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Bantrym

@BantrymSports9 followersfirst pick 3 Septusually posts 44 h before start

We talk sports. Nobody asked. We’re saying it anyway.

NFL & NCAAF
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Tipster index50.8#378 on the leaderboarddown 102 this weekdeveloping sample

Open picks 3

Games not played yet
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Colorado Buffaloes
-:-
Kansas State Wildcats
Kansas State Wildcats −2.5
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Oregon Ducks
-:-
Northwestern Wildcats
Oregon Ducks −3.5@1.91DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use it
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
BYU Cougars
-:-
Arizona State Sun Devils
Over 48.5@1.93DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use it
Hit rate
53.8%
expected 53.0%
Edge
+0.8 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 38.2%, the edge is within noise
Graded
26
14-12 · 3 pending
ROI
-
on 4 picks with odds
Average odds
1.96
singles with odds
Form
streak L2 · best W3, worst L2

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-1-0.500.54 Sept17 Sept29 Sept12 Oct24 Oct

By sport

NFL & NCAAF14-12 · 26 graded
+0.8
54%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Handicap9-10 · 19 graded
−3.4
47%
Totals4-2 · 6 graded
+5.4
67%
Match result1-0 · 1 graded
+53.3
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite5-1 · 6 graded
+18.9
83%
Even8-10 · 18 graded
−6.3
44%
Underdog1-1 · 2 graded
+10.9
50%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.90…2.292-2 · 4 graded
-
50%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 1 of 2 months with 5+ picks
  • September 2026
    +4.5 pp
    7-5 · 58%
  • October 2026
    −2.4 pp
    7-7 · 50%

By league

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Picks

Singleposted 29 Oct, 02:06 · 3 days before start
odds 1.91DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itPending
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Oregon Ducks
-:-
Northwestern Wildcats
Oregon Ducks −3.5
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing line
Singleposted 29 Oct, 02:06 · 3 days before start
Pending
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Colorado Buffaloes
-:-
Kansas State Wildcats
Kansas State Wildcats −2.5
Open on Xexpected 47% by model
Singleposted 29 Oct, 02:06 · 3 days before start
odds 1.93DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itPending
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
BYU Cougars
-:-
Arizona State Sun Devils
Over 48.5
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing line
Singleposted 24 Oct, 14:29 · 5 h before start
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
UCF Knights
39:31
BYU Cougars
BYU Cougars −7
Open on Xexpected 42% by model
Singleposted 24 Oct, 14:29 · 9 h before start
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Wisconsin Badgers
24:7
USC Trojans
USC Trojans −3
Open on Xexpected 47% by model
Singleposted 24 Oct, 14:29 · 2 h before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Auburn Tigers
17:38
LSU Tigers
Over 52.5
Open on Xexpected 64% by model
Singleposted 16 Oct, 23:01 · 20 h before start
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Tennessee Volunteers
26:10
Alabama Crimson Tide
Over 51.5
Open on Xexpected 64% by model
Singleposted 16 Oct, 23:01 · 17 h before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Indiana Hoosiers
15:19
Ohio State Buckeyes
Ohio State Buckeyes −3.5
Open on Xexpected 47% by model
Singleposted 16 Oct, 23:01 · 24 h before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Oklahoma Sooners
13:21
Kentucky Wildcats
Kentucky Wildcats +6.5
Open on Xexpected 69% by model
Singleposted 16 Oct, 23:01 · 17 h before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
James Madison Dukes
49:22
Georgia State Panthers
James Madison Dukes −12.5
Open on Xexpected 54% by model
Singleposted 9 Oct, 01:44 · 38 h before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Missouri Tigers
27:6
Texas A&M Aggies
Missouri Tigers −3.5
Open on Xexpected 47% by model
Singleposted 9 Oct, 01:44 · 46 h before start
odds 2.05DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Alabama Crimson Tide
17:20
Georgia Bulldogs
Georgia Bulldogs to win
Open on Xexpected 47% from the closing line+1.05 u
Singleposted 9 Oct, 01:44 · 42 h before start
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Oregon Ducks
15:17
UCLA Bruins
Oregon Ducks −11.5
Open on Xexpected 39% by model
Singleposted 1 Oct, 22:31 · 41 h before start
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Minnesota Golden Gophers
20:14
Michigan Wolverines
Michigan Wolverines −5.5
Open on Xexpected 42% by model
Singleposted 1 Oct, 22:31 · 45 h before start
odds 1.95DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Iowa Hawkeyes
14:31
Ohio State Buckeyes
Iowa Hawkeyes +14.5
Open on Xexpected 49% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 1 Oct, 22:31 · 41 h before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Mississippi State Bulldogs
23:56
Alabama Crimson Tide
Over 59.5
Open on Xexpected 64% by model
Singleposted 1 Oct, 22:31 · 41 h before start
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Air Force Falcons
14:9
Navy Midshipmen
Navy Midshipmen +3
Open on Xexpected 60% by model
Singleposted 24 Sept, 22:22 · 2 days before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
USC Trojans
27:41
Oregon Ducks
Over 62.5
Open on Xexpected 64% by model
Singleposted 24 Sept, 22:22 · 47 h before start
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Bowling Green Falcons
6:14
South Florida Bulls
South Florida Bulls −17.5
Open on Xexpected 54% by model
Singleposted 24 Sept, 22:22 · 2 days before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Old Dominion Monarchs
20:46
James Madison Dukes
James Madison Dukes −3.5
Open on Xexpected 47% by model
Singleposted 24 Sept, 22:22 · 45 h before start
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Florida Gators
52:28
Ole Miss Rebels
Ole Miss Rebels +3.5
Open on Xexpected 60% by model
Singleposted 17 Sept, 12:41 · 2 days before start
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Clemson Tigers
28:20
North Carolina Tar Heels
North Carolina Tar Heels +3.5
Open on Xexpected 60% by model
Singleposted 17 Sept, 12:41 · 2 days before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Louisville Cardinals
41:31
SMU Mustangs
Over 59.5
Open on Xexpected 64% by model
Singleposted 17 Sept, 12:41 · 2 days before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Auburn Tigers
39:44
Florida Gators
Florida Gators −2.5
Open on Xexpected 47% by model
Singleposted 10 Sept, 23:00 · 44 h before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Kentucky Wildcats
17:45
Alabama Crimson Tide
Alabama Crimson Tide −10
Open on Xexpected 39% by model
Singleposted 10 Sept, 23:00 · 41 h before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Army Black Knights
24:28
South Florida Bulls
South Florida Bulls +3.5
Open on Xexpected 60% by model
Singleposted 10 Sept, 23:00 · 41 h before start
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Oklahoma State Cowboys
39:31
Oregon Ducks
Oregon Ducks −23
Open on Xexpected 54% by model
Singleposted 3 Sept, 20:45 · 2 days before start
odds 1.90DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Iowa Hawkeyes
40:0
Northern Illinois Huskies
Over 44.5
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 3 Sept, 20:45 · 47 h before start
odds 1.95DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Oregon Ducks
34:27
Boise State Broncos
Boise State Broncos +24.5
Open on Xexpected 49% from the closing line+0.95 u