AXIOMEDGE

@axiomedge38 followersfirst pick 20 Octusually posts 3 h before start

AI-powered soccer,basketball and NFL predictions with a transparent, published track record. Analytics only — not a bookmaker. 18+

FootballBasketball

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Tipster index43.9needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history

Hit rate

42.9%

expected 58.9%

Edge

−16.1 pp

over expectation

Graded

3-4

ROI

−44.7%

on 6 picks with odds · max drawdown −3.50 u

Average odds

1.71

singles with odds

Form

streak W1 · best W2, worst L3

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

Football2-4 · 6 graded

−26.7

33%

Basketball1-0 · 1 graded

+47.7

100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Totals2-4 · 6 graded

−26.7

33%

Handicap1-0 · 1 graded

+47.7

100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite2-1 · 3 graded

−1.0

67%

Even1-3 · 4 graded

−27.3

25%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.892-4 · 6 graded

−44.7%

33%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).