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BettingslipIQ

@BettingslipIQ81 followersfirst pick 8 Augusually posts 3 h before start

AI-powered sports betting analytics & intelligence. Analyze odds, lines, matchups & risk with explainable insights. Information only β€’ 21+ β€’ Bet responsibly.

BaseballNFL & NCAAFBasketballFootball
Tipster index46.0needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history
Hit rate
50.0%
expected 59.5%
Edge
βˆ’9.5 pp
over expectation
Graded
8
4-4
ROI
βˆ’34.0%
on 5 picks with odds Β· max drawdown βˆ’2.00 u
Average odds
1.57
singles with odds
Form
streak L1 Β· best W4, worst L3

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-1.5-1-0.507 Aug29 Aug19 Sept11 Oct1 Nov

By sport

NFL & NCAAF2-1 Β· 3 graded
+4.2
67%
Baseball1-2 Β· 3 graded
βˆ’28.5
33%
Basketball1-1 Β· 2 graded
βˆ’1.4
50%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result3-2 Β· 5 graded
βˆ’4.5
60%
Parlays1-1 Β· 2 graded
βˆ’1.4
50%
Handicap0-1 Β· 1 graded
βˆ’50.7
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite3-2 Β· 5 graded
βˆ’4.5
60%
Even0-1 Β· 1 graded
βˆ’50.7
0%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.891-2 Β· 3 graded
-
33%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

  • August 2026
    βˆ’61.1 pp
    0-2 Β· 0%
  • September 2026
    +4.2 pp
    2-1 Β· 67%
  • October 2026
    +36.6 pp
    1-0 Β· 100%
  • November 2026
    βˆ’1.4 pp
    1-1 Β· 50%

By league

  • NCAAF2-167%+4.2
  • MLB Β· USA1-233%βˆ’28.5
  • NBA1-150%βˆ’1.4
  • Nacional B Β· Bolivia0-0--

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Picks

Same-game combo Β· 2posted 1 Nov, 19:15 Β· 1 h before start
odds 1.77Won
NBA Β· Regular seasonΒ·
Orlando Magic
97:108
Boston Celtics
Boston Celtics βˆ’6.5βœ“
NBA Β· Regular seasonΒ·
Orlando Magic
97:108
Boston Celtics
Under 221.5βœ“
Open on Xexpected 51% from odds+0.77 u
Same-game combo Β· 2posted 1 Nov, 19:15 Β· 3 h before start
odds 1.76Lost
NBA Β· Regular seasonΒ·
Indiana Pacers
90:98
Brooklyn Nets
Indiana Pacers βˆ’3.5βœ•
NBA Β· Regular seasonΒ·
Indiana Pacers
90:98
Brooklyn Nets
Over 230.5βœ•
Open on Xexpected 52% from oddsβˆ’1.00 u
Singleposted 23 Oct, 20:44 Β· 3 h before start
odds 1.53DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
MLB Β· post-seasonΒ·
Milwaukee Brewers
3:2
Tampa Bay Rays
Milwaukee Brewers to win
Open on Xexpected 63% from the closing line+0.53 u
Singleposted 12 Sept, 15:35 Β· 4 h before start
Won
NCAAF Β· NCAAF: Regular SeasonΒ·
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
52:0
Rice Owls
Notre Dame Fighting Irish to win
Open on Xexpected 68% by model
Singleposted 12 Sept, 15:35 Β· 24 min before start
Lost
NCAAF Β· NCAAF: Regular SeasonΒ·
Oklahoma State Cowboys
39:31
Oregon Ducks
Oregon Ducks βˆ’18.5
Open on Xexpected 51% by model
Singleposted 12 Sept, 15:35 Β· 5 h before start
Won
NCAAF Β· NCAAF: Regular SeasonΒ·
Vanderbilt Commodores
35:26
Delaware Blue Hens
Vanderbilt Commodores to win
Open on Xexpected 68% by model
Singleposted 30 Aug, 02:29 Β· 18 h before start
Void
Bolivia Β· Nacional B: 2nd Stage: Group DΒ·
Virginia USC
void
Universitario Beni
Virginia USC βˆ’4
Open on Xexpected 2% by model
Singleposted 16 Aug, 17:55 Β· 1 h before start
odds 1.58Lost
MLBΒ·
Chicago Cubs
4:11
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs to win@1.58
Open on Xexpected 60% from oddsβˆ’1.00 u
Singleposted 8 Aug, 21:42 Β· 22 min before start
odds 1.59DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
MLBΒ·
Philadelphia Phillies
5:7
Toronto Blue Jays
Philadelphia Phillies to win
Open on Xexpected 62% from the closing lineβˆ’1.00 u