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RoyalOdds

@mr_royalodds240 followersfirst pick 2 Septusually posts 10 h before start

✝️ God First. Picks Second • Honest Odds 👑 RoyalOdds | Free Plays in Discord⁠ | https://t.co/9Tw1zvnm5V 🙌 Drop a Follow ☄️

NFL & NCAAFBaseballTennisFootballHockeyBasketball
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Tipster index54.0#143 on the leaderboardup 6 this weekestablished sample

Open picks 1

Games not played yet
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Tommy Paul
-:-
Valentin Vacherot
Tommy Paul to win@1.66
Hit rate
56.8%
expected 54.7%
Edge
+2.1 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 53.4%, the edge is within noise
Graded
581
327-249-5 · 1 pending
ROI
−3.9%
on 379 picks with odds · max drawdown −24.59 u
Average odds
1.76
singles with odds
Form
streak L2 · best W13, worst L7

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-505101 Sept12 Sept22 Sept2 Oct13 Oct

By sport

NFL & NCAAF154-116-4 · 274 graded
+3.3
57%
Baseball101-95-1 · 197 graded
−1.7
52%
Tennis26-19 · 45 graded
+0.7
58%
Football28-8 · 36 graded
+12.2
78%
Hockey14-7 · 21 graded
+10.0
67%
Basketball4-4 · 8 graded
−3.3
50%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result189-128-1 · 318 graded
+1.1
60%
Handicap109-78-3 · 190 graded
+2.1
58%
Parlays6-35 · 41 graded
−1.9
15%
Totals21-8-1 · 30 graded
+15.9
72%
Double chance1-0 · 1 graded
+23.8
100%
Team totals1-0 · 1 graded
+50.5
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite160-72 · 232 graded
+0.5
69%
Even153-129-4 · 286 graded
+3.5
54%
Underdog8-13-1 · 22 graded
+8.5
38%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.5069-22 · 91 graded
+1.1%
76%
1.50…1.89110-78 · 188 graded
−1.4%
59%
1.90…2.2926-41-2 · 69 graded
−20.5%
39%
2.30…3.4910-11-1 · 22 graded
+21.9%
48%
3.50+1-3 · 4 graded
-
25%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 2 of 2 months with 5+ picks
  • September 2026
    +1.4 pp
    229-185-3 · 55%
    ROI −6.9%
  • October 2026
    +3.8 pp
    98-64-2 · 60%
    ROI +4.1%

