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AI Tennis

@BettingOnTenis1.2K followersfirst pick 1 Augusually posts 9 h before start

Tennis 🎾 | Betting 💰 = All Stats Verified | Passion ➜ Income | 🇪🇸/🇬🇧 | #GamblingTwitter #GamblingX

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Tipster index63.4#46 on the leaderboarddown 29 this weekdeveloping sample
Hit rate
66.7%
expected 54.9%
Edge
+11.8 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 53.6%, the edge is within noise
Graded
39
26-13
ROI
+29.5%
on 27 picks with odds · max drawdown −2.24 u
Average odds
1.85
singles with odds
Form
streak L4 · best W8, worst L4

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

024631 Jul21 Aug11 Sept2 Oct23 Oct

By sport

Tennis26-12 · 38 graded
+13.4
68%
Football0-1 · 1 graded
−46.2
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result17-5 · 22 graded
+22.3
77%
Handicap6-4 · 10 graded
+7.4
60%
Totals2-4 · 6 graded
−22.6
33%
Parlays1-0 · 1 graded
+33.3
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite4-2 · 6 graded
−4.6
67%
Even21-10 · 31 graded
+15.9
68%
Underdog0-1 · 1 graded
−38.9
0%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.8913-7 · 20 graded
+13.4%
65%
1.90…2.295-0 · 5 graded
+99.8%
100%
2.30…3.491-1 · 2 graded
-
50%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 2 of 3 months with 5+ picks
  • August 2026
    +23.9 pp
    16-5 · 76%
    ROI +38.0%
  • September 2026
    +10.2 pp
    9-4 · 69%
    ROI +47.4%
  • October 2026
    −34.8 pp
    1-4 · 20%

