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KASH

@thehouseofkash33 followersfirst pick 5 Octusually posts 2 h before start

I call out traps. I give out free picks and insight. + 22 U OCTOBER. Join the group for more plays. 👇👇

NFL & NCAAFBasketballBaseball
CompareRSS
Tipster index54.3#228 on the leaderboardnewdeveloping sample
Hit rate
58.8%
expected 52.8%
Edge
+6.0 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 39.4%, the edge is within noise
Graded
17
10-7
ROI
+18.7%
on 14 picks with odds · max drawdown −3.00 u
Average odds
1.82
singles with odds
Form
streak W1 · best W4, worst L3

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

00.511.55 Oct10 Oct15 Oct20 Oct26 Oct

By sport

NFL & NCAAF7-5 · 12 graded
+4.9
58%
Basketball1-2 · 3 graded
−18.6
33%
Baseball2-0 · 2 graded
+49.5
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Handicap7-6 · 13 graded
−0.3
54%
Match result3-1 · 4 graded
+26.5
75%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite1-0 · 1 graded
+30.0
100%
Even9-6 · 15 graded
+7.3
60%
Underdog0-1 · 1 graded
−38.8
0%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.897-4 · 11 graded
+12.9%
64%
1.90…2.292-1 · 3 graded
-
67%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 1 of 1 months with 5+ picks
  • October 2026
    +6.0 pp
    10-7 · 59%
    ROI +18.7%

By league

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Same main sport, closest index

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KASH (@thehouseofkash) on BetBuddyRank
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Picks

Singleposted 25 Oct, 22:34 · 2 h before start
odds 1.80Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Seattle Seahawks
20:3
Kansas City Chiefs
Seattle Seahawks −2.5@1.80
Open on Xexpected 53% from odds+0.80 u
Singleposted 25 Oct, 16:25 · 35 min before start
odds 1.71Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Houston Texans
21:27
New York Giants
Houston Texans −9.5@1.71
Open on Xexpected 56% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 25 Oct, 16:25 · 35 min before start
odds 1.78Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Carolina Panthers
13:43
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3@1.78
Open on Xexpected 54% from odds+0.78 u
Singleposted 23 Oct, 19:54 · 3 h before start
odds 1.90Lost
NBA · Regular season·
Orlando Magic
93:115
Minnesota Timberwolves
Orlando Magic to win@1.90
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 21:45 · 3 days before start
odds 1.71Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Atlanta Falcons
29:20
San Francisco 49ers
Atlanta Falcons +3@1.71
Open on Xexpected 56% from odds+0.71 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 03:11 · 4 days before start
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Houston Texans
21:27
New York Giants
Houston Texans −9
Open on Xexpected 39% by model
Singleposted 21 Oct, 20:58 · 2 h before start
Lost
NBA · Regular season·
Washington Wizards
128:116
Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee Bucks +5.5
Open on Xexpected 53% by model
Singleposted 21 Oct, 20:58 · 3 h before start
odds 1.80DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NBA · Regular season·
Memphis Grizzlies
123:103
Utah Jazz
Memphis Grizzlies to win
Open on Xexpected 53% from the closing line+0.80 u
Singleposted 18 Oct, 20:14 · 11 min before start
odds 1.89Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Las Vegas Raiders
30:33
Buffalo Bills
Las Vegas Raiders +5.5@1.89
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds+0.89 u
Singleposted 15 Oct, 17:14 · 7 h before start
odds 1.71Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Denver Broncos
17:14
Seattle Seahawks
Denver Broncos +3@1.71
Open on Xexpected 56% from odds+0.71 u
Singleposted 12 Oct, 20:38 · 4 h before start
odds 1.63Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Los Angeles Rams
34:37
Buffalo Bills
Los Angeles Rams −2.5@1.63
Open on Xexpected 58% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 11 Oct, 20:21 · 3 min before start
odds 1.77Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Seattle Seahawks
29:32
San Francisco 49ers
Seattle Seahawks −2.5@1.77
Open on Xexpected 54% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 11 Oct, 02:00 · 12 h before start
odds 1.84DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NFL · Regular Season·
Jacksonville Jaguars
19:17
Philadelphia Eagles
Jacksonville Jaguars −7.5
Open on Xexpected 52% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 8 Oct, 21:59 · 2 h before start
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Dallas Cowboys
16:24
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +10.5
Open on Xexpected 70% by model
Singleposted 7 Oct, 19:26 · 34 min before start
odds 2.10DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
MLB · post-season·
Chicago White Sox
3:9
Cleveland Guardians
Cleveland Guardians to win
Open on Xexpected 46% from the closing line+1.10 u
Singleposted 5 Oct, 21:46 · 2 h before start
odds 2.10Won
NFL · Regular Season·
New Orleans Saints
24:45
Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta Falcons to win@2.10
Open on Xexpected 45% from odds+1.10 u
Singleposted 5 Oct, 21:42 · 2 h before start
odds 1.71Won
MLB · post-season·
Tampa Bay Rays
5:2
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays +1.5@1.71
Open on Xexpected 56% from odds+0.71 u