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Martin Henderson

@MartinHendwl71 followersfirst pick 12 Octusually posts 11 h before start
TennisHockeyFootballNFL & NCAAFBasketball
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Tipster index54.9#185 on the leaderboardnewdeveloping sample

Open picks 6

Games not played yet
NBA · Regular season·
Charlotte Hornets
-:-
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta Hawks to win +7
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Auburn Tigers
-:-
LSU Tigers
LSU Tigers −7@1.83DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use it
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Kansas Jayhawks
-:-
Baylor Bears
Baylor Bears −2
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Ball State Cardinals
-:-
Sacramento State Hornets
Ball State Cardinals −12.5
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
-:-
Old Dominion Monarchs
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs −11
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Wisconsin Badgers
-:-
USC Trojans
USC Trojans −2.5
Hit rate
67.7%
expected 62.9%
Edge
+4.8 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 53.0%, the edge is within noise
Graded
31
21-10 · 8 pending
ROI
+16.4%
on 18 picks with odds · max drawdown −2.00 u
Average odds
1.51
singles with odds
Form
streak W2 · best W6, worst L2

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-2-10112 Oct14 Oct17 Oct20 Oct22 Oct

By sport

Tennis7-5 · 12 graded
−6.8
58%
Hockey9-2 · 11 graded
+15.7
82%
Football5-2 · 7 graded
+8.7
71%
Basketball0-1 · 1 graded
−1.4
0%
NFL & NCAAF0-0 · 0 graded
-
-

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result14-8 · 22 graded
+0.3
64%
Handicap7-1 · 8 graded
+18.0
88%
Parlays0-1 · 1 graded
−1.4
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite16-5 · 21 graded
+6.1
76%
Even5-4 · 9 graded
+2.5
56%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.509-2 · 11 graded
+14.2%
82%
1.50…1.895-2 · 7 graded
+19.9%
71%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 1 of 1 months with 5+ picks
  • October 2026
    +4.8 pp
    21-10 · 68%
    ROI +16.4%

