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Presidential Picks

@presidentspicks213 followersfirst pick 1 Augusually posts 3 h before start

Sports Betting CFB NFL CBB NBA MLB

BaseballNFL & NCAAF
CompareRSS
Tipster index51.8#202 on the leaderboarddown 42 this weekestablished sample
Hit rate
54.2%
expected 53.2%
Edge
+1.0 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 50.1%, the edge is within noise
Graded
395
212-179-4
ROI
+1.3%
on 330 picks with odds · max drawdown −13.00 u
Average odds
1.83
singles with odds
Form
streak W1 · best W10, worst L7

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-5-2.502.5531 Jul18 Aug5 Sept23 Sept12 Oct

By sport

Baseball154-123 · 277 graded
+1.5
56%
NFL & NCAAF58-56-4 · 118 graded
−0.3
51%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result154-124 · 278 graded
+1.4
55%
Handicap58-55-4 · 117 graded
−0.1
51%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite32-29-1 · 62 graded
−10.5
52%
Even177-146-3 · 326 graded
+3.0
55%
Underdog3-4 · 7 graded
+7.7
43%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.501-1 · 2 graded
-
50%
1.50…1.89128-91 · 219 graded
+0.2%
58%
1.90…2.2951-46-1 · 98 graded
+5.2%
53%
2.30…3.494-6 · 10 graded
+2.9%
40%
3.50+0-1 · 1 graded
-
0%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 3 of 3 months with 5+ picks
  • August 2026
    +1.5 pp
    82-64 · 56%
    ROI +1.6%
  • September 2026
    +0.3 pp
    101-89-2 · 53%
    ROI −1.3%
  • October 2026
    +1.8 pp
    29-26-2 · 53%
    ROI +10.0%

By league

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Same main sport, closest index

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Presidential Picks (@presidentspicks) on BetBuddyRank
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Picks

