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BARCO 💫

@Bakoopick23 followersfirst pick 4 Augusually posts 12 h before start

I am a sport analyst helping people change their strategy on how to win in the game

BaseballBasketballTennisFootballNFL & NCAAF
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Tipster index45.0#629 on the leaderboardup 51 this weekdeveloping sample

Open picks 1

Games not played yet
NFL · Regular Season·
Baltimore Ravens
-:-
Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars to win +1
Hit rate
51.8%
expected 57.1%
Edge
−5.3 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 36.6%, the edge is within noise
Graded
27
14-13 · 1 pending
ROI
−35.9%
on 22 picks with odds · max drawdown −8.88 u
Average odds
1.81
singles with odds
Form
streak W5 · best W6, worst L4

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-4-3-2-103 Aug27 Aug19 Sept13 Oct5 Nov

By sport

Baseball4-6 · 10 graded
−13.6
40%
Basketball5-3 · 8 graded
−11.6
63%
Tennis2-4 · 6 graded
−1.9
33%
Football3-0 · 3 graded
+32.5
100%
NFL & NCAAF0-0 · 0 graded
-
-

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result10-12 · 22 graded
−13.7
45%
Double chance3-0 · 3 graded
+32.5
100%
Parlays1-1 · 2 graded
+31.2
50%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite11-3 · 14 graded
+7.8
79%
Even2-6 · 8 graded
−27.6
25%
Underdog0-3 · 3 graded
−30.8
0%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.505-1 · 6 graded
+0.3%
83%
1.50…1.895-6 · 11 graded
−26.5%
45%
1.90…2.290-1 · 1 graded
-
0%
2.30…3.490-3 · 3 graded
-
0%
3.50+0-1 · 1 graded
-
0%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 1 of 2 months with 5+ picks
  • August 2026
    −14.1 pp
    5-10 · 33%
    ROI −42.3%
  • November 2026
    +5.7 pp
    9-3 · 75%
    ROI −24.8%

