Won
Champions League · League Stage·
Atletico Madrid
2:0
Manchester UnitedAtletico Madrid or draw
Hit rate
75.0%
expected 55.7%
Edge
+19.3 pp
over expectation
Graded
4
3-1
ROI
-
posts no odds
Average odds
-
singles with odds
Form
streak W1 · best W3, worst L1
Wins above expectation
Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.
By sport
Basketball2-0 · 2 graded
+55.8100%
Football1-1 · 2 graded
−17.350%
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By market
Match result2-0 · 2 graded
+55.8100%
Double chance1-0 · 1 graded
+24.3100%
Both teams to score0-1 · 1 graded
−58.80%
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
Favourites and underdogs
Favourite2-0 · 2 graded
+31.7100%
Even0-1 · 1 graded
−58.80%
Underdog1-0 · 1 graded
+72.4100%
Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By month
- October 2026+19.3 pp3-1 · 75%
By league
- Champions League1-150%−17.3
- EuroLeague2-0100%+55.8
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Picks
Manchester UnitedWon
EuroLeague · EuroLeague: Regular season·
Fenerbahçe
99:80
Zalgiris KaunasFenerbahçe to win
Won
EuroLeague · EuroLeague: Regular season·
Olimpia Milano
89:98
Real MadridReal Madrid to win
Lost
Champions League · League Stage·
RB Leipzig
1:0
PSV EindhovenBoth teams to score: yes