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DMarcus 'D' Hammond

@DMarcusLaboy1.6K followersfirst pick 19 Octusually posts 16 h before start

I'm the person that says too much, I'm just saying what needs to be said. See what they're talking about, and click follow! https://t.co/3GmgPLmjio

HockeyNFL & NCAAFBasketballFootball
Tipster index42.0#674 on the leaderboardnewdeveloping sample
Hit rate
20.0%
expected 36.0%
Edge
−16.0 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 6.9%, the edge is within noise
Graded
10
2-8
ROI
−53.6%
on 9 picks with odds · max drawdown −4.82 u
Average odds
2.06
singles with odds
Form
streak L5 · best W1, worst L5

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-2-1.5-1-0.5019 Oct22 Oct26 Oct29 Oct2 Nov

By sport

Hockey1-3 · 4 graded
−32.3
25%
NFL & NCAAF0-3 · 3 graded
−18.3
0%
Basketball1-1 · 2 graded
+13.2
50%
Football0-1 · 1 graded
−2.4
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result2-5 · 7 graded
−20.4
29%
Parlays0-3 · 3 graded
−5.5
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite1-1 · 2 graded
−15.1
50%
Even0-3 · 3 graded
−46.5
0%
Underdog1-1 · 2 graded
+13.2
50%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.501-0 · 1 graded
-
100%
1.50…1.890-2 · 2 graded
-
0%
1.90…2.290-1 · 1 graded
-
0%
2.30…3.491-2 · 3 graded
-
33%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 0 of 2 months with 5+ picks
  • October 2026
    −3.2 pp
    2-3 · 40%
    ROI −16.4%
  • November 2026
    −28.8 pp
    0-5 · 0%

By league

  • NHL1-325%−32.3
  • NBA1-150%+13.2
  • NFL0-10%−40.6

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Picks

Singleposted 1 Nov, 06:57 · 16 h before start
odds 1.80DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
New York Rangers
1:4
Edmonton Oilers
New York Rangers to win
Open on Xexpected 53% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 1 Nov, 06:57 · 19 h before start
odds 2.42DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NBA · Regular season·
LA Lakers
131:125
Toronto Raptors
Toronto Raptors to win
Open on Xexpected 40% from the closing line−1.00 u
Parlay · 4posted 31 Oct, 05:41 · 7 h before start
odds 34.39Lost
Premier League·
Chelsea
2:0
Manchester United
Chelsea to win✓
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Texas Tech Red Raiders
34:26
Arizona Wildcats
Arizona Wildcats to win✕
WNBA · WNBA: Play-off·
Golden State Valkyries
68:63
Atlanta Dream
Atlanta Dream to win✕
NBA · Regular season·
Houston Rockets
119:98
Oklahoma City Thunder
Houston Rockets to win✓
Open on Xexpected 2% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 30 Oct, 22:40 · 50 min before start
odds 2.80DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NBA · Regular season·
Toronto Raptors
114:121
Orlando Magic
Orlando Magic to win
Open on Xexpected 34% from the closing line+1.80 u
Parlay · 2posted 30 Oct, 06:12 · 34 h before start
odds 10.99Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Buffalo Bills
36:10
Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens to win✕
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Texas Tech Red Raiders
34:26
Arizona Wildcats
Arizona Wildcats to win✕
Open on Xexpected 8% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 29 Oct, 11:10 · 3 days before start
odds 2.36DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NFL · Regular Season·
Buffalo Bills
36:10
Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens to win
Open on Xexpected 41% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 29 Oct, 07:27 · 16 h before start
odds 2.10DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Pittsburgh Penguins
3:4
Utah Mammoth
Pittsburgh Penguins to win
Open on Xexpected 46% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 29 Oct, 07:27 · 16 h before start
odds 1.38DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Carolina Hurricanes
3:2
Columbus Blue Jackets
Carolina Hurricanes to win
Open on Xexpected 69% from the closing line+0.38 u
Singleposted 29 Oct, 07:25 · 17 h before start
odds 1.57DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Dallas Stars
2:5
Montreal Canadiens
Dallas Stars to win
Open on Xexpected 61% from the closing line−1.00 u
Parlay · 5posted 19 Oct, 13:29 · 10 h before start
odds 13.07Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
San Francisco 49ers
23:17
Washington Commanders
San Francisco 49ers to win@1.22✓
WNBA · WNBA: Play-off·
Golden State Valkyries
65:79
Atlanta Dream
Atlanta Dream to win@2.10✓
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
New York Rangers
5:2
Anaheim Ducks
New York Rangers to win@1.69✓
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Philadelphia Flyers
3:2
Colorado Avalanche
Colorado Avalanche to win@1.41✕
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Toronto Maple Leafs
3:1
San Jose Sharks
San Jose Sharks to win@2.15✕
Open on Xexpected 6% from odds−1.00 u