By league

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Picks

Singleposted 12 Oct, 05:27 · 1 h before start
odds 1.58Lost
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Stefanos Tsitsipas
2:1
Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz to win@1.58
Open on Xexpected 60% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 12 Oct, 05:27 · 6 h before start
odds 1.66Pending
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Tommy Paul
-:-
Valentin Vacherot
Tommy Paul to win@1.66
Open on Xexpected 57% from odds
Singleposted 12 Oct, 05:27 · 57 min before start
odds 1.71Won
WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
0:2
Magdalena Frech
Magdalena Frech to win@1.71
Open on Xexpected 56% from odds+0.71 u
Singleposted 12 Oct, 05:27 · 47 min before start
Won
WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·
Jasmine Paolini
2:0
Sara Bejlek
Jasmine Paolini to win
Open on Xexpected 47% by model
Parlay · 13posted 11 Oct, 14:56 · 2 h before start
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Miami Dolphins
24:31
Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati Bengals to win✓
NFL · Regular Season·
New Orleans Saints
13:23
Minnesota Vikings
New Orleans Saints +4.5✕
NFL · Regular Season·
New England Patriots
45:17
Las Vegas Raiders
New England Patriots to win✓
NFL · Regular Season·
Washington Commanders
27:27
New York Giants
Washington Commanders to win↺
NFL · Regular Season·
Pittsburgh Steelers
34:22
Indianapolis Colts
Pittsburgh Steelers to win✓
NFL · Regular Season·
Tennessee Titans
3:26
Houston Texans
Houston Texans to win✓
NFL · Regular Season·
New York Jets
17:12
Cleveland Browns
Cleveland Browns +4.5✕
NFL · Regular Season·
Green Bay Packers
31:7
Chicago Bears
Green Bay Packers to win✓
NFL · Regular Season·
Los Angeles Chargers
17:23
Denver Broncos
Los Angeles Chargers +7.5✓
NFL · Regular Season·
Arizona Cardinals
21:45
Detroit Lions
Detroit Lions to win✓
NFL · Regular Season·
Seattle Seahawks
29:32
San Francisco 49ers
Seattle Seahawks to win✕
NFL · Regular Season·
Atlanta Falcons
23:30
Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens +10.5✓
NFL · Regular Season·
Los Angeles Rams
-:-
Buffalo Bills
Buffalo Bills to win◷
Open on Xexpected 1% by model
Singleposted 11 Oct, 14:26 · 3 h before start
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
New Orleans Saints
13:23
Minnesota Vikings
New Orleans Saints +10.5
Open on Xexpected 71% by model
Singleposted 11 Oct, 14:26 · 3 h before start
odds 1.27DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
New England Patriots
45:17
Las Vegas Raiders
New England Patriots to win
Open on Xexpected 75% from the closing line+0.27 u
Singleposted 11 Oct, 14:26 · 3 h before start
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Washington Commanders
27:27
New York Giants
Washington Commanders +4.5
Open on Xexpected 69% by model
Singleposted 11 Oct, 14:26 · 3 h before start
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Pittsburgh Steelers
34:22
Indianapolis Colts
Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5
Open on Xexpected 61% by model
Singleposted 11 Oct, 14:26 · 3 h before start
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
New York Jets
17:12
Cleveland Browns
Cleveland Browns +10.5
Open on Xexpected 71% by model
Singleposted 11 Oct, 14:26 · 3 h before start
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Green Bay Packers
31:7
Chicago Bears
Green Bay Packers +7.5
Open on Xexpected 69% by model
Singleposted 11 Oct, 14:26 · 6 h before start
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Los Angeles Chargers
17:23
Denver Broncos
Los Angeles Chargers +10.5
Open on Xexpected 71% by model
Singleposted 11 Oct, 14:26 · 6 h before start
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Arizona Cardinals
21:45
Detroit Lions
Over 40.5
Open on Xexpected 68% by model
Singleposted 11 Oct, 14:26 · 6 h before start
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Seattle Seahawks
29:32
San Francisco 49ers
Seattle Seahawks +4.5
Open on Xexpected 69% by model
Singleposted 11 Oct, 11:35 · 2 h before start
odds 1.27DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
Jacksonville Jaguars
19:17
Philadelphia Eagles
Jacksonville Jaguars to win
Open on Xexpected 75% from the closing line+0.27 u
Singleposted 11 Oct, 11:35 · 5 h before start
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
New England Patriots
45:17
Las Vegas Raiders
Las Vegas Raiders +7.5
Open on Xexpected 69% by model
Singleposted 11 Oct, 11:35 · 5 h before start
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
New Orleans Saints
13:23
Minnesota Vikings
New Orleans Saints +5.5
Open on Xexpected 69% by model
Singleposted 11 Oct, 11:35 · 5 h before start
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
New York Jets
17:12
Cleveland Browns
Cleveland Browns +5.5
Open on Xexpected 69% by model
Singleposted 11 Oct, 11:35 · 5 h before start
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Washington Commanders
27:27
New York Giants
New York Giants +7.5
Open on Xexpected 69% by model
Singleposted 11 Oct, 11:35 · 9 h before start
odds 1.58DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
Los Angeles Chargers
17:23
Denver Broncos
Denver Broncos to win
Open on Xexpected 61% from the closing line+0.58 u
Singleposted 11 Oct, 11:35 · 9 h before start
odds 1.40DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
Arizona Cardinals
21:45
Detroit Lions
Detroit Lions to win
Open on Xexpected 68% from the closing line+0.40 u
Singleposted 11 Oct, 11:35 · 9 h before start
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Seattle Seahawks
29:32
San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco 49ers +4.5
Open on Xexpected 69% by model
Singleposted 11 Oct, 11:35 · 13 h before start
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Atlanta Falcons
23:30
Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens +7.5
Open on Xexpected 69% by model
Singleposted 10 Oct, 04:03 · 19 h before start
odds 2.00DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Penn State Nittany Lions
23:31
USC Trojans
Penn State Nittany Lions to win
Open on Xexpected 48% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 10 Oct, 04:03 · 19 h before start
odds 2.05DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Alabama Crimson Tide
17:20
Georgia Bulldogs
Georgia Bulldogs to win
Open on Xexpected 47% from the closing line+1.05 u
Singleposted 10 Oct, 04:03 · 12 h before start
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Missouri Tigers
27:6
Texas A&M Aggies
Texas A&M Aggies +3.5
Open on Xexpected 61% by model
Singleposted 10 Oct, 04:03 · 19 h before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Alabama Crimson Tide
17:20
Georgia Bulldogs
Under 52.5
Open on Xexpected 53% by model
Singleposted 10 Oct, 04:03 · 12 h before start
odds 1.89DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Nebraska Cornhuskers
17:20
Indiana Hoosiers
Under 48.5
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing line+0.89 u
Singleposted 9 Oct, 06:04 · 17 h before start
odds 1.48DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Detroit Red Wings
3:6
Seattle Kraken
Seattle Kraken +1.5
Open on Xexpected 65% from the closing line+0.48 u
Singleposted 9 Oct, 06:04 · 17 h before start
odds 1.70DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Washington Capitals
3:1
New York Rangers
Washington Capitals to win
Open on Xexpected 56% from the closing line+0.70 u

Showing the latest 500 of 585