Slippery Picks

@ForeverSlippery38 followersfirst pick 7 Augusually posts 12 h before start

Sub Capper for Capper University All My Plays in the CapU Discord in the Bio

TennisFootball

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Tipster index54.8#187 on the leaderboarddeveloping sample

Hit rate

62.9%

expected 58.4%

Edge

+4.5 pp

95% lower bound of the hit rate: 49.0%, the edge is within noise

Graded

22-13

ROI

posts no odds

Average odds

singles with odds

Form

streak W3 · best W5, worst L3

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

Tennis21-12 · 33 graded

+5.6

64%

Football1-1 · 2 graded

−14.0

50%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Totals8-8 · 16 graded

−5.7

50%

Match result8-2 · 10 graded

+18.9

80%

Handicap4-2 · 6 graded

+3.2

67%

Double chance1-0 · 1 graded

+31.4

100%

Both teams to score0-1 · 1 graded

−59.4

Parlays1-0 · 1 graded

+67.9

100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite12-4 · 16 graded

+7.8

75%

Even9-9 · 18 graded

−2.0

50%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 1 of 2 months with 5+ picks

August 2026
−1.0 pp
10-8 · 56%
September 2026
+9.1 pp
9-4 · 69%
October 2026
+14.0 pp
3-1 · 75%

By league

ATP 10008-657%+0.7
US Open7-370%+9.4
ATP 2504-180%+21.5
ATP 5002-167%+11.6
WTA Challenger0-10%−61.3
Serie A · Italy0-10%−59.4
Premier League · England1-0100%+31.4
WTA 5000-0--

