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BC Game Sports

@bcgamewinsports1.5K followersfirst pick 6 Septusually posts 7 h before start

Official BC Game sports account · Main: @bcgame

FootballBaseballNFL & NCAAFHockeyBasketballTennis
Tipster index54.8#189 on the leaderboarddown 66 this weekdeveloping sample
Hit rate
46.2%
expected 41.0%
Edge
+5.1 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 31.3%, the edge is within noise
Graded
26
12-14
ROI
-
on 2 picks with odds
Average odds
1.67
singles with odds
Form
streak W1 · best W5, worst L5

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

0125 Sept17 Sept29 Sept11 Oct22 Oct

By sport

Football9-6 · 15 graded
+12.3
60%
Baseball2-2 · 4 graded
+16.4
50%
NFL & NCAAF0-3 · 3 graded
−28.9
0%
Hockey0-2 · 2 graded
−30.3
0%
Basketball0-1 · 1 graded
−20.1
0%
Tennis1-0 · 1 graded
+51.0
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Parlays6-14 · 20 graded
−4.8
30%
Totals5-0 · 5 graded
+37.1
100%
Match result1-0 · 1 graded
+44.7
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite3-0 · 3 graded
+25.8
100%
Even2-0 · 2 graded
+43.0
100%
Underdog1-0 · 1 graded
+67.1
100%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.892-0 · 2 graded
-
100%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 2 of 2 months with 5+ picks
  • September 2026
    +9.3 pp
    5-4 · 56%
  • October 2026
    +3.0 pp
    7-10 · 41%

