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@BlinkBets8K followersfirst pick 1 Augusually posts 10 h before start

Sports Tips and Predictions Risk management, insightful analysis, transparency ❤️ https://t.co/ogLUtgGPCZ

TennisNFL & NCAAFFootball
Tipster index64.5#39 on the leaderboarddown 17 this weekestablished sample
Hit rate
65.6%
expected 56.0%
Edge
+9.6 pp
hit rate at least 57.2% with 95% confidence: the edge is not luck
Graded
93
61-32
ROI
−61.7%
on 6 picks with odds · max drawdown −5.00 u
Average odds
3.80
singles with odds
Form
streak L2 · best W10, worst L4

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-505101 Aug21 Aug11 Sept2 Oct23 Oct

By sport

Tennis60-31 · 91 graded
+9.7
66%
NFL & NCAAF1-0 · 1 graded
+58.6
100%
Football0-1 · 1 graded
−47.6
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result61-32 · 93 graded
+9.6
66%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite31-10 · 41 graded
+8.5
76%
Even28-17 · 45 graded
+12.1
62%
Underdog2-5 · 7 graded
−1.0
29%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.90…2.290-2 · 2 graded
-
0%
2.30…3.491-0 · 1 graded
-
100%
3.50+0-3 · 3 graded
-
0%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 3 of 3 months with 5+ picks
  • August 2026
    +3.5 pp
    25-18 · 58%
  • September 2026
    +21.4 pp
    22-6 · 79%
  • October 2026
    +6.3 pp
    14-8 · 64%

