NBA Picks

@NBAProKing24 followersfirst pick 16 Octusually posts 2 h before start

🏀 The Best NBA Picks Predictor in the Game. �

Basketball

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Tipster index61.4needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history

Hit rate

100.0%

expected 60.2%

Edge

+39.9 pp

over expectation

Graded

5-0

ROI

+60.0%

on 5 picks with odds

Average odds

1.60

singles with odds

Form

streak W5 · best W5, worst L0

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

Basketball5-0 · 5 graded

+39.9

100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result4-0 · 4 graded

+37.5

100%

Handicap1-0 · 1 graded

+49.3

100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite4-0 · 4 graded

+37.5

100%

Even1-0 · 1 graded

+49.3

100%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.501-0 · 1 graded

100%

1.50…1.894-0 · 4 graded

100%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).