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Dimes

@jr_dimes6.9K followersfirst pick 2 Augusually posts 8 h before start

0.5 - 3 unit scale | My timeline is not meant for your picks & you will be blocked | All picks will be graded by what is posted in Action app | Link below

TennisNFL & NCAAFFootballBaseballBasketballHockey
Tipster index59.2#62 on the leaderboardup 18 this weekestablished sample
Hit rate
53.8%
expected 48.3%
Edge
+5.5 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 47.1%, the edge is within noise
Graded
154
82-70-2
ROI
+7.2%
on 154 picks with odds · max drawdown −5.58 u
Average odds
1.98
singles with odds
Form
streak L1 · best W6, worst L5

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-5051 Aug19 Aug6 Sept24 Sept12 Oct

By sport

Tennis42-42 · 84 graded
+2.3
50%
NFL & NCAAF29-22-2 · 53 graded
+7.5
57%
Football6-2 · 8 graded
+25.6
73%
Baseball3-2 · 5 graded
+13.3
60%
Basketball1-1 · 2 graded
+1.0
50%
Hockey1-1 · 2 graded
+2.4
50%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Handicap42-43-2 · 87 graded
−0.4
49%
Match result38-26 · 64 graded
+12.8
59%
Totals2-1 · 3 graded
+17.6
67%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Even81-69-2 · 152 graded
+5.5
54%
Underdog1-1 · 2 graded
+11.1
50%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.896-19 · 25 graded
−55.6%
24%
1.90…2.2972-50-2 · 124 graded
+16.7%
59%
2.30…3.494-1 · 5 graded
+87.0%
80%

Singles with the odds stated in the post. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 3 of 3 months with 5+ picks
  • August 2026
    +1.5 pp
    28-29 · 49%
    ROI +0.9%
  • September 2026
    +10.2 pp
    38-26 · 59%
    ROI +15.4%
  • October 2026
    +3.4 pp
    16-15-2 · 52%
    ROI +2.3%

