The Pick Guy

@DailyPickGuy185 followersfirst pick 23 Octusually posts 2 h before start

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Tipster index64.5needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history

Open picks 1

Games not played yet

ATP 500 · Erste Bank Open (Vienna)·29 Oct, 14:00

Nikoloz Basilashvili

-:-

Carlos Alcaraz

Nikoloz Basilashvili to win@1.68

Hit rate

100.0%

expected 56.4%

Edge

+43.6 pp

over expectation

Graded

6-0 · 1 pending

ROI

+69.3%

on 6 picks with odds

Average odds

1.69

singles with odds

Form

streak W6 · best W6, worst L0

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

Tennis5-0 · 5 graded

+42.9

100%

Hockey1-0 · 1 graded

+47.1

100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result6-0 · 6 graded

+43.6

100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Even6-0 · 6 graded

+43.6

100%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.896-0 · 6 graded

+69.3%

100%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 1 of 1 months with 5+ picks

October 2026
+43.6 pp
6-0 · 100%
ROI +69.3%

By league

WTA 2502-0100%+41.1
ATP 5001-0100%+43.2
WTA 5002-0100%+44.7
NHL1-0100%+47.1

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Picks

Singleposted 28 Oct, 18:43 · 19 h before start

odds 1.68Pending

ATP 500 · Erste Bank Open (Vienna)·29 Oct, 14:00

Nikoloz Basilashvili

-:-

Carlos Alcaraz

Nikoloz Basilashvili to win@1.68

Singleposted 28 Oct, 15:24 · 2 h before start

odds 1.68Won

ATP 500 · Erste Bank Open (Vienna)·28 Oct, 17:05

Jurij Rodionov

0:2

Nikoloz Basilashvili

Nikoloz Basilashvili to win@1.68

Singleposted 28 Oct, 02:58 · 2 h before start

odds 1.68Won

WTA 500 · Pan Pacific Open (Tokyo)·28 Oct, 04:45

Cristina Bucsa

1:2

Maya Joint

Maya Joint to win@1.68

Singleposted 27 Oct, 01:30 · 40 min before start

odds 1.77Won

WTA 500 · Pan Pacific Open (Tokyo)·27 Oct, 02:10

Ann Li

0:2

Ekaterina Alexandrova

Ekaterina Alexandrova to win@1.77

Singleposted 24 Oct, 00:39 · 21 min before start

odds 1.80Won

NHL · NHL: Regular season·24 Oct, 01:00

Colorado Avalanche

6:3

Tampa Bay Lightning

Colorado Avalanche to win@1.80

Singleposted 23 Oct, 12:48 · 16 h before start

odds 1.62Won

WTA 250 · Japan Open·24 Oct, 05:10

Ann Li

1:2

Ashlyn Krueger

Ashlyn Krueger to win@1.62

Singleposted 23 Oct, 00:35 · 5 h before start

odds 1.62Won

WTA 250 · Japan Open·23 Oct, 05:10

Talia Gibson

0:2

Ashlyn Krueger

Ashlyn Krueger to win@1.62