Singleposted 11 Oct, 15:49 · 1 h before start
odds 1.92DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
Pittsburgh Steelers
34:22
Indianapolis Colts
Pittsburgh Steelers −3
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing line+0.92 u
Singleposted 11 Oct, 15:49 · 1 h before start
Push
NFL · Regular Season·
Miami Dolphins
24:31
Cincinnati Bengals
Miami Dolphins +7
Open on Xexpected 69% by model
Singleposted 11 Oct, 15:49 · 4 h before start
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Los Angeles Chargers
17:23
Denver Broncos
Los Angeles Chargers +3.5
Open on Xexpected 61% by model
Singleposted 11 Oct, 15:49 · 5 h before start
odds 1.90DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NFL · Regular Season·
Seattle Seahawks
29:32
San Francisco 49ers
Seattle Seahawks −3
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 11 Oct, 15:49 · 1 h before start
odds 1.98DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
Green Bay Packers
31:7
Chicago Bears
Green Bay Packers +1.5
Open on Xexpected 48% from the closing line+0.98 u
Singleposted 11 Oct, 15:30 · 9 h before start
odds 1.90DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
MLB · post-season·
Milwaukee Brewers
2:1
Los Angeles Dodgers
Milwaukee Brewers to win
Open on Xexpected 51% from the closing line+0.90 u
Singleposted 10 Oct, 15:16 · 1 h before start
odds 1.89DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Florida Gators
19:38
South Carolina Gamecocks
Florida Gators −10.5
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 10 Oct, 15:16 · 43 min before start
odds 1.92DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Pittsburgh Panthers
17:21
North Carolina Tar Heels
Pittsburgh Panthers −3.5
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 10 Oct, 15:16 · 8 h before start
odds 1.90DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Kentucky Wildcats
35:34
LSU Tigers
Kentucky Wildcats +9.5
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing line+0.90 u
Singleposted 10 Oct, 15:16 · 43 min before start
odds 1.86DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
West Virginia Mountaineers
31:52
Arizona Wildcats
West Virginia Mountaineers +3.5
Open on Xexpected 51% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 10 Oct, 15:16 · 8 h before start
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Virginia Cavaliers
28:25
Syracuse Orange
Virginia Cavaliers −13.5
Open on Xexpected 53% by model
Singleposted 10 Oct, 15:16 · 26 h before start
odds 1.95DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
New Orleans Saints
13:23
Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota Vikings −2.5
Open on Xexpected 49% from the closing line+0.95 u
Singleposted 10 Oct, 15:16 · 43 min before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Missouri Tigers
27:6
Texas A&M Aggies
Missouri Tigers −4
Open on Xexpected 43% by model
Singleposted 10 Oct, 15:16 · 4 h before start
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
California Golden Bears
25:20
Virginia Tech Hokies
Virginia Tech Hokies −10
Open on Xexpected 43% by model
Singleposted 10 Oct, 15:16 · 4 h before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Vanderbilt Commodores
17:52
Ole Miss Rebels
Ole Miss Rebels −9
Open on Xexpected 43% by model
Singleposted 10 Oct, 15:16 · 8 h before start
odds 1.89DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Alabama Crimson Tide
17:20
Georgia Bulldogs
Georgia Bulldogs +2.5
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing line+0.89 u
Singleposted 10 Oct, 15:16 · 26 h before start
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Tennessee Titans
3:26
Houston Texans
Houston Texans +2.5
Open on Xexpected 61% by model
Singleposted 10 Oct, 14:42 · 9 h before start
odds 1.71DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
MLB · post-season·
Cleveland Guardians
2:0
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Guardians to win
Open on Xexpected 57% from the closing line+0.71 u
Singleposted 9 Oct, 20:28 · 3 h before start
odds 1.89DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Louisville Cardinals
44:20
Florida State Seminoles
Louisville Cardinals −4
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing line+0.89 u
Singleposted 9 Oct, 20:28 · 45 h before start
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Washington Commanders
27:27
New York Giants
Washington Commanders −2.5
Open on Xexpected 42% by model
Singleposted 8 Oct, 20:15 · 3 h before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
UTSA Roadrunners
31:24
South Florida Bulls
UTSA Roadrunners −6
Open on Xexpected 43% by model
Singleposted 8 Oct, 20:12 · 4 h before start
odds 1.84DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
MLB · post-season·
Chicago White Sox
5:9
Cleveland Guardians
Cleveland Guardians to win
Open on Xexpected 52% from the closing line+0.84 u
Singleposted 7 Oct, 20:11 · 4 h before start
odds 1.57DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
MLB · post-season·
New York Yankees
3:4
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees to win
Open on Xexpected 61% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 7 Oct, 20:11 · 6 h before start
odds 1.90DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
MLB · post-season·
San Diego Padres
1:3
Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers to win
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing line+0.90 u
Singleposted 7 Oct, 18:18 · 2 h before start
odds 2.10DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
MLB · post-season·
Chicago White Sox
3:9
Cleveland Guardians
Cleveland Guardians to win
Open on Xexpected 46% from the closing line+1.10 u
Singleposted 6 Oct, 20:19 · 2 h before start
odds 1.95DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
MLB · post-season·
Atlanta Braves
1:3
Los Angeles Dodgers
Atlanta Braves to win
Open on Xexpected 49% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 5 Oct, 19:44 · 5 h before start
odds 2.00DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NFL · Regular Season·
New Orleans Saints
24:45
Atlanta Falcons
New Orleans Saints −1.5
Open on Xexpected 48% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 5 Oct, 19:40 · 1 h before start
odds 1.63DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
MLB · post-season·
Cleveland Guardians
3:4
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Guardians to win
Open on Xexpected 59% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 5 Oct, 19:40 · 4 h before start
odds 1.79DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
MLB · post-season·
Tampa Bay Rays
5:2
New York Yankees
New York Yankees to win
Open on Xexpected 53% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 4 Oct, 16:05 · 54 min before start
odds 1.89DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
Buffalo Bills
26:29
New England Patriots
New England Patriots +7
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing line+0.89 u