By league

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Picks

Same-game combo · 2posted 22 Oct, 17:37 · 1 h before start
Won
Europa League · League Stage·
AFC Bournemouth
3:0
AC Milan
AFC Bournemouth to win✓
Europa League · League Stage·
AFC Bournemouth
3:0
AC Milan
Over 2.5✓
Open on Xexpected 29% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 21 Oct, 21:38 · 4 h before start
Lost
NBA · Regular season·
LA Lakers
127:105
Golden State Warriors
Over 234✕
NBA · Regular season·
LA Lakers
127:105
Golden State Warriors
LA Lakers −6.5✓
Open on Xexpected 20% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 19 Oct, 22:27 · 1 h before start
Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Toronto Maple Leafs
3:1
San Jose Sharks
Over 6.5✕
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Toronto Maple Leafs
3:1
San Jose Sharks
Toronto Maple Leafs to win✓
Open on Xexpected 33% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 19 Oct, 08:11 · 16 h before start
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
San Francisco 49ers
23:17
Washington Commanders
San Francisco 49ers −7.5✕
NFL · Regular Season·
San Francisco 49ers
23:17
Washington Commanders
Over 52✕
Open on Xexpected 32% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 18 Oct, 14:36 · 6 h before start
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Las Vegas Raiders
30:33
Buffalo Bills
Buffalo Bills −4.5✕
NFL · Regular Season·
Las Vegas Raiders
30:33
Buffalo Bills
Over 53.5✓
Open on Xexpected 28% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 15 Oct, 15:42 · 7 h before start
Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Toronto Maple Leafs
4:5
Buffalo Sabres
Over 6.5✓
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Toronto Maple Leafs
4:5
Buffalo Sabres
Toronto Maple Leafs to win✕
Open on Xexpected 28% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 13 Oct, 15:59 · 3 h before start
Won
Champions League · League Stage·
Galatasaray
1:4
Barcelona
Barcelona to win✓
Champions League · League Stage·
Galatasaray
1:4
Barcelona
Over 2.5✓
Open on Xexpected 55% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 12 Oct, 16:59 · 4 h before start
Lost
MLB · post-season·
Milwaukee Brewers
7:4
Los Angeles Dodgers
Under 6.5✕
MLB · post-season·
Milwaukee Brewers
7:4
Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers to win✕
Open on Xexpected 26% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 11 Oct, 13:47 · 2 h before start
Lost
Premier League·
Liverpool
0:3
Manchester City
Both teams to score: yes✕
Premier League·
Liverpool
0:3
Manchester City
Over 2.5✓
Open on Xexpected 36% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 10 Oct, 11:48 · 7 h before start
Lost
LaLiga·
Real Madrid
1:0
Villarreal
Over 2.5✕
LaLiga·
Real Madrid
1:0
Villarreal
Both teams to score: yes✕
Open on Xexpected 45% by model
Singleposted 7 Oct, 19:50 · 2 h before start
Won
MLB · post-season·
Atlanta Braves
1:4
Los Angeles Dodgers
Under 6.5
Open on Xexpected 33% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 5 Oct, 07:55 · 35 h before start
Won
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 3·
Croatia
1:2
Spain
Spain to win✓
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 3·
Croatia
1:2
Spain
Over 2.5✓
Open on Xexpected 56% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 2 Oct, 17:03 · 2 h before start
Lost
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 1·
France
1:1
Italy
Both teams to score: yes✓
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 1·
France
1:1
Italy
Over 2.5✕
Open on Xexpected 37% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 1 Oct, 17:01 · 7 h before start
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Cleveland Browns
27:24
Pittsburgh Steelers
Under 38.5✕
NFL · Regular Season·
Cleveland Browns
27:24
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh Steelers −2.5✕
Open on Xexpected 27% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 1 Oct, 08:50 · 10 h before start
Won
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 4·
Denmark
2:4
Portugal
Both teams to score: yes✓
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 4·
Denmark
2:4
Portugal
Over 2.5✓
Open on Xexpected 34% by model
Singleposted 30 Sept, 23:02 · 58 min before start
odds 1.72DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
MLB · post-season·
New York Yankees
9:2
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees to win
Open on Xexpected 55% from the closing line+0.72 u
Singleposted 30 Sept, 15:58 · 8 h before start
Won
International Friendlies · Friendlies·
Argentina
4:0
Bolivia
Over 2.5
Open on Xexpected 78% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 28 Sept, 11:27 · 7 h before start
Lost
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 1·
Belgium
0:1
France
Both teams to score: yes✕
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 1·
Belgium
0:1
France
Over 2.5✕
Open on Xexpected 36% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 25 Sept, 06:26 · 12 h before start
Lost
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 1·
Turkiye
0:1
France
France to win✓
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 1·
Turkiye
0:1
France
Over 2.5✕
Open on Xexpected 49% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 24 Sept, 02:31 · 8 h before start
Lost
International Friendlies · Friendlies·
South Korea
3:0
Ecuador
Both teams to score: yes✕
International Friendlies · Friendlies·
South Korea
3:0
Ecuador
Over 2.5✓
Open on Xexpected 25% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 22 Sept, 20:50 · 2 h before start
Void
MLB·
Baltimore Orioles
void
Toronto Blue Jays
Under 7.5∅
MLB·
Baltimore Orioles
void
Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto Blue Jays to win∅
Open on Xexpected 21% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 19 Sept, 15:30 · 10 h before start
Lost
MLB·
Los Angeles Dodgers
10:4
San Francisco Giants
San Francisco Giants +1.5✕
MLB·
Los Angeles Dodgers
10:4
San Francisco Giants
Under 7.5✕
Open on Xexpected 20% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 18 Sept, 02:15 · 38 h before start
Won
Serie A·
AS Roma
2:2
Inter
Over 2.5✓
Serie A·
AS Roma
2:2
Inter
Both teams to score: yes✓
Open on Xexpected 35% by model
Singleposted 15 Sept, 02:08 · 17 h before start
Won
LaLiga·
Elche
2:3
Real Madrid
Over 2.5
Open on Xexpected 76% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 13 Sept, 17:01 · 1 h before start
Won
US Open · Men's Singles·
Alexander Zverev
3:1
Ben Shelton
Alexander Zverev to win✓
US Open · Men's Singles·
Alexander Zverev
3:1
Ben Shelton
Over 3.5 sets✓
Open on Xexpected 49% by model
Singleposted 10 Sept, 10:59 · 8 h before start
Won
Champions League · League Stage·
Bayern Munich
5:0
Bodoe/Glimt
Over 2.5
Open on Xexpected 69% by model
Singleposted 6 Sept, 17:00 · 2 h before start
odds 1.62DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
Serie A·
Juventus
1:1
AC Milan
Under 2.5
Open on Xexpected 59% from the closing line+0.62 u