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V LockZ🥷🏴‍☠️

@ValidG5199422 followersfirst pick 4 Augusually posts 3 h before start

Cashing crazy lottos on the daily 💰👿 join the journey➡️ https://t.co/rvfjEFrYkH

NFL & NCAAFBaseballHockeyFootballBasketballTennis
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Tipster index49.3#375 on the leaderboarddown 35 this weekestablished sample
Hit rate
53.8%
expected 54.3%
Edge
−0.5 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 44.6%, the edge is within noise
Graded
80
42-36-2
ROI
−5.6%
on 51 picks with odds · max drawdown −8.02 u
Average odds
1.89
singles with odds
Form
streak L1 · best W6, worst L5

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-4-203 Aug22 Aug9 Sept28 Sept17 Oct

By sport

NFL & NCAAF22-22-2 · 46 graded
−4.8
50%
Baseball6-9 · 15 graded
−13.0
40%
Hockey6-2 · 8 graded
+27.6
75%
Football5-2 · 7 graded
+5.5
71%
Basketball2-1 · 3 graded
+22.7
67%
Tennis1-0 · 1 graded
+42.8
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result18-21 · 39 graded
−8.3
46%
Handicap18-12-2 · 32 graded
+4.3
60%
Totals6-2 · 8 graded
+26.4
75%
Parlays0-1 · 1 graded
−51.3
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite15-6-1 · 22 graded
+3.1
71%
Even24-28-1 · 53 graded
−4.2
46%
Underdog3-1 · 4 graded
+42.1
75%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.503-1 · 4 graded
-
75%
1.50…1.899-17 · 26 graded
−38.9%
35%
1.90…2.2910-5-1 · 16 graded
+33.5%
67%
2.30…3.493-0 · 3 graded
-
100%
3.50+0-1 · 1 graded
-
0%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 1 of 2 months with 5+ picks
  • August 2026
    +44.0 pp
    2-0 · 100%
  • September 2026
    −7.3 pp
    18-20-1 · 47%
    ROI −21.7%
  • October 2026
    +4.0 pp
    22-16-1 · 58%
    ROI +5.5%

By league

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Same main sport, closest index

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V LockZ🥷🏴‍☠️ (@ValidG51994) on BetBuddyRank
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Picks

