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Broadwayreviewer

@Broadwaycritic11.7K followersfirst pick 11 Oct

Part-time entertainment reviewer. Full-time sports enthusiast—especially tennis, pickleball & padel. An independent voice and commentator. Please follow.

Tennis
Tipster index52.6needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history

Open picks 2

Games not played yet
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Stefanos Tsitsipas
live
Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz to win
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Zizou Bergs
-:-
Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz to win
Hit rate
100.0%
expected 60.3%
Edge
+39.7 pp
over expectation
Graded
1
1-0 · 2 pending
ROI
-
posts no odds
Average odds
-
singles with odds
Form
streak W1 · best W1, worst L0

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

00.10.20.30.411 Oct12 Oct

By sport

Tennis1-0 · 1 graded
+39.7
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result1-0 · 1 graded
+39.7
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite1-0 · 1 graded
+39.7
100%
Even0-0 · 0 graded
-
-

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By month

  • October 2026
    +39.7 pp
    1-0 · 100%

By league

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Picks

Singleposted 11 Oct, 21:17 · 13 h before start
Pending
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Zizou Bergs
-:-
Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz to win
Open on Xexpected 79% by model
Singleposted 11 Oct, 21:17 · 9 h before start
Pending
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Stefanos Tsitsipas
live
Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz to win
Open on Xexpected 59% by model
Singleposted 11 Oct, 21:17 · 7 h before start
Won
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Learner Tien
0:2
Casper Ruud
Casper Ruud to win
Open on Xexpected 60% by model