Billington Picks

@Billingtonpicks114 followersfirst pick 16 Octusually posts 9 h before start

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Tipster index56.7#135 on the leaderboardnewestablished sample

Open picks 6

Games not played yet

NBA · Regular season·23 Oct, 20:00

Milwaukee Bucks

live

Chicago Bulls

Milwaukee Bucks to win +4@9.22

NBA · Regular season·23 Oct, 20:00

Milwaukee Bucks

live

Chicago Bulls

Chicago Bulls to win +4@23.22

NBA · Regular season·23 Oct, 20:00

Milwaukee Bucks

live

Chicago Bulls

Milwaukee Bucks to win +2@10.40

NBA · Regular season·23 Oct, 20:00

Milwaukee Bucks

live

Chicago Bulls

Chicago Bulls +1.5 +4@22.01

NBA · Regular season·23 Oct, 23:00

Washington Wizards

-:-

Toronto Raptors

Toronto Raptors to win +5

NBA · Regular season·23 Oct, 23:00

Orlando Magic

-:-

Minnesota Timberwolves

Orlando Magic to win +3@13.08

Hit rate

56.8%

expected 52.2%

Edge

+4.6 pp

95% lower bound of the hit rate: 47.7%, the edge is within noise

Graded

46-35 · 7 pending

ROI

+16.1%

on 55 picks with odds · max drawdown −6.31 u

Average odds

1.55

singles with odds

Form

streak L1 · best W7, worst L4

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

NFL & NCAAF21-17 · 38 graded

+0.8

55%

Hockey17-6 · 23 graded

+15.1

74%

Basketball8-11 · 19 graded

+0.0

42%

Baseball0-1 · 1 graded

−3.4

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result26-14 · 40 graded

+0.4

65%

Handicap18-7 · 25 graded

+12.8

72%

Parlays2-13 · 15 graded

+7.1

13%

Totals0-1 · 1 graded

−67.0

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite32-11 · 43 graded

+4.1

74%

Even12-10 · 22 graded

+5.5

55%

Underdog0-1 · 1 graded

−32.5

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.5019-7 · 26 graded

−4.7%

73%

1.50…1.899-4 · 13 graded

+18.2%

69%

1.90…2.292-3 · 5 graded

−19.0%

40%

2.30…3.491-1 · 2 graded

50%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 1 of 1 months with 5+ picks

