odds 1.69Pending
ATP Challenger · Jinan, China·
Martin Landaluce
-:-
Ilia Simakin
Martin Landaluce to win@1.69
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Open picks 2
Games not played yetATP Challenger · Jinan, China·
Martin Landaluce
-:-
Ilia Simakin
Martin Landaluce to win@1.69
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Tommy Paul
-:-
Valentin Vacherot
Tommy Paul to win
Hit rate
61.1%
expected 55.4%
Edge
+5.7 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 55.0%, the edge is within noise
Graded
181
110-70-1 · 2 pending
ROI
−11.1%
on 109 picks with odds · max drawdown −19.87 u
Average odds
1.68
singles with odds
Form
streak L1 · best W23, worst L5
Wins above expectation
Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.
By sport
Football48-20 · 68 graded
+6.571%
NFL & NCAAF25-12-1 · 38 graded
+15.068%
Baseball12-22 · 34 graded
−6.535%
Tennis13-8 · 21 graded
+11.162%
Hockey10-7 · 17 graded
−3.059%
Basketball2-1 · 3 graded
+22.067%
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By market
Match result64-42-1 · 107 graded
+2.460%
Handicap38-8 · 46 graded
+12.183%
Parlays4-18 · 22 graded
+6.618%
Totals4-2 · 6 graded
+11.067%
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
Favourites and underdogs
Favourite72-19-1 · 92 graded
+8.179%
Even29-29 · 58 graded
−0.850%
Underdog5-4 · 9 graded
+20.456%
Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By odds
< 1.5025-8 · 33 graded
−2.6%76%
1.50…1.8923-18-1 · 42 graded
−7.0%56%
1.90…2.295-12 · 17 graded
−37.9%29%
2.30…3.493-3 · 6 graded
+24.0%50%
Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).
By month
Hit rate above expectation in 2 of 2 months with 5+ picks- August 2026−10.4 pp1-1 · 50%
- September 2026+1.4 pp52-39 · 57%ROI −17.9%
- October 2026+10.5 pp57-30-1 · 66%ROI −0.4%
By league
- UEFA Nations League48-1972%+6.6
- MLB · USA12-1544%−7.2
- NHL10-663%−2.8
- NFL13-1-193%+23.8
- NCAAF8-657%−1.7
- ATP 10007-278%+20.3
- WTA 10006-460%+6.2
- WNBA2-0100%+36.2
- ATP Challenger0-0--
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Picks
odds 1.62Void
ATP Challenger · Jinan, China·
Stefanos Sakellaridis
void
Juncheng Shang
Stefanos Sakellaridis to win@1.62
Won
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Pablo Carreno Busta
1:2
Felix Auger Aliassime
Felix Auger Aliassime to win
Lost
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Stefanos Tsitsipas
2:1
Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz to win
Pending
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Tommy Paul
-:-
Valentin Vacherot
Tommy Paul to win
Won
WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·
Anhelina Kalinina
0:2
Sonay Kartal
Sonay Kartal to win
Void
WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·
Janice Tjen
void
Oleksandra Oliynykova
Janice Tjen to win
Won
WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
0:2
Magdalena Frech
Magdalena Frech to win
Won
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Learner Tien
0:2
Casper Ruud
Casper Ruud to win
Won
WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·
Jasmine Paolini
2:0
Sara Bejlek
Jasmine Paolini to win
Void
WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·
Clara Tauson
void
Marie Bouzkova
Clara Tauson to win
odds 1.27DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
Jacksonville Jaguars
19:17
Philadelphia EaglesJacksonville Jaguars to win
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
New Orleans Saints
13:23
Minnesota VikingsNew Orleans Saints +10.5
odds 1.26DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
Miami Dolphins
24:31
Cincinnati BengalsCincinnati Bengals to win
odds 1.27DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
New England Patriots
45:17
Las Vegas RaidersNew England Patriots to win
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Washington Commanders
27:27
New York GiantsWashington Commanders +4.5
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Pittsburgh Steelers
34:22
Indianapolis ColtsPittsburgh Steelers +3.5
odds 1.33DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
Tennessee Titans
3:26
Houston TexansHouston Texans to win
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
New York Jets
17:12
Cleveland BrownsCleveland Browns +10.5
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Green Bay Packers
31:7
Chicago BearsGreen Bay Packers +7.5
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Los Angeles Chargers
17:23
Denver BroncosLos Angeles Chargers +10.5
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Arizona Cardinals
21:45
Detroit LionsOver 40.5
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Seattle Seahawks
29:32
San Francisco 49ersSeattle Seahawks +4.5
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Atlanta Falcons
23:30
Baltimore RavensBaltimore Ravens +10.5
odds 1.58Won
WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open: Qualification·
Zeynep Sonmez
2:0
Sinja Kraus
Zeynep Sonmez to win@1.58
odds 1.54Won
WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open: Qualification·
Sara Sorribes Tormo
1:2
Daria Kasatkina
Daria Kasatkina to win@1.54
odds 1.33Lost
WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open: Qualification·
Han Shi
2:0
Kamilla Rakhimova
Kamilla Rakhimova to win@1.33
odds 2.27Lost
WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open: Qualification·
Maria Osorio
1:2
Katie Volynets
Maria Osorio to win@2.27
Lost
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Ben Shelton
0:2
Arthur Gea
Ben Shelton to win
Won
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Karen Khachanov
2:0
Adrian Mannarino
Karen Khachanov to win