By league

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Picks

Singleposted 11 Oct, 10:44 · 6 h before start
odds 1.91Won
NFL · Regular Season·
New York Jets
17:12
Cleveland Browns
New York Jets −2.5@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds+0.91 u
Singleposted 11 Oct, 10:44 · 14 h before start
odds 1.83Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Atlanta Falcons
23:30
Baltimore Ravens
Atlanta Falcons −3@1.83
Open on Xexpected 52% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 11 Oct, 10:44 · 6 h before start
odds 1.91Push
NFL · Regular Season·
Miami Dolphins
24:31
Cincinnati Bengals
Miami Dolphins +7@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds+0.00 u
Singleposted 11 Oct, 10:44 · 6 h before start
odds 1.95Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Washington Commanders
27:27
New York Giants
Washington Commanders −3.5@1.95
Open on Xexpected 49% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 10 Oct, 11:05 · 12 h before start
odds 1.83Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Alabama Crimson Tide
17:20
Georgia Bulldogs
Alabama Crimson Tide to win@1.83
Open on Xexpected 52% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 10 Oct, 11:05 · 12 h before start
odds 1.91Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Kentucky Wildcats
35:34
LSU Tigers
Kentucky Wildcats +9.5@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds+0.91 u
Singleposted 10 Oct, 11:05 · 5 h before start
odds 1.91Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Nebraska Cornhuskers
17:20
Indiana Hoosiers
Nebraska Cornhuskers +8.5@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds+0.91 u
Singleposted 10 Oct, 11:05 · 9 h before start
odds 1.91Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Ohio State Buckeyes
45:16
Maryland Terrapins
Maryland Terrapins +33.5@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds+0.91 u
Singleposted 10 Oct, 11:05 · 6 h before start
odds 1.95Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Florida Gators
19:38
South Carolina Gamecocks
South Carolina Gamecocks +10.5@1.95
Open on Xexpected 49% from odds+0.95 u
Singleposted 9 Oct, 11:10 · 49 min before start
odds 1.98Lost
NBA · Pre-season·
Dallas Mavericks
117:135
Houston Rockets
Dallas Mavericks to win@1.98
Open on Xexpected 48% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 9 Oct, 11:10 · 12 h before start
odds 1.95Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Louisville Cardinals
44:20
Florida State Seminoles
Florida State Seminoles +3.5@1.95
Open on Xexpected 49% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 9 Oct, 11:10 · 14 h before start
odds 1.91Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
San Jose State Spartans
13:16
Wyoming Cowboys
Wyoming Cowboys +4.5@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds+0.91 u
Singleposted 9 Oct, 11:10 · 14 h before start
odds 1.87Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Washington Huskies
24:41
Iowa Hawkeyes
Washington Huskies −2.5@1.87
Open on Xexpected 51% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 9 Oct, 01:17 · 5 h before start
odds 2.20Won
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Quentin Halys
2:1
Alexander Blockx
Quentin Halys to win@2.20
Open on Xexpected 43% from odds+1.20 u
Singleposted 9 Oct, 01:17 · 6 h before start
odds 2.20Won
WTA 1000 · China Open·
Qinwen Zheng
2:0
Elina Svitolina
Qinwen Zheng to win@2.20
Open on Xexpected 43% from odds+1.20 u
Singleposted 8 Oct, 10:32 · 14 h before start
odds 1.95Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Dallas Cowboys
16:24
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +8.5@1.95
Open on Xexpected 49% from odds+0.95 u
Singleposted 8 Oct, 10:32 · 13 h before start
odds 1.95Push
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
UTSA Roadrunners
31:24
South Florida Bulls
UTSA Roadrunners −7@1.95
Open on Xexpected 49% from odds+0.00 u
Singleposted 7 Oct, 01:48 · 5 h before start
odds 2.10Lost
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Yannick Hanfmann
2:1
Kamil Majchrzak
Yannick Hanfmann −3.5@2.10
Open on Xexpected 45% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 5 Oct, 17:12 · 6 h before start
odds 1.91Won
NBA · Pre-season·
Atlanta Hawks
123:132
Memphis Grizzlies
Memphis Grizzlies +3@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds+0.91 u
Singleposted 5 Oct, 17:12 · 7 h before start
odds 1.91Won
NFL · Regular Season·
New Orleans Saints
24:45
Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta Falcons +1.5@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds+0.91 u
Singleposted 4 Oct, 02:10 · 5 h before start
odds 2.10Lost
ATP 500 · China Open·
Alex de Minaur
2:1
Andrey Rublev
Andrey Rublev to win@2.10
Open on Xexpected 45% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 3 Oct, 12:40 · 10 h before start
odds 1.93Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
TCU Horned Frogs
10:17
BYU Cougars
TCU Horned Frogs +6@1.93
Open on Xexpected 49% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 3 Oct, 12:40 · 7 h before start
odds 1.93Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Tennessee Volunteers
24:14
Auburn Tigers
Auburn Tigers +6.5@1.93
Open on Xexpected 49% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 3 Oct, 12:40 · 11 h before start
odds 1.91Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Clemson Tigers
13:41
Miami Hurricanes
Clemson Tigers +15.5@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 3 Oct, 12:40 · 11 h before start
odds 1.91Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Colorado Buffaloes
7:29
Texas Tech Red Raiders
Colorado Buffaloes +13.5@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 2 Oct, 11:14 · 13 h before start
odds 1.87Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Winnipeg Jets
3:4
Boston Bruins
Winnipeg Jets to win@1.87
Open on Xexpected 51% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 2 Oct, 11:14 · 11 h before start
odds 2.15Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Detroit Red Wings
0:2
New York Rangers
New York Rangers to win@2.15
Open on Xexpected 44% from odds+1.15 u
Singleposted 2 Oct, 11:14 · 12 h before start
odds 1.95Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Virginia Tech Hokies
33:35
Pittsburgh Panthers
Pittsburgh Panthers +2.5@1.95
Open on Xexpected 49% from odds+0.95 u
Singleposted 2 Oct, 11:14 · 13 h before start
odds 1.91Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Northwestern Wildcats
34:13
Penn State Nittany Lions
Northwestern Wildcats +3@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds+0.91 u
Singleposted 2 Oct, 01:34 · 4 h before start
odds 2.12Won
WTA 1000 · China Open·
Jasmine Paolini
1:2
Daria Snigur
Daria Snigur to win@2.12
Open on Xexpected 45% from odds+1.12 u