October 2026
+4.6 pp
46-35 · 57%
ROI +16.1%

By league

NHL17-674%+15.1
NCAAF12-763%−1.9
NFL9-375%+7.4
NBA6-650%−11.1

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Picks

Parlay · 5posted 23 Oct, 15:49 · 4 h before start

odds 9.22Pending

NBA · Regular season·23 Oct, 20:00

Milwaukee Bucks

live

Chicago Bulls

Milwaukee Bucks to win@1.96◷

NBA · Regular season·23 Oct, 23:00

Indiana Pacers

-:-

Dallas Mavericks

Indiana Pacers to win@1.47◷

NBA · Regular season·23 Oct, 23:00

Washington Wizards

-:-

Toronto Raptors

Toronto Raptors to win@1.42◷

NBA · Regular season·24 Oct, 02:00

Golden State Warriors

-:-

Memphis Grizzlies

Golden State Warriors to win@1.73◷

NBA · Regular season·24 Oct, 02:00

Sacramento Kings

-:-

Portland Trail Blazers

Portland Trail Blazers to win@1.31◷

Parlay · 6posted 23 Oct, 15:46 · 7 h before start

Pending

NBA · Regular season·23 Oct, 23:00

Washington Wizards

-:-

Toronto Raptors

Toronto Raptors to win◷

NBA · Regular season·23 Oct, 23:00

Indiana Pacers

-:-

Dallas Mavericks

Indiana Pacers to win◷

NBA · Regular season·23 Oct, 23:00

Charlotte Hornets

-:-

Atlanta Hawks

Atlanta Hawks to win◷

NBA · Regular season·24 Oct, 01:30

San Antonio Spurs

-:-

Houston Rockets

San Antonio Spurs to win◷

NBA · Regular season·24 Oct, 02:00

Sacramento Kings

-:-

Portland Trail Blazers

Portland Trail Blazers to win◷

NBA · Regular season·24 Oct, 02:00

LA Lakers

-:-

LA Clippers

LA Lakers to win◷

Parlay · 5posted 23 Oct, 15:02 · 5 h before start

odds 23.22Pending

NBA · Regular season·23 Oct, 20:00

Milwaukee Bucks

live

Chicago Bulls

Chicago Bulls to win@1.89◷

NBA · Regular season·23 Oct, 23:00

Boston Celtics

-:-

New York Knicks

New York Knicks to win@2.12◷

NBA · Regular season·23 Oct, 23:00

Charlotte Hornets

-:-

Atlanta Hawks

Atlanta Hawks to win@1.70◷

NBA · Regular season·23 Oct, 23:00

Orlando Magic

-:-

Minnesota Timberwolves

Minnesota Timberwolves to win@1.79◷

NBA · Regular season·24 Oct, 00:00

Miami Heat

-:-

Detroit Pistons

Detroit Pistons to win@1.89◷

Parlay · 3posted 23 Oct, 14:27 · 6 h before start

odds 10.40Pending

NBA · Regular season·23 Oct, 20:00

Milwaukee Bucks

live

Chicago Bulls

Milwaukee Bucks to win@2.17◷

NBA · Regular season·24 Oct, 00:00

Miami Heat

-:-

Detroit Pistons

Miami Heat to win@2.23◷

NBA · Regular season·24 Oct, 02:00

Golden State Warriors

-:-

Memphis Grizzlies

Golden State Warriors −4.5@2.15◷

Parlay · 4posted 23 Oct, 14:08 · 9 h before start

odds 13.08Pending

NBA · Regular season·23 Oct, 23:00

Orlando Magic

-:-

Minnesota Timberwolves

Orlando Magic to win@2.08◷

NBA · Regular season·24 Oct, 00:00

Miami Heat

-:-

Detroit Pistons

Detroit Pistons to win@1.86◷

NBA · Regular season·24 Oct, 01:30

Utah Jazz

-:-

New Orleans Pelicans

Utah Jazz to win@1.77◷

NBA · Regular season·24 Oct, 01:30

San Antonio Spurs

-:-

Houston Rockets

Houston Rockets +5.5@1.91◷

Parlay · 5posted 23 Oct, 06:33 · 13 h before start

odds 22.01Pending

NBA · Regular season·23 Oct, 20:00

Milwaukee Bucks

live

Chicago Bulls

Chicago Bulls +1.5@1.87◷

NBA · Regular season·23 Oct, 23:00

Boston Celtics

-:-

New York Knicks

Boston Celtics to win@1.75◷

NBA · Regular season·23 Oct, 23:00

Indiana Pacers

-:-

Dallas Mavericks

Dallas Mavericks +6.5@1.87◷

NBA · Regular season·23 Oct, 23:00

Orlando Magic

-:-

Minnesota Timberwolves

Minnesota Timberwolves to win@1.85◷

NBA · Regular season·23 Oct, 23:00

Charlotte Hornets

-:-

