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@mlbanalyticspro43 followersfirst pick 26 Oct

A capper’s diary to $1M. Never trust anyone who doesn’t verify their results. Check the juicereel link below for my verified record & live picks.

Hockey
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Open picks 1

Games not played yet
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Edmonton Oilers
-:-
Detroit Red Wings
Edmonton Oilers to win@1.56DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use it
Hit rate
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Edge
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over expectation
Graded
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0-0 · 1 pending
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singles with odds
Form
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last 10

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

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Hockey0-0 · 0 graded
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Match result0-0 · 0 graded
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Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite0-0 · 0 graded
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Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

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1.50…1.890-0 · 0 graded
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Picks

Singleposted 26 Oct, 03:26 · 22 h before start
odds 1.56DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itPending
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Edmonton Oilers
-:-
Detroit Red Wings
Edmonton Oilers to win
Open on Xexpected 62% from the closing line