Brasileirão

@Brasileirao1.7M followersfirst pick 1 Septusually posts 20 h before start

Perfil oficial do Brasileirão Série A, o campeonato mais disputado do mundo! #ÉoBrasileiro 🇧🇷

Football

CompareRSS

Tipster index60.8needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history

Hit rate

83.3%

expected 50.8%

Edge

+32.5 pp

over expectation

Graded

5-1

ROI

+141.4%

on 5 picks with odds · max drawdown −1.00 u

Average odds

3.01

singles with odds

Form

streak W5 · best W5, worst L1

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

Football5-1 · 6 graded

+32.5

83%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result5-1 · 6 graded

+32.5

83%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite3-0 · 3 graded

+26.5

100%

Underdog2-1 · 3 graded

+38.6

67%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.502-0 · 2 graded

100%

2.30…3.491-1 · 2 graded

50%

3.50+1-0 · 1 graded

100%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).