Atlanta Hawks

Charlotte Hornets +2.5@1.95◷

Parlay · 4posted 22 Oct, 21:49 · 42 h before start

Pending

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·24 Oct, 16:00

Miami Hurricanes

-:-

Pittsburgh Panthers

Pittsburgh Panthers +20.5◷

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·24 Oct, 16:00

Auburn Tigers

-:-

LSU Tigers

LSU Tigers −6.5◷

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·24 Oct, 19:30

UCF Knights

-:-

BYU Cougars

BYU Cougars −6.5◷

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·24 Oct, 23:30

Texas Longhorns

-:-

Ole Miss Rebels

Ole Miss Rebels +3.5◷

Parlay · 2posted 22 Oct, 21:14 · 2 h before start

odds 2.15Won

NBA · Regular season·22 Oct, 23:00

Philadelphia 76ers

114:106

Cleveland Cavaliers

Philadelphia 76ers to win@1.64✓

NBA · Regular season·23 Oct, 01:30

Oklahoma City Thunder

96:84

Denver Nuggets

Oklahoma City Thunder to win@1.31✓

Parlay · 4posted 22 Oct, 06:46 · 16 h before start

Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·22 Oct, 23:00

Appalachian State Mountaineers

34:31

James Madison Dukes

James Madison Dukes −10.5✕

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·22 Oct, 23:00

Kennesaw State Owls

6:34

Liberty Flames

Kennesaw State Owls to win✕

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·22 Oct, 23:30

Memphis Tigers

41:34

East Carolina Pirates

Memphis Tigers −10.5✕

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·23 Oct, 23:00

Virginia Cavaliers

-:-

Duke Blue Devils

Virginia Cavaliers to win◷

Parlay · 5posted 22 Oct, 06:44 · 16 h before start

odds 139Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·22 Oct, 23:00

Kennesaw State Owls

6:34

Liberty Flames

Liberty Flames −9.5@1.89✓

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·22 Oct, 23:00

Appalachian State Mountaineers

34:31

James Madison Dukes

Appalachian State Mountaineers to win@4.30✓

NBA · Regular season·22 Oct, 23:00

Philadelphia 76ers

114:106

Cleveland Cavaliers

Cleveland Cavaliers to win@2.18✕

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·22 Oct, 23:30

Memphis Tigers

41:34

East Carolina Pirates

East Carolina Pirates to win@4.20✕

NBA · Regular season·23 Oct, 01:30

Oklahoma City Thunder

96:84

Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets +8.5@1.87✕

Parlay · 6posted 21 Oct, 19:34 · 3 h before start

odds 15.19Won

NBA · Regular season·21 Oct, 23:00

Washington Wizards

128:116

Milwaukee Bucks

Washington Wizards to win@1.67✓

NBA · Regular season·21 Oct, 23:30

Brooklyn Nets

103:110

Charlotte Hornets

Charlotte Hornets to win@2.08✓

NBA · Regular season·21 Oct, 23:30

Toronto Raptors

135:92

Chicago Bulls

Toronto Raptors to win@1.30✓

NBA · Regular season·22 Oct, 00:30

Houston Rockets

128:110

Dallas Mavericks

Houston Rockets to win@1.33✓

NBA · Regular season·22 Oct, 02:00

LA Lakers

127:105

Golden State Warriors

LA Lakers to win@1.56✓

NBA · Regular season·22 Oct, 02:30

LA Clippers

121:96

Sacramento Kings

LA Clippers to win@1.63✓

Parlay · 5posted 21 Oct, 15:33 · 7 h before start

odds 22.93Lost

NBA · Regular season·21 Oct, 23:00

Orlando Magic

125:132

Atlanta Hawks

Atlanta Hawks to win@2.37✓

NBA · Regular season·22 Oct, 00:00

Memphis Grizzlies

123:103

Utah Jazz

Utah Jazz to win@2.15✕

NBA · Regular season·22 Oct, 00:00

New Orleans Pelicans

120:123

Indiana Pacers

Indiana Pacers to win@1.79✓

NBA · Regular season·22 Oct, 00:30

Houston Rockets

128:110