Singleposted 16 Oct, 22:22 · 2 h before start
Push
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
32:35
Appalachian State Mountaineers
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers +3
Open on Xexpected 60% by model
Singleposted 15 Oct, 04:19 · 20 h before start
odds 1.64DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NFL · Regular Season·
Denver Broncos
17:14
Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks to win
Open on Xexpected 58% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 14 Oct, 22:58 · 1 h before start
odds 1.92DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Sam Houston State Bearkats
3:16
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers to win
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing line+0.92 u
Singleposted 14 Oct, 22:02 · 1 h before start
odds 1.84DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Washington Capitals
5:4
Montreal Canadiens
Over 6.5
Open on Xexpected 52% from the closing line+0.84 u
Singleposted 14 Oct, 22:02 · 1 h before start
odds 1.90DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Washington Capitals
5:4
Montreal Canadiens
Montreal Canadiens to win
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 14 Oct, 22:02 · 2 h before start
odds 2.36DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Colorado Avalanche
2:3
Dallas Stars
penalties
Dallas Stars to win
Open on Xexpected 41% from the closing line+1.36 u
Singleposted 13 Oct, 21:50 · 2 h before start
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
27:24
FIU Golden Panthers
Under 44
Open on Xexpected 51% by model
Singleposted 13 Oct, 16:32 · 2 h before start
odds 1.28Lost
Champions League · League Stage·
Inter
3:4
Club Brugge
Inter to win@1.28
Open on Xexpected 74% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 13 Oct, 16:32 · 2 h before start
odds 2.01Won
Champions League · League Stage·
RB Leipzig
1:0
PSV Eindhoven
RB Leipzig to win@2.01
Open on Xexpected 47% from odds+1.01 u
Singleposted 13 Oct, 16:32 · 2 h before start
odds 2.26Won
Champions League · League Stage·
Atletico Madrid
2:0
Manchester United
Atletico Madrid to win@2.26
Open on Xexpected 42% from odds+1.26 u
Singleposted 13 Oct, 16:32 · 2 h before start
odds 1.25Won
Champions League · League Stage·
Arsenal
3:0
Lille
Arsenal to win@1.25
Open on Xexpected 76% from odds+0.25 u
Singleposted 11 Oct, 21:37 · 3 h before start
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Atlanta Falcons
23:30
Baltimore Ravens
Under 45.5
Open on Xexpected 51% by model
Singleposted 11 Oct, 19:24 · 5 h before start
odds 1.98DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
Atlanta Falcons
23:30
Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens +3
Open on Xexpected 48% from the closing line+0.98 u
Singleposted 11 Oct, 05:30 · 8 h before start
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Jacksonville Jaguars
19:17
Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia Eagles +10
Open on Xexpected 69% by model
Singleposted 10 Oct, 18:07 · 1 h before start
odds 1.70DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Kansas State Wildcats
16:35
Houston Cougars
Kansas State Wildcats to win
Open on Xexpected 56% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 9 Oct, 22:39 · 2 h before start
odds 1.64DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Washington Huskies
24:41
Iowa Hawkeyes
Washington Huskies to win
Open on Xexpected 58% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 8 Oct, 23:45 · 44 h before start
odds 5.25DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Arkansas Razorbacks
17:24
Tennessee Volunteers
Arkansas Razorbacks to win
Open on Xexpected 18% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 7 Oct, 22:30 · 30 min before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Kennesaw State Owls
26:27
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
Kennesaw State Owls +4
Open on Xexpected 70% by model
Singleposted 7 Oct, 22:01 · 2 h before start
odds 1.57DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
MLB · post-season·
New York Yankees
3:4
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees to win
Open on Xexpected 61% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 7 Oct, 16:30 · 9 h before start
Won
WNBA · WNBA: Play-off·
Golden State Valkyries
83:81
Las Vegas Aces
Over 156.5
Open on Xexpected 39% by model
Singleposted 4 Oct, 19:57 · 27 min before start
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
San Francisco 49ers
24:14
Denver Broncos
Denver Broncos +4.5
Open on Xexpected 70% by model
Singleposted 4 Oct, 12:49 · 40 min before start
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Washington Commanders
13:30
Indianapolis Colts
Washington Commanders +10.5
Open on Xexpected 69% by model
Singleposted 4 Oct, 12:49 · 15 h before start
Won
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification·
Taro Daniel
1:2
Shintaro Mochizuki
Over 20.5 games
Open on Xexpected 57% by model
Singleposted 3 Oct, 19:26 · 3 min before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Missouri Tigers
45:17
Florida Gators
Missouri Tigers +7
Open on Xexpected 70% by model
Singleposted 3 Oct, 15:35 · 4 h before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Iowa Hawkeyes
14:31
Ohio State Buckeyes
Ohio State Buckeyes −14
Open on Xexpected 53% by model
Singleposted 3 Oct, 13:34 · 7 h before start
odds 1.76DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
South Carolina Gamecocks
34:35
Kentucky Wildcats
South Carolina Gamecocks to win
Open on Xexpected 54% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 2 Oct, 22:14 · 46 min before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Virginia Tech Hokies
33:35
Pittsburgh Panthers
Pittsburgh Panthers +3.5
Open on Xexpected 60% by model
Singleposted 2 Oct, 22:07 · 2 h before start
odds 1.67DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Northwestern Wildcats
34:13
Penn State Nittany Lions
Penn State Nittany Lions to win
Open on Xexpected 57% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 2 Oct, 20:37 · 2 h before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Virginia Tech Hokies
33:35
Pittsburgh Panthers
Pittsburgh Panthers +2.5
Open on Xexpected 60% by model
Singleposted 2 Oct, 20:37 · 2 h before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Delaware Blue Hens
14:30
Liberty Flames
Under 50
Open on Xexpected 51% by model