Reign Supreme

@reignsupr183 followersfirst pick 17 Oct

Sports analysis

NFL & NCAAFBasketball

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Tipster index56.6needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history

Hit rate

75.0%

expected 46.8%

Edge

+28.2 pp

over expectation

Graded

3-1

ROI

on 3 picks with odds

Average odds

2.11

singles with odds

Form

streak L1 · best W3, worst L1

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

Basketball2-0 · 2 graded

+55.8

100%

NFL & NCAAF1-1 · 2 graded

+0.7

50%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Handicap2-1 · 3 graded

+17.3

67%

Match result1-0 · 1 graded

+61.0

100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Even2-1 · 3 graded

+17.3

67%

Underdog1-0 · 1 graded

+61.0

100%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.890-1 · 1 graded

1.90…2.291-0 · 1 graded

100%

2.30…3.491-0 · 1 graded

100%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).