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DaryleTHEGURUJohnson

@DDDGURU15.3K followersfirst pick 20 Septusually posts 49 min before start

Host on 95.7 The Game’s STEINY-GURU show 10 to 2 pm ! #audacy Blessed to share my passionate sport takes with the BAY AREA! Dreams do come true!

NFL & NCAAF
Tipster index58.0needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history
Hit rate
40.0%
expected 11.9%
Edge
+28.1 pp
over expectation
Graded
5
2-3
ROI
-
on 2 picks with odds
Average odds
1.89
singles with odds
Form
streak L2 Β· best W1, worst L2

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

00.511.519 Sept28 Sept7 Oct16 Oct25 Oct

By sport

NFL & NCAAF2-3 Β· 5 graded
+28.1
40%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Parlays2-2 Β· 4 graded
+47.7
50%
Handicap0-1 Β· 1 graded
βˆ’50.4
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Even0-1 Β· 1 graded
βˆ’50.4
0%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.890-1 Β· 1 graded
-
0%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

  • September 2026
    +48.3 pp
    1-1 Β· 50%
  • October 2026
    +14.6 pp
    1-2 Β· 33%

By league

  • NFL0-10%βˆ’50.4

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Picks

Singleposted 25 Oct, 16:10 Β· 49 min before start
odds 1.89DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NFL Β· Regular SeasonΒ·
Atlanta Falcons
29:20
San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco 49ers βˆ’2.5
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing lineβˆ’1.00 u
Parlay Β· 2posted 10 Oct, 15:09 Β· 26 h before start
odds 49.00Lost
NFL Β· Regular SeasonΒ·
Seattle Seahawks
29:32
San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco 49ers +3βœ“
NFL Β· Regular SeasonΒ·
New York Jets
17:12
Cleveland Browns
Cleveland Browns +2βœ•
Open on Xexpected 2% from oddsβˆ’1.00 u
Parlay Β· 2posted 4 Oct, 16:50 Β· 4 h before start
odds 23.82Won
NFL Β· Regular SeasonΒ·
San Francisco 49ers
24:14
Denver Broncos
San Francisco 49ers βˆ’3βœ“
NFL Β· Regular SeasonΒ·
Las Vegas Raiders
27:30
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs βˆ’3β†Ί
Open on Xexpected 4% from odds+22.82 u
Parlay Β· 5posted 27 Sept, 16:19 Β· 40 min before start
odds 49.00Lost
NFL Β· Regular SeasonΒ·
Pittsburgh Steelers
30:27
Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati Bengals βˆ’2βœ•
NFL Β· Regular SeasonΒ·
Miami Dolphins
10:24
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs βˆ’9.5βœ“
NFL Β· Regular SeasonΒ·
New York Giants
12:7
Tennessee Titans
New York Giants βˆ’2βœ“
NFL Β· Regular SeasonΒ·
San Francisco 49ers
36:30
Arizona Cardinals
San Francisco 49ers βˆ’8.5βœ•
NFL Β· Regular SeasonΒ·
Dallas Cowboys
31:34
Baltimore Ravens
Over 52βœ“
Open on Xexpected 2% from oddsβˆ’1.00 u
Parlay Β· 3posted 20 Sept, 16:13 Β· 47 min before start
odds 49.00Won
NFL Β· Regular SeasonΒ·
San Francisco 49ers
35:13
Miami Dolphins
San Francisco 49ers βˆ’13.5βœ“
NFL Β· Regular SeasonΒ·
New England Patriots
20:3
Pittsburgh Steelers
New England Patriots βˆ’5βœ“
NFL Β· Regular SeasonΒ·
Atlanta Falcons
3:34
Carolina Panthers
Carolina Panthers βˆ’2.5βœ“
Open on Xexpected 2% from odds+48.00 u