By league

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Picks

Parlay · 8posted 23 Oct, 10:26 · 13 h before start
Pending
NBA · Regular season·
Charlotte Hornets
-:-
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta Hawks to win◷
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Colorado Avalanche
-:-
Tampa Bay Lightning
Colorado Avalanche to win◷
NBA · Regular season·
Indiana Pacers
-:-
Dallas Mavericks
Indiana Pacers to win◷
MLB · post-season·
Milwaukee Brewers
-:-
Tampa Bay Rays
Milwaukee Brewers to win◷
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Virginia Cavaliers
-:-
Duke Blue Devils
Virginia Cavaliers to win◷
NBA · Regular season·
Golden State Warriors
-:-
Memphis Grizzlies
Golden State Warriors to win◷
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Chicago Blackhawks
-:-
Montreal Canadiens
Montreal Canadiens to win◷
NBA · Regular season·
Washington Wizards
-:-
Toronto Raptors
Toronto Raptors to win◷
Open on Xexpected 2% by model
Singleposted 22 Oct, 17:37 · 1 h before start
Won
Europa League · League Stage·
Celtic
1:2
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo +1.5
Open on Xexpected 62% by model
Singleposted 22 Oct, 17:37 · 1 h before start
odds 1.36DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
Europa League · League Stage·
Lillestroem
0:6
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad to win
Open on Xexpected 70% from the closing line+0.36 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 17:37 · 1 h before start
Lost
Europa League · League Stage·
Hoffenheim
3:0
Lyon
Lyon +1.5
Open on Xexpected 78% by model
Singleposted 22 Oct, 17:37 · 1 h before start
odds 1.46DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
Europa League · League Stage·
Olympiacos
1:0
Sparta Prague
Olympiacos to win
Open on Xexpected 65% from the closing line+0.46 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 17:37 · 1 h before start
odds 1.83DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
Europa League · League Stage·
AFC Bournemouth
3:0
AC Milan
AFC Bournemouth to win
Open on Xexpected 52% from the closing line+0.83 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 17:37 · 1 h before start
odds 1.76DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
Europa League · League Stage·
Viktoria Plzen
1:2
Levski Sofia
Viktoria Plzen to win
Open on Xexpected 54% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 17:37 · 1 h before start
Won
Europa League · League Stage·
Beşiktaş
2:2
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace +1.5
Open on Xexpected 57% by model
Singleposted 21 Oct, 17:08 · 3 days before start
Pending
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Wisconsin Badgers
-:-
USC Trojans
USC Trojans −2.5
Open on Xexpected 44% by model
Singleposted 21 Oct, 17:08 · 3 days before start
Pending
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Kentucky Wildcats
-:-
Vanderbilt Commodores
Kentucky Wildcats −11
Open on Xexpected 40% by model
Singleposted 21 Oct, 17:08 · 3 days before start
Pending
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Kansas Jayhawks
-:-
Baylor Bears
Baylor Bears −2
Open on Xexpected 44% by model
Singleposted 21 Oct, 17:08 · 3 days before start
Pending
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
-:-
Old Dominion Monarchs
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs −11
Open on Xexpected 40% by model
Singleposted 21 Oct, 17:08 · 4 days before start
Pending
NFL · Regular Season·
Houston Texans
-:-
New York Giants
Houston Texans +3
Open on Xexpected 60% by model
Singleposted 21 Oct, 17:08 · 3 days before start
Pending
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Ball State Cardinals
-:-
Sacramento State Hornets
Ball State Cardinals −12.5
Open on Xexpected 53% by model
Singleposted 21 Oct, 17:08 · 3 days before start
odds 1.83DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itPending
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Auburn Tigers
-:-
LSU Tigers
LSU Tigers −7
Open on Xexpected 52% from the closing line
Parlay · 9posted 21 Oct, 17:00 · 6 h before start
Lost
NBA · Regular season·
Houston Rockets
128:110
Dallas Mavericks
Houston Rockets to win✓
NBA · Regular season·
LA Clippers
121:96
Sacramento Kings
LA Clippers to win✓
NBA · Regular season·
Memphis Grizzlies
123:103
Utah Jazz
Over 240.5✕
NBA · Regular season·
New Orleans Pelicans
120:123
Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers to win✓
NBA · Regular season·
Toronto Raptors
135:92
Chicago Bulls
Toronto Raptors to win✓
NBA · Regular season·
Miami Heat
106:131
Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota Timberwolves to win✓
NBA · Regular season·
Orlando Magic
125:132
Atlanta Hawks
Orlando Magic to win✕
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Ottawa Senators
5:1
Florida Panthers
Florida Panthers +1.5✕
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Buffalo Sabres
1:3
Philadelphia Flyers
Buffalo Sabres to win✕
Open on Xexpected 1% by model
Singleposted 20 Oct, 12:04 · 13 h before start
odds 1.80DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Edmonton Oilers
4:3
Minnesota Wild
Edmonton Oilers to win
Open on Xexpected 53% from the closing line+0.80 u
Singleposted 20 Oct, 12:04 · 11 h before start
odds 1.54DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Columbus Blue Jackets
2:6
Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto Maple Leafs +1.5
Open on Xexpected 62% from the closing line+0.54 u
Singleposted 20 Oct, 12:04 · 14 h before start
odds 1.35DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Vancouver Canucks
3:6
Carolina Hurricanes
Carolina Hurricanes to win
Open on Xexpected 71% from the closing line+0.35 u
Singleposted 20 Oct, 12:04 · 11 h before start
odds 1.64DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
New York Islanders
3:2
Anaheim Ducks
New York Islanders to win
Open on Xexpected 58% from the closing line+0.64 u
Singleposted 20 Oct, 12:04 · 11 h before start
odds 1.40DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
New Jersey Devils
4:3
Colorado Avalanche
Colorado Avalanche +1.5
Open on Xexpected 68% from the closing line+0.40 u
Singleposted 20 Oct, 12:04 · 11 h before start
odds 1.61DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Washington Capitals
2:5
Los Angeles Kings
Washington Capitals to win
Open on Xexpected 59% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 20 Oct, 12:04 · 14 h before start
odds 1.37DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Vegas Golden Knights
2:6
Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay Lightning +1.5
Open on Xexpected 70% from the closing line+0.37 u
Singleposted 20 Oct, 12:04 · 12 h before start
odds 1.58DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Dallas Stars
3:2
Boston Bruins
Dallas Stars to win
Open on Xexpected 61% from the closing line+0.58 u
Singleposted 20 Oct, 12:04 · 14 h before start
Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Seattle Kraken
4:3
Detroit Red Wings
penalties
Detroit Red Wings +1.5
Open on Xexpected 92% by model
Singleposted 20 Oct, 12:04 · 11 h before start
odds 1.44DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Montreal Canadiens
3:4
San Jose Sharks
Montreal Canadiens to win
Open on Xexpected 66% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 20 Oct, 12:04 · 12 h before start
odds 1.44DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
St. Louis Blues
2:1
Winnipeg Jets
Winnipeg Jets +1.5
Open on Xexpected 66% from the closing line+0.44 u
Singleposted 20 Oct, 09:00 · 7 h before start
odds 1.43Won
ATP 250 · European Open (Antwerp)·
Toby Samuel
0:2
Zizou Bergs
Zizou Bergs to win@1.43
Open on Xexpected 67% from odds+0.43 u
Singleposted 20 Oct, 09:00 · 6 h before start
odds 1.39Won
ATP 250 · Almaty Open·
Rei Sakamoto
0:2
Karen Khachanov
Karen Khachanov to win@1.39
Open on Xexpected 69% from odds+0.39 u
Singleposted 20 Oct, 09:00 · 1 h before start
odds 1.44Lost
ATP 250 · Lyon Open·
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
2:0
Sebastian Baez
Sebastian Baez to win@1.44
Open on Xexpected 66% from odds−1.00 u