odds 1.70DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NFL · Regular Season·
Jacksonville Jaguars
31:34
Houston TexansJacksonville Jaguars to win
SILLENTKILLER
🏆 SILLENTKILLER WINNER’S CIRCLE ⚾ MLB | 🏀 NBA | 🏈 NFL | 🏉 NRL | 🥊 UFC 📊 Sports Analysis • Predictions • Live Reactions 👊🏽 Welcome to the Circle | 18+
NFL & NCAAF
Hit rate
60.0%
expected 60.4%
Edge
−0.4 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 35.2%, the edge is within noise
Graded
10
6-4
ROI
+1.3%
on 9 picks with odds · max drawdown −1.86 u
Average odds
1.59
singles with odds
Form
streak W3 · best W4, worst L2
Wins above expectation
Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.
By sport
NFL & NCAAF6-4 · 10 graded
−0.460%
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By market
Match result6-3 · 9 graded
+5.267%
Totals0-1 · 1 graded
−50.70%
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
Favourites and underdogs
Favourite3-1 · 4 graded
+4.975%
Even3-3 · 6 graded
−3.950%
Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By odds
< 1.503-0 · 3 graded
-100%
1.50…1.893-3 · 6 graded
−13.2%50%
Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).
By month
Hit rate above expectation in 0 of 1 months with 5+ picks- October 2026−0.4 pp6-4 · 60%ROI +1.3%
By league
- NFL6-460%−0.4
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Picks
Houston Texansodds 1.86DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
Atlanta Falcons
23:31
Chicago BearsChicago Bears to win
odds 1.60DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NFL · Regular Season·
Cleveland Browns
13:10
Baltimore RavensBaltimore Ravens to win
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Indianapolis Colts
20:26
Tennessee TitansUnder 44.5
odds 1.28DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
New England Patriots
26:19
New York JetsNew England Patriots to win
odds 1.89DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NFL · Regular Season·
New York Giants
27:34
New Orleans SaintsNew York Giants to win
odds 1.61DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
Philadelphia Eagles
14:25
Carolina PanthersCarolina Panthers to win
odds 1.74DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
19:26
Pittsburgh SteelersPittsburgh Steelers to win
odds 1.23DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
Kansas City Chiefs
22:6
Los Angeles ChargersKansas City Chiefs to win
odds 1.40DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
Las Vegas Raiders
30:33
Buffalo BillsBuffalo Bills to win