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pini peter

@pinipeter1184834 followersfirst pick 27 Septusually posts 2 h before start
FootballBasketball
CompareRSS
Tipster index46.8needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history
Hit rate
33.3%
expected 40.2%
Edge
−6.9 pp
over expectation
Graded
9
3-6
ROI
−30.6%
on 8 picks with odds · max drawdown −4.08 u
Average odds
2.69
singles with odds
Form
streak L1 · best W1, worst L4

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-0.8-0.6-0.4-0.2026 Sept7 Oct18 Oct29 Oct

By sport

Football2-5 · 7 graded
−8.4
29%
Basketball1-1 · 2 graded
−1.4
50%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Handicap1-5 · 6 graded
−24.2
17%
Match result1-1 · 2 graded
+21.0
50%
Double chance1-0 · 1 graded
+41.7
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite0-1 · 1 graded
−66.6
0%
Even1-1 · 2 graded
+0.5
50%
Underdog2-4 · 6 graded
+0.7
33%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.500-1 · 1 graded
-
0%
2.30…3.492-4 · 6 graded
−7.5%
33%
3.50+0-1 · 1 graded
-
0%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 0 of 1 months with 5+ picks
  • September 2026
    −14.7 pp
    1-3 · 25%
  • October 2026
    −0.6 pp
    2-3 · 40%
    ROI +11.0%

By league

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Picks

Singleposted 29 Oct, 16:41 · 2 h before start
odds 1.43Lost
EuroLeague · EuroLeague: Regular season·
Maccabi Tel Aviv
94:99
Paris Basketball
Maccabi Tel Aviv −1.43@1.43
Open on Xexpected 67% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 29 Oct, 16:41 · 2 h before start
odds 2.63Won
EuroLeague · EuroLeague: Regular season·
Maccabi Tel Aviv
94:99
Paris Basketball
Paris Basketball −2.63@2.63
Open on Xexpected 36% from odds+1.63 u
Singleposted 19 Oct, 17:18 · 2 h before start
odds 3.01Lost
LaLiga·
Getafe
1:1
Rayo Vallecano
Getafe −3.01@3.01
Open on Xexpected 32% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 19 Oct, 17:18 · 2 h before start
odds 2.92Won
LaLiga·
Getafe
1:1
Rayo Vallecano
Draw@2.92
Open on Xexpected 33% from odds+1.92 u
Singleposted 19 Oct, 17:18 · 2 h before start
odds 2.66Lost
LaLiga·
Getafe
1:1
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano −2.66@2.66
Open on Xexpected 36% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 27 Sept, 16:56 · 2 h before start
Won
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 4·
Norway
1:2
Portugal
Portugal or draw
Open on Xexpected 58% by model
Singleposted 27 Sept, 16:56 · 2 h before start
odds 2.34Lost
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 4·
Norway
1:2
Portugal
Norway −2.34@2.34
Open on Xexpected 41% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 27 Sept, 16:56 · 2 h before start
odds 3.76Lost
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 4·
Norway
1:2
Portugal
Draw@3.76
Open on Xexpected 25% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 27 Sept, 16:56 · 2 h before start
odds 2.76Lost
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 4·
Norway
1:2
Portugal
Portugal −2.76@2.76
Open on Xexpected 35% from odds−1.00 u