By league

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Picks

Singleposted 22 Oct, 18:56 · 15 h before start
Lost
WTA 500 · Ningbo Open·
Iva Jovic
1:2
Diana Shnaider
Iva Jovic to win
Open on Xexpected 56% by model
Singleposted 21 Oct, 19:14 · 10 h before start
Won
WTA 500 · Ningbo Open·
Iva Jovic
2:0
Jasmine Paolini
Iva Jovic to win
Open on Xexpected 64% by model
Singleposted 21 Oct, 19:11 · 14 h before start
Lost
WTA 500 · Ningbo Open·
Alexandra Eala
0:2
Diana Shnaider
Alexandra Eala to win
Open on Xexpected 51% by model
Singleposted 20 Oct, 19:42 · 15 h before start
Lost
WTA 500 · Ningbo Open·
Sorana Cirstea
0:2
Sara Bejlek
Sorana Cirstea to win
Open on Xexpected 66% by model
Singleposted 20 Oct, 19:42 · 21 h before start
Won
ATP 250 · Lyon Open·
Moise Kouame
0:2
Lorenzo Musetti
Lorenzo Musetti to win
Open on Xexpected 72% by model
Singleposted 15 Oct, 14:59 · 19 h before start
Won
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Daniil Medvedev
2:1
Tommy Paul
Daniil Medvedev to win
Open on Xexpected 59% by model
Singleposted 15 Oct, 14:59 · 12 h before start
Lost
WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·
Diana Shnaider
0:2
Jelena Ostapenko
Diana Shnaider to win
Open on Xexpected 61% by model
Singleposted 15 Oct, 14:55 · 17 h before start
Lost
WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·
Maja Chwalinska
2:1
Maria Sakkari
Maria Sakkari to win
Open on Xexpected 49% by model
Singleposted 14 Oct, 18:25 · 15 h before start
Lost
WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·
Jasmine Paolini
0:2
Sonay Kartal
Jasmine Paolini to win
Open on Xexpected 51% by model
Singleposted 13 Oct, 18:58 · 16 h before start
Won
WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·
Ashlyn Krueger
2:1
Lanlana Tararudee
Ashlyn Krueger to win
Open on Xexpected 52% by model
Singleposted 12 Oct, 14:31 · 15 h before start
Won
WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·
Yulia Putintseva
2:1
Zeynep Sonmez
Yulia Putintseva to win
Open on Xexpected 52% by model
Singleposted 6 Oct, 18:51 · 10 h before start
Won
WTA 1000 · China Open·
Iva Jovic
0:2
Iga Swiatek
Iga Swiatek to win
Open on Xexpected 64% by model
Singleposted 6 Oct, 18:51 · 16 h before start
Won
WTA 1000 · China Open·
Alina Charaeva
1:2
Qinwen Zheng
Qinwen Zheng to win
Open on Xexpected 51% by model
Singleposted 4 Oct, 20:00 · 12 h before start
Lost
WTA 1000 · China Open·
Belinda Bencic
0:2
Ann Li
Belinda Bencic to win
Open on Xexpected 69% by model
Singleposted 4 Oct, 20:00 · 14 h before start
Won
ATP 500 · Japan Open (Tokyo)·
Jiri Lehecka
2:0
Valentin Vacherot
Jiri Lehecka to win
Open on Xexpected 68% by model
Singleposted 4 Oct, 16:19 · 40 min before start
odds 2.30Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Houston Texans
30:34
Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys to win@2.30
Open on Xexpected 41% from odds+1.30 u
Singleposted 1 Oct, 19:30 · 10 h before start
Won
ATP 500 · China Open·
Alex Molcan
0:2
Karen Khachanov
Karen Khachanov to win
Open on Xexpected 47% by model
Singleposted 1 Oct, 19:30 · 12 h before start
Won
ATP 500 · China Open·
Daniil Medvedev
2:0
Pablo Carreno Busta
Daniil Medvedev to win
Open on Xexpected 64% by model
Singleposted 1 Oct, 19:30 · 13 h before start
Won
WTA 1000 · China Open·
Maria Timofeeva
1:2
Naomi Osaka
Naomi Osaka to win
Open on Xexpected 57% by model
Singleposted 30 Sept, 16:42 · 13 h before start
Won
WTA 1000 · China Open·
Magda Linette
0:2
Katerina Siniakova
Katerina Siniakova to win
Open on Xexpected 66% by model
Singleposted 30 Sept, 16:42 · 9 h before start
Lost
ATP 500 · Japan Open (Tokyo)·
Luciano Darderi
2:0
Casper Ruud
Casper Ruud to win
Open on Xexpected 62% by model
Singleposted 30 Sept, 14:18 · 21 h before start
Won
WTA 1000 · China Open·
Lanlana Tararudee
0:2
Maria Osorio
Maria Osorio to win
Open on Xexpected 40% by model
Singleposted 25 Sept, 20:01 · 10 h before start
Won
ATP 250 · Chengdu Open·
Federico Cina
0:2
Alexandre Muller
Alexandre Muller to win
Open on Xexpected 45% by model
Singleposted 24 Sept, 20:24 · 11 h before start
Lost
WTA 250 · Singapore Open·
Xinyu Wang
1:2
Tatiana Prozorova
Xinyu Wang to win
Open on Xexpected 50% by model
Singleposted 23 Sept, 16:59 · 15 h before start
Won
WTA 250 · Singapore Open·
Xinyu Wang
2:0
Joanna Garland
Xinyu Wang to win
Open on Xexpected 59% by model
Singleposted 23 Sept, 16:59 · 21 h before start
Won
WTA 250 · Singapore Open·
Maria Sakkari
2:0
Nao Hibino
Maria Sakkari to win
Open on Xexpected 62% by model
Singleposted 23 Sept, 16:59 · 12 h before start
Won
WTA 500 · Korea Open, Seoul·
Yeon-Woo Ku
1:2
Gabriela Ruse
Gabriela Ruse to win
Open on Xexpected 64% by model
Singleposted 22 Sept, 08:14 · 19 h before start
odds 8.00Lost
WTA 500 · Korea Open, Seoul·
Lanlana Tararudee
2:0
So-Hyun Park
So-Hyun Park to win@8.00
Open on Xexpected 12% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 21 Sept, 17:24 · 14 h before start
Won
WTA 250 · Singapore Open·
Donna Vekic
0:2
Xinyu Wang
Xinyu Wang to win
Open on Xexpected 50% by model
Singleposted 21 Sept, 17:03 · 10 h before start
Won
WTA 500 · Korea Open, Seoul·
Eva Lys
0:2
Gabriela Ruse
Gabriela Ruse to win
Open on Xexpected 71% by model