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EH

@DJLOH182184 followersfirst pick 21 Octusually posts 15 h before start
BasketballNFL & NCAAFHockey
CompareRSS
Tipster index50.9needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history
Hit rate
66.7%
expected 64.8%
Edge
+1.9 pp
over expectation
Graded
9
6-3
ROI
+30.9%
on 7 picks with odds Β· max drawdown βˆ’1.00 u
Average odds
1.48
singles with odds
Form
streak W1 Β· best W4, worst L1

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-0.8-0.5-0.300.320 Oct21 Oct22 Oct23 Oct

By sport

Basketball4-1 Β· 5 graded
+20.5
80%
NFL & NCAAF1-1 Β· 2 graded
βˆ’27.9
50%
Hockey1-1 Β· 2 graded
βˆ’14.9
50%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result5-1 Β· 6 graded
+14.0
83%
Totals1-1 Β· 2 graded
βˆ’9.5
50%
Handicap0-1 Β· 1 graded
βˆ’47.9
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite4-2 Β· 6 graded
βˆ’5.1
67%
Even2-1 Β· 3 graded
+15.8
67%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.503-1 Β· 4 graded
-
75%
1.50…1.892-0 Β· 2 graded
-
100%
1.90…2.291-0 Β· 1 graded
-
100%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 1 of 1 months with 5+ picks
  • October 2026
    +1.9 pp
    6-3 Β· 67%
    ROI +30.9%

By league

  • NBA4-180%+20.5
  • NHL1-150%βˆ’14.9
  • NCAAF1-150%βˆ’27.9

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Picks

Singleposted 22 Oct, 08:05 Β· 17 h before start
Lost
NBA Β· Regular seasonΒ·
Oklahoma City Thunder
96:84
Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets +8
Open on Xexpected 48% by model
Singleposted 22 Oct, 08:05 Β· 15 h before start
odds 1.74DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NBA Β· Regular seasonΒ·
Philadelphia 76ers
114:106
Cleveland Cavaliers
Philadelphia 76ers to win
Open on Xexpected 55% from the closing line+0.74 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 08:05 Β· 15 h before start
odds 1.20DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NCAAF Β· NCAAF: Regular SeasonΒ·
Appalachian State Mountaineers
34:31
James Madison Dukes
James Madison Dukes to win
Open on Xexpected 80% from the closing lineβˆ’1.00 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 08:05 Β· 15 h before start
odds 1.26DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NCAAF Β· NCAAF: Regular SeasonΒ·
Kennesaw State Owls
6:34
Liberty Flames
Liberty Flames to win
Open on Xexpected 76% from the closing line+0.26 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 08:05 Β· 18 h before start
odds 1.58DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL Β· NHL: Regular seasonΒ·
Vancouver Canucks
2:5
Detroit Red Wings
Detroit Red Wings to win
Open on Xexpected 61% from the closing line+0.58 u
Singleposted 21 Oct, 23:09 Β· 21 min before start
Lost
NHL Β· NHL: Regular seasonΒ·
Buffalo Sabres
1:3
Philadelphia Flyers
Over 5.5
Open on Xexpected 69% by model
Singleposted 21 Oct, 23:09 Β· 1 h before start
odds 1.23DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NBA Β· Regular seasonΒ·
Houston Rockets
128:110
Dallas Mavericks
Houston Rockets to win
Open on Xexpected 78% from the closing line+0.23 u
Singleposted 21 Oct, 23:09 Β· 3 h before start
odds 1.43DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NBA Β· Regular seasonΒ·
LA Lakers
127:105
Golden State Warriors
LA Lakers to win
Open on Xexpected 67% from the closing line+0.43 u
Singleposted 21 Oct, 23:09 Β· 3 h before start
odds 1.92DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NBA Β· Regular seasonΒ·
LA Clippers
121:96
Sacramento Kings
Under 226.5
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing line+0.92 u