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Picks

Singleposted 20 Oct, 18:46 · 15 h before start

Won

ATP 250 · European Open (Antwerp)·21 Oct, 09:40

Martin Damm

0:2

Francisco Cerundolo

Francisco Cerundolo −2.5

Singleposted 14 Oct, 21:16 · 9 h before start

Void

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·15 Oct, 06:40

Arthur Gea

void

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina −1.5 sets

Singleposted 6 Oct, 04:43 · 2 h before start

Void

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification·6 Oct, 06:35

Yoshihito Nishioka

void

Dalibor Svrcina

Dalibor Svrcina −2.5

Singleposted 3 Oct, 19:19 · 12 h before start

Won

ATP 500 · China Open·4 Oct, 07:10

Alex de Minaur

2:1

Andrey Rublev

Over 22.5 games

Singleposted 2 Oct, 21:35 · 4 h before start

Won

ATP 500 · Japan Open (Tokyo)·3 Oct, 02:00

Denis Shapovalov

2:1

Alejandro Tabilo

Denis Shapovalov to win

Singleposted 1 Oct, 22:08 · 14 h before start

Lost

ATP 500 · China Open·2 Oct, 12:35

Bu Yunchaokete

1:2

Novak Djokovic

Under 22.5 games

Singleposted 29 Sept, 23:03 · 8 h before start

Lost

WTA Challenger · Jingshan, China·30 Sept, 07:15

Wushuang Zheng

1:2

Sara Sorribes Tormo

Under 22.5 games

Singleposted 24 Sept, 20:30 · 16 h before start

Won

ATP 250 · Hangzhou Open·25 Sept, 12:10

Jaime Faria

1:2

Hugo Gaston

Over 21.5 games

Singleposted 21 Sept, 18:11 · 10 h before start

Won

ATP 250 · Hangzhou Open: Qualification·22 Sept, 04:10

Taro Daniel

2:0

Jake Delaney

Under 21.5 games

Singleposted 20 Sept, 05:09 · 11 h before start

Lost

Serie A·20 Sept, 16:00

Juventus

2:0

Atalanta

Both teams to score: yes

Singleposted 19 Sept, 02:46 · 9 h before start

Won

Premier League·19 Sept, 11:30

Tottenham Hotspur

2:3

Aston Villa

Aston Villa or draw

Singleposted 16 Sept, 00:41 · 22 h before start

Void

WTA 500 · Guadalajara Open Akron·16 Sept, 23:00

Marta Kostyuk

void

Taylor Townsend

Under 21.5 games

Singleposted 11 Sept, 03:25 · 20 h before start

Lost

US Open · Men's Singles·11 Sept, 23:45

Frances Tiafoe

1:3

Ben Shelton

Under 39.5 games

Singleposted 9 Sept, 04:31 · 19 h before start

Won

US Open · Men's Singles·10 Sept, 00:00

Alexander Zverev

3:0

Botic van de Zandschulp

Alexander Zverev to win

Singleposted 8 Sept, 03:26 · 21 h before start

Lost

US Open · Women's Singles·9 Sept, 00:25

Jessica Pegula

2:1

Emma Navarro

Under 20.5 games

Singleposted 6 Sept, 01:09 · 22 h before start

Won

US Open · Men's Singles·6 Sept, 23:15

Ben Shelton

3:0

Stefanos Tsitsipas

Ben Shelton −3.5

Singleposted 5 Sept, 18:51 · 2 h before start

Won

US Open · Men's Singles·5 Sept, 20:50

Michael Zheng

2:3

Arthur Gea

Arthur Gea +3.5

Singleposted 4 Sept, 16:18 · 5 h before start

Won

US Open · Men's Singles·4 Sept, 21:40

Tomas Etcheverry

3:0

Mariano Navone

Tomas Etcheverry to win

Singleposted 3 Sept, 04:53 · 10 h before start

Won

US Open · Men's Singles·3 Sept, 15:10

Luciano Darderi

3:1

Dalibor Svrcina

Luciano Darderi to win

Singleposted 2 Sept, 19:55 · 2 h before start

Won

US Open · Men's Singles·2 Sept, 22:05

Jiri Lehecka

3:0

Toby Samuel

Under 39.5 games

Singleposted 31 Aug, 04:06 · 11 h before start

Lost

US Open · Men's Singles·31 Aug, 15:10

Stefanos Tsitsipas

3:1

Arthur Fils

Under 36.5 games

Singleposted 30 Aug, 00:07 · 17 h before start

Won

US Open · Men's Singles·30 Aug, 17:05

Lloyd Harris

3:0

Jack Kennedy

Lloyd Harris to win

Singleposted 26 Aug, 06:37 · 12 h before start

Lost

ATP 250 · Winston-Salem Open·26 Aug, 18:10

Botic van de Zandschulp

2:0

Luciano Darderi

Over 22.5 games

Singleposted 26 Aug, 06:37 · 12 h before start

Won

ATP 250 · Winston-Salem Open·26 Aug, 18:10

Rinky Hijikata

0:2

Benjamin Bonzi

Benjamin Bonzi to win

Singleposted 26 Aug, 06:37 · 14 h before start

Void

ATP 250 · Winston-Salem Open·26 Aug, 20:50

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

void

Sebastian Baez

Juan Manuel Cerundolo −3.5

Same-game combo · 2posted 20 Aug, 02:48 · 17 h before start

Won

ATP 1000 · Cincinnati·20 Aug, 19:45

Tommy Paul

1:2

Flavio Cobolli

Flavio Cobolli +3.5✓

ATP 1000 · Cincinnati·20 Aug, 19:45

Tommy Paul

1:2

Flavio Cobolli

Tommy Paul +3.5✓

Singleposted 18 Aug, 19:13 · 5 h before start

Lost

ATP 1000 · Cincinnati·19 Aug, 00:20

Learner Tien

1:2

Frances Tiafoe

Learner Tien to win

Singleposted 17 Aug, 02:56 · 21 h before start

Lost

ATP 1000 · Cincinnati·17 Aug, 23:45

Alexander Zverev

2:0

Terence Atmane

Under 22.5 games

Singleposted 16 Aug, 05:32 · 11 h before start

Lost

ATP 1000 · Cincinnati·16 Aug, 16:50

Arthur Rinderknech

1:2

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Arthur Rinderknech −2.5

Singleposted 14 Aug, 15:05 · 5 min before start

Lost

ATP 1000 · Cincinnati·14 Aug, 15:10

Chak Wong

1:2

Daniel Altmaier

Chak Wong −1.5 sets