Dallas Mavericks

Houston Rockets to win@1.38✓

NBA · Regular season·22 Oct, 02:00

Portland Trail Blazers

124:83

Phoenix Suns

Portland Trail Blazers to win@1.83✓

Parlay · 5posted 21 Oct, 13:36 · 9 h before start

odds 18.85Lost

NBA · Regular season·21 Oct, 23:00

Orlando Magic

125:132

Atlanta Hawks

Atlanta Hawks to win@2.20✓

NBA · Regular season·22 Oct, 00:00

Memphis Grizzlies

123:103

Utah Jazz

Utah Jazz to win@2.02✕

NBA · Regular season·22 Oct, 00:00

New Orleans Pelicans

120:123

Indiana Pacers

Indiana Pacers to win@1.64✓

NBA · Regular season·22 Oct, 02:00

Portland Trail Blazers

124:83

Phoenix Suns

Portland Trail Blazers to win@1.69✓

NBA · Regular season·22 Oct, 02:30

LA Clippers

121:96

Sacramento Kings

LA Clippers to win@1.53✓

Parlay · 4posted 21 Oct, 04:52 · 18 h before start

odds 14.90Lost

NBA · Regular season·21 Oct, 23:00

Orlando Magic

125:132

Atlanta Hawks

Orlando Magic to win@1.73✕

NBA · Regular season·21 Oct, 23:30

Miami Heat

106:131

Minnesota Timberwolves

Minnesota Timberwolves to win@2.02✓

NBA · Regular season·21 Oct, 23:30

Brooklyn Nets

103:110

Charlotte Hornets

Charlotte Hornets to win@2.24✓

NBA · Regular season·21 Oct, 23:30

Toronto Raptors

135:92

Chicago Bulls

Toronto Raptors −9.5@1.91✓

Parlay · 4posted 20 Oct, 09:41 · 9 h before start

odds 15.79Lost

NBA · Regular season·20 Oct, 19:00

Detroit Pistons

121:113

Boston Celtics

Detroit Pistons +1.5@1.91✓

NBA · Regular season·20 Oct, 23:00

New York Knicks

100:106

Philadelphia 76ers

New York Knicks −5.5@1.95✕

NBA · Regular season·21 Oct, 01:30

San Antonio Spurs

104:116

Oklahoma City Thunder

San Antonio Spurs −2.5@1.98✕

NBA · Regular season·21 Oct, 23:00

Orlando Magic

125:132

Atlanta Hawks

Atlanta Hawks to win@2.14✓

Parlay · 10posted 20 Oct, 08:43 · 8 h before start

Lost

NBA · Regular season·20 Oct, 19:00

Detroit Pistons

121:113

Boston Celtics

Boston Celtics to win✕

NBA · Regular season·20 Oct, 23:00

New York Knicks

100:106

Philadelphia 76ers

New York Knicks to win✕

NBA · Regular season·21 Oct, 01:30

San Antonio Spurs

104:116

Oklahoma City Thunder

San Antonio Spurs to win✕

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·20 Oct, 23:00

FIU Golden Panthers

23:26

Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders

FIU Golden Panthers to win✕

Champions League · League Stage·20 Oct, 16:45

Sabah FK

1:2

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund to win✓

Champions League · League Stage·20 Oct, 19:00

Manchester City

5:1

AEK Athens

Manchester City to win✓

NHL · NHL: Regular season·20 Oct, 23:00

New Jersey Devils

4:3

Colorado Avalanche

Colorado Avalanche to win✕

NHL · NHL: Regular season·21 Oct, 02:00

Vancouver Canucks

3:6

Carolina Hurricanes

Carolina Hurricanes to win✓

NHL · NHL: Regular season·21 Oct, 01:00

Edmonton Oilers

4:3

Minnesota Wild

Edmonton Oilers to win✓

NHL · NHL: Regular season·21 Oct, 00:00

Dallas Stars

3:2

Boston Bruins

Dallas Stars to win✓

Singleposted 18 Oct, 16:01 · 59 min before start

odds 1.87Won

NFL · Regular Season·18 Oct, 17:00

Cleveland Browns

13:10

Baltimore Ravens

Cleveland Browns +3.5@1.87

Parlay · 5posted 18 Oct, 15:56 · 1 h before start

odds 24.65Lost

NFL · Regular Season·18 Oct, 17:00

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

19:26

Pittsburgh Steelers

Pittsburgh Steelers to win@1.77✓

NFL · Regular Season·18 Oct, 17:00

New England Patriots

26:19

New York Jets

