted 27 Oct, 16:35 · 8 h before start
odds 2.10Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Utah Mammoth
1:3
Minnesota Wild
Minnesota Wild to win@2.10
Open on Xexpected 45% from odds+1.10 u
Singleposted 27 Oct, 16:35 · 7 h before start
odds 1.83Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Chicago Blackhawks
2:1
Los Angeles Kings
Los Angeles Kings to win@1.83
Open on Xexpected 52% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 27 Oct, 16:35 · 10 h before start
odds 2.20Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
San Jose Sharks
0:2
Buffalo Sabres
San Jose Sharks to win@2.20
Open on Xexpected 43% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 26 Oct, 15:11 · 10 h before start
odds 1.85Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Edmonton Oilers
3:4
Detroit Red Wings
penalties
Over 6.5@1.85
Open on Xexpected 52% from odds+0.85 u
Singleposted 26 Oct, 15:11 · 8 h before start
odds 1.77Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
New York Rangers
3:6
Los Angeles Kings
New York Rangers to win@1.77
Open on Xexpected 54% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 26 Oct, 15:11 · 9 h before start
odds 1.62Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Calgary Flames
5:2
Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto Maple Leafs to win@1.62
Open on Xexpected 59% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 24 Oct, 12:37 · 12 h before start
odds 1.70Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Utah Mammoth
5:4
Tampa Bay Lightning
Utah Mammoth to win@1.70
Open on Xexpected 56% from odds+0.70 u
Singleposted 24 Oct, 12:37 · 10 h before start
odds 2.30Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Boston Bruins
6:4
San Jose Sharks
Boston Bruins −1.5@2.30
Open on Xexpected 41% from odds+1.30 u
Singleposted 24 Oct, 12:37 · 10 h before start
odds 1.68Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Edmonton Oilers
2:7
Toronto Maple Leafs
Over 6.5@1.68
Open on Xexpected 57% from odds+0.68 u
Singleposted 24 Oct, 12:37 · 10 h before start
odds 1.65Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
St. Louis Blues
0:4
Carolina Hurricanes
Carolina Hurricanes to win@1.65
Open on Xexpected 58% from odds+0.65 u
Singleposted 24 Oct, 12:37 · 4 h before start
odds 2.10Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Philadelphia Flyers
4:5
Anaheim Ducks
Under 5.5@2.10
Open on Xexpected 45% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 15:10 · 9 h before start
odds 2.02Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Dallas Stars
3:2
Winnipeg Jets
Under 5.5@2.02
Open on Xexpected 47% from odds+1.02 u