By league

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Picks

Singleposted 23 Oct, 06:07 · 2 h before start
odds 1.80Lost
ATP 250 · Almaty Open·
Stefanos Tsitsipas
2:0
James Duckworth
Over 22.5 games@1.80
Open on Xexpected 53% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 23 Oct, 06:01 · 38 min before start
odds 1.87Lost
ATP 250 · Almaty Open·
Nikoloz Basilashvili
2:0
Adrian Mannarino
Over 22.5 games@1.87
Open on Xexpected 51% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 16 Oct, 18:26 · 17 h before start
Lost
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Rafael Jodar
2:0
Daniil Medvedev
Over 21.5 games
Open on Xexpected 53% by model
Singleposted 10 Oct, 08:43 · 3 h before start
Lost
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Tommy Paul
2:0
Adolfo Vallejo
Adolfo Vallejo +3.5
Open on Xexpected 50% by model
Singleposted 5 Oct, 04:41 · 5 h before start
Void
ATP 500 · China Open·
Alex de Minaur
void
Hubert Hurkacz
Alex de Minaur to win
Open on Xexpected 61% by model
Singleposted 3 Oct, 19:02 · 15 h before start
Won
ATP 500 · Japan Open (Tokyo)·
Jiri Lehecka
2:0
Adolfo Vallejo
Jiri Lehecka to win
Open on Xexpected 67% by model
Singleposted 3 Oct, 15:46 · 1 h before start
Void
ATP Challenger · Columbus, USA·
Dylan Dietrich
void
Andres Andrade
Andres Andrade +4.5
Open on Xexpected 63% by model
Singleposted 29 Sept, 20:24 · 8 h before start
Won
ATP 500 · Japan Open (Tokyo)·
Alejandro Tabilo
2:0
Tommy Paul
Alejandro Tabilo +3.5
Open on Xexpected 43% by model
Singleposted 25 Sept, 04:50 · 7 h before start
Lost
ATP 250 · Hangzhou Open·
Jaime Faria
1:2
Hugo Gaston
Jaime Faria to win
Open on Xexpected 68% by model
Singleposted 23 Sept, 19:46 · 15 h before start
Lost
WTA 250 · Singapore Open·
Tatiana Prozorova
2:1
Alexandra Eala
Alexandra Eala to win
Open on Xexpected 71% by model
Singleposted 23 Sept, 19:03 · 12 h before start
Won
ATP 250 · Hangzhou Open·
Fabian Marozsan
2:0
Alex Bolt
Fabian Marozsan to win
Open on Xexpected 53% by model
Singleposted 20 Sept, 16:53 · 13 h before start
odds 1.76Won
WTA 250 · Singapore Open·
Talia Gibson
2:0
Fiona Ferro
Talia Gibson to win@1.76
Open on Xexpected 54% from odds+0.76 u
Singleposted 5 Sept, 09:41 · 17 h before start
odds 1.66Lost
US Open · Men's Singles·
Alexander Zverev
3:0
Alejandro Tabilo
Alejandro Tabilo +2.5 sets@1.66
Open on Xexpected 57% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 5 Sept, 09:40 · 7 h before start
odds 1.91Won
US Open · Men's Singles·
Alexander Blockx
3:1
Flavio Cobolli
Alexander Blockx to win@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds+0.91 u
Singleposted 4 Sept, 10:21 · 11 h before start
odds 1.98Won
US Open · Men's Singles·
Tomas Etcheverry
3:0
Mariano Navone
Tomas Etcheverry to win@1.98
Open on Xexpected 48% from odds+0.98 u
Singleposted 3 Sept, 14:40 · 4 h before start
Won
US Open · Men's Singles·
Taylor Fritz
3:0
Mattia Bellucci
Taylor Fritz to win
Open on Xexpected 75% by model
Singleposted 3 Sept, 04:34 · 17 h before start
Lost
Primera Division: Clausura·
Estudiantes Merida
1:1
Universidad Central
Over 3.5
Open on Xexpected 46% by model
Singleposted 2 Sept, 18:05 · 21 h before start
Won
US Open · Men's Singles·
Jan-Lennard Struff
2:3
Francisco Cerundolo
Francisco Cerundolo to win
Open on Xexpected 68% by model
Singleposted 1 Sept, 15:47 · 26 h before start
odds 1.72Won
US Open · Men's Singles·
Tomas Etcheverry
3:1
Jacob Fearnley
Tomas Etcheverry to win@1.72
Open on Xexpected 55% from odds+0.72 u
Singleposted 1 Sept, 15:33 · 24 h before start
Won
US Open · Men's Singles·
Daniel Merida Aguilar
3:1
Andrey Rublev
Over 3.5 sets
Open on Xexpected 78% by model
Parlay · 2posted 27 Aug, 05:09 · 11 h before start
Won
US Open · Men's Qualification·
Otto Virtanen
void
Grigor Dimitrov
Grigor Dimitrov to win∅
US Open · Women's Qualification·
Gabriela Knutson
2:0
Ekaterine Gorgodze
Gabriela Knutson to win✓
Open on Xexpected 67% by model
Singleposted 26 Aug, 06:01 · 15 h before start
odds 1.73Lost
US Open · Men's Qualification·
Henrique Rocha
1:2
Lloyd Harris
Henrique Rocha to win@1.73
Open on Xexpected 55% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 24 Aug, 12:09 · 29 h before start
odds 1.78Won
US Open · Men's Qualification·
Bernard Tomic
1:2
Lloyd Harris
Bernard Tomic +1.5 sets@1.78
Open on Xexpected 54% from odds+0.78 u
Singleposted 24 Aug, 12:08 · 5 h before start
odds 1.78Won
US Open · Men's Qualification·
Vilius Gaubas
2:0
Kilian Feldbausch
Vilius Gaubas to win@1.78
Open on Xexpected 54% from odds+0.78 u
Singleposted 24 Aug, 10:45 · 10 h before start
odds 1.87Lost
US Open · Women's Qualification·
Carson Branstine
2:0
Clervie Ngounoue
Clervie Ngounoue to win@1.87
Open on Xexpected 51% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 19 Aug, 18:26 · 4 h before start
odds 1.81Lost
ATP 1000 · Cincinnati·
Nuno Borges
1:2
Brandon Nakashima
Nuno Borges +2.5@1.81
Open on Xexpected 53% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 18 Aug, 18:46 · 6 h before start
odds 2.10Won
ATP 1000 · Cincinnati·
Learner Tien
1:2
Frances Tiafoe
Frances Tiafoe to win@2.10
Open on Xexpected 45% from odds+1.10 u
Singleposted 16 Aug, 07:50 · 20 min before start
odds 1.66Won
ATP Challenger · Astana, Kazakhstan·
Aziz Dougaz
1:2
Hayato Matsuoka
Hayato Matsuoka to win@1.66
Open on Xexpected 57% from odds+0.66 u
Singleposted 14 Aug, 12:42 · 5 h before start
odds 1.90Won
ATP 1000 · Cincinnati·
Tomas Machac
0:2
Pablo Carreno Busta
Pablo Carreno Busta to win@1.90
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds+0.90 u
Singleposted 14 Aug, 11:48 · 1 h before start
odds 1.68Void
ATP Challenger · Todi, Italy·
Maxim Mrva
void
Federico Agustin Gomez
Federico Agustin Gomez to win@1.68
Open on Xexpected 57% from odds