Hit rate
50.0%
expected 57.9%
Edge
−7.9 pp
over expectation
Graded
2
1-1
ROI
-
on 2 picks with odds
Average odds
1.66
singles with odds
Form
streak W1 · best W1, worst L1
Wins above expectation
Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.
By sport
NFL & NCAAF1-1 · 2 graded
−7.950%
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By market
Match result1-1 · 2 graded
−7.950%
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
Favourites and underdogs
Even1-1 · 2 graded
−7.950%
Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By odds
1.50…1.891-1 · 2 graded
-50%
Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).
By month
- October 2026−7.9 pp1-1 · 50%
By league
- NFL1-150%−7.9
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Picks
odds 1.61DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
Baltimore Ravens
13:35
Cincinnati Bengals to win
odds 1.70DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NFL · Regular Season·
Atlanta Falcons
29:20
San Francisco 49ers to win
