odds 1.86Pending
Premier League·
Coventry City
-:-
Newcastle UnitedOver 1.5@1.86
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FootballTennisBasketball
Open picks 3
Games not played yetATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Tommy Paul
-:-
Valentin Vacherot
Valentin Vacherot +1.5 sets@1.47
Premier League·
Coventry City
-:-
Newcastle UnitedOver 1.5@1.86
LaLiga·
Levante
-:-
SevillaLevante to win@7.00
Hit rate
60.0%
expected 50.5%
Edge
+9.5 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 43.7%, the edge is within noise
Graded
25
15-10 · 3 pending
ROI
+22.9%
on 22 picks with odds · max drawdown −3.00 u
Average odds
1.82
singles with odds
Form
streak L2 · best W5, worst L3
Wins above expectation
Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.
By sport
Football12-8 · 20 graded
+11.860%
Tennis3-1 · 4 graded
+15.175%
Basketball0-1 · 1 graded
−58.40%
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By market
Parlays4-3 · 7 graded
+24.857%
Totals6-1 · 7 graded
+28.986%
Match result3-3 · 6 graded
−5.750%
Both teams to score2-1 · 3 graded
+6.967%
Double chance0-2 · 2 graded
−62.00%
Handicap0-0 · 0 graded
--Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
Favourites and underdogs
Favourite4-3 · 7 graded
−11.857%
Even6-3 · 9 graded
+11.867%
Underdog1-1 · 2 graded
+20.550%
Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By odds
< 1.501-1 · 2 graded
-50%
1.50…1.896-5 · 11 graded
−11.3%55%
1.90…2.292-0 · 2 graded
-100%
2.30…3.491-0 · 1 graded
-100%
3.50+0-1 · 1 graded
-0%
Singles with the odds stated in the post. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).
By month
Hit rate above expectation in 1 of 1 months with 5+ picks- October 2026+9.5 pp15-10 · 60%ROI +22.9%
By league
- ATP 10002-0100%+36.0
- UEFA Nations League3-0100%+32.8
- Premier League · England1-150%+9.2
- ATP Challenger0-10%−63.5
- WTA 10001-0100%+51.9
- Serie A · Italy1-0100%+42.6
- Serie A · Brazil0-10%−55.4
- LaLiga · Spain0-0--
- EuroLeague0-10%−58.4
- 2. Bundesliga · Germany0-10%−62.7
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Picks
Newcastle Unitedodds 1.47Pending
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Tommy Paul
-:-
Valentin Vacherot
Valentin Vacherot +1.5 sets@1.47
odds 7.00Pending
LaLiga·
Levante
-:-
SevillaLevante to win@7.00
odds 1.40Lost
I Liga·
Stal Mielec
2:1
Warta PoznanWarta Poznan or draw@1.40
odds 1.52Lost
2. Bundesliga·
VfL Bochum
0:1
Arminia BielefeldBoth teams to score: yes@1.52
odds 1.66Won
Serie A·
Sassuolo
1:1
AC MilanBoth teams to score: yes@1.66
odds 3.50Lost
Premier League·
Liverpool
0:3
Manchester CityLiverpool to win@3.50
Lost
Serie A·
Palmeiras
4:1
CorinthiansOver 4.5✓
Serie A·
Gremio
1:1
InternacionalOver 4.5✕
odds 1.75Won
Premier League·
Liverpool
0:3
Manchester CityOver 1.5@1.75
odds 2.26Won
Eredivisie·
Ajax
1:1
NEC NijmegenOver 1.5@1.70✓
MLS·
Orlando City
3:2
Columbus CrewOver 1.5@1.33✓
odds 1.61Won
Liga MX · Liga MX: Apertura·
Tigres
3:2
TolucaBoth teams to score: yes@1.61
odds 2.74Lost
LaLiga·
Rayo Vallecano
void
Athletic ClubRayo Vallecano to win@1.33∅
LaLiga·
Barcelona
3:0
GetafeBarcelona to win@1.25✓
LaLiga·
Real Betis
5:2
OsasunaReal Betis to win@1.25✓
Serie D: Group A·
Sestri Levante
1:1
Celle VarazzeSestri Levante to win@1.32✕
odds 1.50Lost
ATP Challenger · Braga, Portugal·
Vilius Gaubas
2:0
Luka Mikrut
Luka Mikrut to win@1.50
odds 1.74Won
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Miomir Kecmanovic
0:2
Jakub Mensik
Over 12.5 games@1.74
odds 3.25Won
Süper Lig·
Galatasaray
3:1
KasımpaşaOver 1.5@1.29✓
Primeira Liga·
SC Braga
1:3
Sporting CPBoth teams to score: yes@1.38✓
Lost
Serie A·
Palmeiras
1:0
BahiaPalmeiras or draw@1.39✓
Serie A·
Palmeiras
1:0
BahiaDraw✕
Serie A·
Fluminense
4:0
CoritibaFluminense or draw@1.31✓
Serie A·
Fluminense
4:0
CoritibaDraw✕
odds 1.76Won
LaLiga·
Malaga
1:1
EspanyolMalaga or draw@1.32✓
Spain · Primera Division RFEF: Group 2·
UD Ibiza
1:1
Real Madrid CastillaUD Ibiza or draw@1.33✓
odds 1.63Lost
EuroLeague · EuroLeague: Regular season·
BC Dubai
58:77
Crvena Zvezda BeogradBC Dubai to win@1.63
odds 1.98Won
WTA 1000 · China Open·
Ekaterina Alexandrova
0:2
Mirra Andreeva
Mirra Andreeva to win@1.98
odds 1.70Lost
LaLiga 2·
AD Ceuta FC
1:2
SabadellAD Ceuta FC or draw@1.70
odds 1.50Won
Liga 1·
CFR Cluj
1:3
Universitatea ClujOver 2@1.50
odds 1.82Won
Serie A·
Palmeiras
1:0
BahiaPalmeiras or draw@1.39✓
Serie A·
Fluminense
4:0
CoritibaFluminense or draw@1.31✓
odds 1.30Won
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Rinky Hijikata
0:2
Roman Safiullin
Roman Safiullin to win@1.30
odds 1.72Lost
Serie A·
Internacional
2:1
CorinthiansOver 3.5@1.72
Won
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 3·
England
3:0
CzechiaOver 1.5
odds 1.90Won
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 3·
Croatia
1:2
SpainOver 1.5@1.90
odds 3.00Won
International Friendlies · Friendlies·
Colombia
2:0
PeruOver 0.5@3.00
odds 1.50Won
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 3·
England
3:0
CzechiaEngland to win@1.50