By league

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Picks

Parlay · 3posted 5 Nov, 09:34 · 2 h before start
Won
WTA 250 · Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open·
Sorana Cirstea
2:0
Mary Stoiana
Sorana Cirstea to win✓
ATP 1000 · Paris Masters·
Matteo Berrettini
void
Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz to win∅
WTA 250 · Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open·
Tereza Valentova
0:2
Alexandra Eala
Alexandra Eala to win✓
Open on Xexpected 36% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 5 Nov, 09:29 · 16 h before start
Pending
NFL · Regular Season·
Baltimore Ravens
-:-
Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars to win◷
NFL · Regular Season·
Baltimore Ravens
-:-
Jacksonville Jaguars
Over 36.5◷
Open on Xexpected 52% by model
Singleposted 4 Nov, 10:08 · 8 h before start
Won
Champions League · League Stage·
AEK Athens
2:3
Real Madrid
Real Madrid or draw
Open on Xexpected 72% by model
Singleposted 4 Nov, 10:08 · 10 h before start
Won
Champions League · League Stage·
Slavia Prague
1:2
Arsenal
Arsenal or draw
Open on Xexpected 64% by model
Singleposted 4 Nov, 10:08 · 10 h before start
Won
Champions League · League Stage·
RB Leipzig
2:3
Manchester City
Manchester City or draw
Open on Xexpected 67% by model
Singleposted 2 Nov, 10:23 · 14 h before start
odds 1.57DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NBA · Regular season·
Cleveland Cavaliers
112:117
Oklahoma City Thunder
Cleveland Cavaliers to win
Open on Xexpected 61% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 2 Nov, 10:23 · 14 h before start
odds 1.44DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NBA · Regular season·
Charlotte Hornets
91:124
Detroit Pistons
Detroit Pistons to win
Open on Xexpected 66% from the closing line+0.44 u
Singleposted 2 Nov, 10:23 · 14 h before start
odds 1.64DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NBA · Regular season·
Orlando Magic
94:103
Washington Wizards
Orlando Magic to win
Open on Xexpected 58% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 2 Nov, 10:23 · 14 h before start
odds 1.09DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NBA · Regular season·
New York Knicks
103:90
Brooklyn Nets
New York Knicks to win
Open on Xexpected 88% from the closing line+0.09 u
Singleposted 2 Nov, 10:23 · 14 h before start
odds 1.21DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NBA · Regular season·
Indiana Pacers
104:108
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta Hawks to win
Open on Xexpected 79% from the closing line+0.21 u
Singleposted 2 Nov, 10:23 · 15 h before start
odds 1.33DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NBA · Regular season·
Dallas Mavericks
100:115
Sacramento Kings
Dallas Mavericks to win
Open on Xexpected 72% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 2 Nov, 10:23 · 15 h before start
odds 1.20DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NBA · Regular season·
Minnesota Timberwolves
112:100
Milwaukee Bucks
Minnesota Timberwolves to win
Open on Xexpected 80% from the closing line+0.20 u
Singleposted 2 Nov, 10:23 · 15 h before start
odds 1.08DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NBA · Regular season·
San Antonio Spurs
119:97
Utah Jazz
San Antonio Spurs to win
Open on Xexpected 89% from the closing line+0.08 u
Singleposted 6 Aug, 02:16 · 16 h before start
odds 1.82Lost
ATP 1000 · Canadian Open·
Luciano Darderi
2:1
Juncheng Shang
Juncheng Shang to win@1.82
Open on Xexpected 52% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 6 Aug, 02:16 · 16 h before start
odds 3.30Lost
ATP 1000 · Canadian Open·
Mariano Navone
0:2
Arthur Fils
Mariano Navone to win@3.30
Open on Xexpected 29% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 6 Aug, 02:16 · 18 h before start
odds 1.74Won
WTA 1000 · Canadian Open·
Marta Kostyuk
2:0
Madison Keys
Marta Kostyuk to win@1.74
Open on Xexpected 55% from odds+0.73 u
Singleposted 6 Aug, 02:16 · 20 h before start
odds 2.52Lost
ATP 1000 · Canadian Open·
Jiri Lehecka
2:0
Alexander Blockx
Alexander Blockx to win@2.52
Open on Xexpected 38% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 4 Aug, 19:22 · 3 h before start
odds 1.70DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
MLB·
Baltimore Orioles
3:1
Los Angeles Angels
Baltimore Orioles to win
Open on Xexpected 58% from the closing line+0.70 u
Singleposted 4 Aug, 19:22 · 3 h before start
odds 2.21DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
MLB·
Cincinnati Reds
5:4
Athletics
Athletics to win
Open on Xexpected 45% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 4 Aug, 19:22 · 3 h before start
odds 3.82DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
MLB·
Philadelphia Phillies
5:0
Washington Nationals
Washington Nationals to win
Open on Xexpected 26% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 4 Aug, 19:22 · 4 h before start
odds 1.52DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
MLB·
New York Yankees
2:0
St. Louis Cardinals
New York Yankees to win
Open on Xexpected 65% from the closing line+0.52 u
Singleposted 4 Aug, 19:22 · 4 h before start
odds 1.70DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
MLB·
Kansas City Royals
8:2
Minnesota Twins
Minnesota Twins to win
Open on Xexpected 58% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 4 Aug, 19:22 · 4 h before start
odds 2.32DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
MLB·
Milwaukee Brewers
4:2
Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates to win
Open on Xexpected 42% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 4 Aug, 19:22 · 5 h before start
odds 1.53DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
MLB·
Chicago Cubs
5:1
Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers to win
Open on Xexpected 64% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 4 Aug, 19:22 · 5 h before start
odds 1.53DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
MLB·
Texas Rangers
5:4
San Francisco Giants
Texas Rangers to win
Open on Xexpected 64% from the closing line+0.53 u
Singleposted 4 Aug, 19:22 · 5 h before start
odds 1.60DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
MLB·
Colorado Rockies
7:9
Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay Rays to win
Open on Xexpected 61% from the closing line+0.60 u
Singleposted 4 Aug, 19:22 · 6 h before start
odds 1.86DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
MLB·
Seattle Mariners
0:8
Detroit Tigers
Seattle Mariners to win
Open on Xexpected 53% from the closing line−1.00 u
Parlay · 11posted 4 Aug, 05:47 · 13 h before start
Lost
ATP 1000 · Canadian Open·
Terence Atmane
2:1
Jack Draper
Jack Draper to win✕
ATP 1000 · Canadian Open·
Juncheng Shang
2:1
Andrey Rublev
Andrey Rublev to win✕
ATP 1000 · Canadian Open·
Jaume Munar
void
Alexander Blockx
Alexander Blockx to win∅
WTA 1000 · Canadian Open·
Shuai Zhang
void
Jelena Ostapenko
Jelena Ostapenko to win∅
WTA 1000 · Canadian Open·
Lanlana Tararudee
void
Amanda Anisimova
Amanda Anisimova to win∅
MLB·
Philadelphia Phillies
5:0
Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies to win✓
MLB·
Kansas City Royals
8:2
Minnesota Twins
Minnesota Twins to win✕
MLB·
Chicago Cubs
5:1
Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers to win✕
MLB·
Houston Astros
7:2
Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto Blue Jays to win✕
MLB·
Colorado Rockies
7:9
Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay Rays to win✓
MLB·
Seattle Mariners
0:8
Detroit Tigers
Seattle Mariners to win✕
Open on Xexpected 2% by model