Harri Picks

@Harripicks26 followersfirst pick 29 Sept

Just a guy with a spreadsheet 42-46-0 -7.98 Units CFB 25-27-0 +5.77 Units NHL

Hockey

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Tipster index58.0needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history

Hit rate

75.0%

expected 41.0%

Edge

+34.0 pp

over expectation

Graded

3-1

ROI

on 4 picks with odds

Average odds

2.39

singles with odds

Form

streak W2 · best W2, worst L1

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

Hockey3-1 · 4 graded

+34.0

75%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result2-1 · 3 graded

+22.5

67%

Handicap1-0 · 1 graded

+68.5

100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Even2-0 · 2 graded

+53.3

100%

Underdog1-1 · 2 graded

+14.7

50%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.90…2.292-0 · 2 graded

100%

2.30…3.491-1 · 2 graded

50%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).