New England Patriots to win@1.34✓

NFL · Regular Season·18 Oct, 17:00

Philadelphia Eagles

14:25

Carolina Panthers

Carolina Panthers to win@1.66✓

NFL · Regular Season·18 Oct, 17:00

Atlanta Falcons

23:31

Chicago Bears

Chicago Bears to win@1.95✓

NFL · Regular Season·18 Oct, 20:25

Las Vegas Raiders

30:33

Buffalo Bills

Las Vegas Raiders to win@3.20✕

Parlay · 4posted 18 Oct, 03:46 · 10 h before start

odds 11.80Lost

NFL · Regular Season·18 Oct, 13:30

Jacksonville Jaguars

31:34

Houston Texans

Jacksonville Jaguars −2.5@1.85✕

NFL · Regular Season·18 Oct, 17:00

New York Giants

27:34

New Orleans Saints

New York Giants +1.5@1.82✕

NFL · Regular Season·18 Oct, 17:00

Cleveland Browns

13:10

Baltimore Ravens

Baltimore Ravens −3@1.87✕

NFL · Regular Season·18 Oct, 17:00

New England Patriots

26:19

New York Jets

New York Jets +7.5@1.88✓

Parlay · 3posted 17 Oct, 19:26 · 4 h before start

odds 16.17Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·17 Oct, 23:30

Oklahoma Sooners

13:21

Kentucky Wildcats

Kentucky Wildcats to win@2.95✓

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·17 Oct, 23:30

Houston Cougars

35:32

Oklahoma State Cowboys

Oklahoma State Cowboys to win@2.55✕

NHL · NHL: Regular season·18 Oct, 02:00

Utah Mammoth

2:6

Edmonton Oilers

Edmonton Oilers to win@2.15✓

Singleposted 17 Oct, 15:26 · 2 h before start

odds 1.84DKWon

NHL · NHL: Regular season·17 Oct, 17:00

Washington Capitals

4:2

New Jersey Devils

Washington Capitals to win

Singleposted 17 Oct, 15:26 · 8 h before start

odds 2.10DKWon

NHL · NHL: Regular season·17 Oct, 23:00

Toronto Maple Leafs

1:4

New York Islanders

New York Islanders to win

Singleposted 17 Oct, 15:26 · 8 h before start

odds 1.70DKWon

NHL · NHL: Regular season·17 Oct, 23:00

Montreal Canadiens

4:3

Buffalo Sabres

Montreal Canadiens to win

Singleposted 17 Oct, 15:26 · 8 h before start

odds 2.24DKLost

NHL · NHL: Regular season·17 Oct, 23:00

Detroit Red Wings

4:3

San Jose Sharks

penalties

San Jose Sharks to win

Singleposted 17 Oct, 15:26 · 8 h before start

odds 2.14DKLost

NHL · NHL: Regular season·17 Oct, 23:00

Columbus Blue Jackets

1:0

New York Rangers

New York Rangers to win

Singleposted 17 Oct, 15:26 · 9 h before start

odds 1.95DKWon

NHL · NHL: Regular season·18 Oct, 00:00

Nashville Predators

5:2

St. Louis Blues

Nashville Predators to win

Singleposted 17 Oct, 15:26 · 10 h before start

odds 2.30DKWon

NHL · NHL: Regular season·18 Oct, 01:00

Los Angeles Kings

1:4

Boston Bruins

Boston Bruins to win

Singleposted 17 Oct, 15:26 · 11 h before start

odds 1.64DKLost

NHL · NHL: Regular season·18 Oct, 02:00

Utah Mammoth

2:6

Edmonton Oilers

Utah Mammoth to win

Parlay · 4posted 17 Oct, 15:03 · 57 min before start

Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·17 Oct, 16:00

Indiana Hoosiers

15:19

Ohio State Buckeyes

Ohio State Buckeyes −2.5✓

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·17 Oct, 19:30

Ole Miss Rebels

31:3

Missouri Tigers

Ole Miss Rebels −5.5✓

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·17 Oct, 19:30

Tennessee Volunteers

26:10

Alabama Crimson Tide

Alabama Crimson Tide −5.5✕

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·17 Oct, 23:30

UCLA Bruins

17:7

Wisconsin Badgers

UCLA Bruins to win✓

Singleposted 17 Oct, 13:51 · 3 h before start

odds 1.37DKLost

NHL · NHL: Regular season·17 Oct, 17:00

Washington Capitals

4:2

New Jersey Devils

New Jersey Devils +1.5