Derouz

@Derouz642 followersfirst pick 22 Oct

FootballBasketball

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Tipster index42.1needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history

Hit rate

0.0%

expected 33.5%

Edge

−33.5 pp

over expectation

Graded

0-4

ROI

on 4 picks with odds

Average odds

3.39

singles with odds

Form

streak L4 · best W0, worst L4

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

Football0-3 · 3 graded

−33.3

Basketball0-1 · 1 graded

−34.0

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Handicap0-3 · 3 graded

−37.3

Match result0-1 · 1 graded

−22.0

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Even0-1 · 1 graded

−58.1

Underdog0-3 · 3 graded

−25.3

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.890-1 · 1 graded

2.30…3.490-1 · 1 graded

3.50+0-2 · 2 graded

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).