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Keylor Santos

@KeylorSantosHC18 followersfirst pick 4 Octusually posts 7 h before start

Keylor Santos | Proudly Mexican πŸ‡²πŸ‡½ Soccer handicapper at @SportsHub_com. Sports writer at @scoresand_stats. Former player ⚽ Bringing passion.

Hockey
Tipster index50.8needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history
Hit rate
57.1%
expected 55.1%
Edge
+2.1 pp
over expectation
Graded
7
4-3
ROI
βˆ’2.1%
on 7 picks with odds Β· max drawdown βˆ’1.22 u
Average odds
1.68
singles with odds
Form
streak L1 Β· best W2, worst L1

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-0.300.30.53 Oct8 Oct12 Oct16 Oct20 Oct

By sport

Hockey4-3 Β· 7 graded
+2.1
57%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result2-2 Β· 4 graded
βˆ’8.4
50%
Handicap1-0 Β· 1 graded
+44.3
100%
Parlays0-1 Β· 1 graded
βˆ’44.0
0%
Totals1-0 Β· 1 graded
+48.0
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite1-1 Β· 2 graded
βˆ’11.6
50%
Even3-1 Β· 4 graded
+20.5
75%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.894-2 Β· 6 graded
+14.2%
67%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 1 of 1 months with 5+ picks
  • October 2026
    +2.1 pp
    4-3 Β· 57%
    ROI βˆ’2.1%

By league

  • NHL4-267%+9.8

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Picks

Parlay Β· 3posted 20 Oct, 18:54 Β· 4 h before start
odds 1.96Lost
NHL Β· NHL: Regular seasonΒ·
New York Islanders
3:2
Anaheim Ducks
New York Islanders to winβœ“
NHL Β· NHL: Regular seasonΒ·
New Jersey Devils
4:3
Colorado Avalanche
Colorado Avalanche to winβœ•
NHL Β· NHL: Regular seasonΒ·
Columbus Blue Jackets
2:6
Toronto Maple Leafs
Under 6.5βœ•
Open on Xexpected 44% from oddsβˆ’1.00 u
Singleposted 18 Oct, 18:03 Β· 4 h before start
odds 1.53Won
NHL Β· NHL: Regular seasonΒ·
Minnesota Wild
2:1
Columbus Blue Jackets
Minnesota Wild to win@1.53
Open on Xexpected 62% from odds+0.53 u
Singleposted 18 Oct, 18:03 Β· 6 h before start
odds 1.71Won
NHL Β· NHL: Regular seasonΒ·
Calgary Flames
3:2
Carolina Hurricanes
Calgary Flames +1.5@1.71
Open on Xexpected 56% from odds+0.71 u
Singleposted 14 Oct, 13:13 Β· 10 h before start
odds 1.78Won
NHL Β· NHL: Regular seasonΒ·
Washington Capitals
5:4
Montreal Canadiens
Washington Capitals to win@1.78
Open on Xexpected 54% from odds+0.78 u
Singleposted 14 Oct, 13:13 Β· 11 h before start
odds 1.67Lost
NHL Β· NHL: Regular seasonΒ·
Colorado Avalanche
2:3
Dallas Stars
penalties
Colorado Avalanche to win@1.67
Open on Xexpected 57% from oddsβˆ’1.00 u
Singleposted 5 Oct, 15:10 Β· 8 h before start
odds 1.57DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL Β· NHL: Regular seasonΒ·
Pittsburgh Penguins
2:3
Winnipeg Jets
Pittsburgh Penguins to win
Open on Xexpected 61% from the closing lineβˆ’1.00 u
Singleposted 4 Oct, 15:24 Β· 7 h before start
odds 1.83Won
NHL Β· NHL: Regular seasonΒ·
New York Rangers
4:2
Utah Mammoth
Over 5.5@1.83
Open on Xexpected 52% from odds+0.83 u